Posted on 05/24/2020 2:42:53 PM PDT by MtnClimber
New estimates released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention indicate that COVID-19 may have an infection fatality rate as low as 0.26%, a number that is double the seasonal flu but significantly lower than earlier estimates.
Determining the infection fatality rate of the illness has been a critical goal of scientists around the world since the discovery of the disease in late November. Infectious disease experts were shocked at the end of last year and into 2020 at both how quickly the disease spread and how many of those who became ill ultimately died.
In early February, modelers at Imperial College London estimated that around 1% of infections of COVID-19 would ultimately result in death. That number, which is about 10 times higher than the seasonal flu, shocked much of the world
SNIP
That scenario states that the overall fatality rate of infections that show symptoms is around 0.4%. Yet the CDC says it estimates that around 35% of all infectious are asymptomatic, meaning that the total infection fatality rate under the agency's "best estimate" scenario is around 0.26%, or a little more than twice that of the seasonal flu.
(Excerpt) Read more at justthenews.com ...
A 35% asymptomatic rate gives a .0029% fatality rate.
That .0029% should be .0029 rate or .29%. Sorry.
Can these CDC idiots get anything correct? On cue the Chicago TV Stations were screaming the “high” number of new cases in Illinois - no mention of the recovery rate.
In Sweden authorities estimate that about 7% of the population has been infected by the Chinese Virus. Total population is about 10,000,000, so abut 700,000 people.
Total deaths from Wuhan Flu so far are ~4,000.
4,000/700,000 x 100 = .57 percent. Still well below one percent, and dollars to donuts that death total includes many persons who were already at risk for death from illness or poor medical prognosis.
It seems Sweden did not take strong measures to protect LTC facilities.
the cdc, Holy Righteous Science, and the msm are all due for a reckoning after this is over.
The following has age and comorbidity taken into account, but with Spanish data.
It’s at least a semi-accurate comparison.
Not really. It spreads much faster than Influenza (Influenza R0 of 0.9-2.1, SARS-CoV-2 R0 of 1.94-5.7), kills more people than Influenza (0.136% mortality rate for Influenza, "could be as low as 0.26%" for COVID-19), and we have no vaccine to provide any defense against it. Also, there is some evidence to support lasting effects in at least some patients from COVID-19 infection even after recovery.
Given the SARS-CoV-2 R0, we can expect herd immunity at around 80-85%. There are 330 million people in the US. If 80-85% eventually become infected, that's 264 - 280.5 million infected. If 0.26% of them die, that's 686,400 - 729,300 dead Americans by the time we hit herd immunity if we can't develop a vaccine or much better treatments. And that's at the low end, per the CDC info.
Influenza kills an average of 37,000 Americans each year. That's a lot fewer deaths than 700,000. No, it is not "just another flu".
DR. FRAUD FAUCI SHOULD BE ARRESTED!
No, they sure didn’t protect the LTC facilities. The nursing homes are the whole reason Sweden’s number of deaths is as high as it is. Had they properly protected their elderly population, there would be no room to argue that their strategy of social distancing without a lockdown has been every bit as successful at preventing unnecessary deaths as any other strategy tried.
Looking at the data, it’s pretty clear that if you protect the nursing homes and push social distancing in public places, everything can remain open for business without running into the Italy situation.
That is certainly how any responsible engineer or scientist or just someone with a tiny bit of math background would see it was tending.
Or the numbers are garbage.
The only thing I’ll believe at this point, is the change, if any, in the total death burden. I just don’t believe anything the authorities say; they are all corrupt and/or biased.
Translation:
Now that the peasants have been beaten into submission and America’s economy has been brought down to the level of the rest of the world
We can start to tell the real truth
If they report it, it means that it is 1/10 or smaller.
Well, thank God we shut the country down and created a depression for that.
they've gone back and added as covid patients people who had died weeks earlier, no testing, just guessing...
overall, this covid is a very severe infection when it gets ahold of very vulnerable people...
I think the protocols were probably all wrong at the begining...probably should not have put everybody and his brother on vents instead of bipap...
should have done the Hcq trifecta oral administration early on on mild to moderate symptomatic people...
should not have placed covid patients in nursing homes...
probably should have listened to Trump....
Sweden did not have a “hug a Chinese” day either.
Does the flu normally infect 80% of the population in a given year?
No.
Then why should corona?
86% of the fatalities in Italy were over 70, Italy has a HUGE elderly population!! With the ChiComs coming and going as they pleased of course Italy was a mess HOWEVER our decisions for this country should never have been based on Italy!!
Biggest overreaction in world history.
We should never let anyone forget whose idea it was that this was the worst virus ever, and that we needed to shut down the world... Experts. Computer Modelers posing as scientists. Politicians who always do more harm than good.
And we should never let anyone forget that we were railroaded into this every step of the way, thanks to the execrable “executive order”, which needs to be scaled back, immediately.
The one upside: Maybe this experience will be a bit of a “vaccination” itself against future freak-outs and sudden bouts of stupidity.
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