Posted on 05/25/2020 8:41:27 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A new model shows reopening states and ignoring the pandemic could result in more than 5 million people contracting coronavirus.
According to Yahoo Finance, a Penn Wharton Budget Model shows reopening states could cause positive coronavirus cases in the U.S. to jump to 5.4 million by the end of July. The model, which assumes states reopening May 18, explores various scenarios under which states reopen.
The model also includes lockdowns, a partial reopening, and takes into account whether social distancing rules would continue to be adhered to or are relaxed.
If states fully reopen with no social distancing rules in place, the model shows as many as 5.4 million people could contract coronavirus. If states reopen while still practicing measures of social distancing, the number drops to nearly 4.3 million. Partially reopening the states with social distancing rules in place would result in nearly 3.2 million positive cases, according to the model.
The current death toll in the United States is more than 91,000, according to Johns Hopkins. With states under a full lockdown, the model still projects the death toll at just over 156,000, an increase from its previous forecasts of 117,000.
A Penn Wharton Budget Model from May 1, showed more than 200,000 deaths related to coronavirus pandemic.
Although the model predicts a significant rise in cases and deaths, it does show that the economy will rebound faster if states are reopened. According to the model, if states stay in lockdown with social distancing orders in place, the U.S. GDP will shrink by 10.8% year over year by July 24.
However, reopening states will save the country from severe economic losses. If states reopen, the GDP would decline by 7.7% compared to 2019. If social distancing is reduced, GDP would decline by 6.6%.
Reopening states in spite of the coronavirus would also benefit job growth. More than 30 million Americans are currently unemployed. But if states reopened, 1 million jobs would be created by the end of July. If states aren’t reopened, millions more will join the unemployed ranks.
That is the same curve as the model that shows the results of doing NOTHING. If nothing extraordinary was done from the start the whole mess would have been done. That is the model we should have been following. If you perform an integral analysis of the numbers with the do nothing curve and the “flattened” curve, you find that the numbers infected/exposed, and the number of deaths are statistically the same. More of The Year of Living Stupid.
But people might think it's a book about something else.
“Could”. Always an invite to not bother wasting my time with reading the article.
The same model that predicted the world would run out of oil by 1990.
and miami would be underwater by now
Well, it’s all because “some people” not named Karen won’t wear their masks.
5,000,000 × .0057(the swedish death rate) = 28,500 (the vast majority of which would be elderly or infirm)
I like this model.
Sweden concluded that 7% of its population has already.
10 billion Americans could die!!!
And monkeys COULD fly out of my butt.
“All they seem to do is cause panic, distortion, disruption, fear, and economic damage. “
that’s actually the point of such bogus models and their promotion by the dying lying leftist fake stream enemedia ...
The Model - Kraftwerk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEnx9xS79Lc
Ghettopotamus.
Fox just showed a clip of ScoldyBirx, quite upset that people are having a good time on Memorial Day. Not “social distancing”. OMG! They’re all doooomed and will surely die.
Adults have no excuse for listening to any of it. They have no excuse not to turn off the "Television for Adult-aged Children" and grow up.
Straight up social engineering. Edward Bernays was right (may he burn in hell).
Only 5 weeks left to take bets on how their model pans out....
“... reopening states and ignoring the pandemic ...” as if they’re the same thing?
Also, how do we reach “herd immunity” if we keep preventing people from getting it?
TDS warps minds in bizarre ways.
lol
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