Posted on 05/20/2020 11:55:18 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
Coronavirus infections could reach as high as 5.4 million in the US in the next two months and more than 290,000 Americans could die if social distancing isn't adhered to, according to a COVID-19 forecast model.
The ominous forecast from the University Of Pennsylvania's Wharton School model accounts for all states fully reopening without any social distancing measures.
In comparison, the model predicts nearly 4.3 million cases and 230,000 deaths by July 24 if states reopen but individuals maintain their social distancing efforts.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
Flatten the curve was supposed to be about making sure we didn’t see excess deaths due to hospitals being overwhelmed like they were in Italy. Outside of a very small number of examples, that never materialized here (maybe due to the lockdown, maybe due to other factors). Flatten the curve was never supposed to be about dragging this thing out forever while our economy collapses.
They just didn’t have any plan for what to do after flattening the curve and so now they’re trying to cobble something together all last minute like a kid who’s late with his science fair project.
That’s all?
Nothing, of course. The media will shove it down the memory...
And those models are never wrong!
Just like the global warming models.
Maybe somebody could reveal their model for Deaths = (Social Distance) or Infections = (Social Distance).
Has anybody ever exposed this part of their model? I doubt it. It’s just more of “trust us — we have a model.”
“Bend the curve” has become “lets change society permanently”.
The virus is real and its a tragedy. But we have no choice but to get on with our lives. The Economy is by far the bigger problem now.
Hasn’t ‘t the establishment always been telling us ‘’400,000 people a year die from cigarette smoking!’’. Sorry to sound so cold here but first of all this 295,000 figure is conjecture. And even if it’s true, so what?
Sorry folks but after two and a half months of seeing death pretty much day in and day out in the ER I work in I’m inured to it all. Yeah, every one of these deaths is it’s own tragedy but that’s how life is. People die no matter what. “Getting busy dying or get busy living’’. It’s time to start living. Get things moving again ,lets mourn the dead, yes, but for Gods sake and the nation’s lets get back to work.
China has 6 new cases today.
I think it is the same model that they use for the Climate Change Conspiracy. I think they only have one doomsday model that they roll out for every “you’re going to die” event that they gen up.
Coffee is good for you today, tomorrow it kills you.
, the model predicts nearly 4.3 million cases and 230,000 deaths by July 24
= = =
EEK EEK PANIC
We need to start adding days to June, so we never reach July. What’s a couple of trillion more days of June?
Hey, we fixed the work week with daily savings time.
The Govt can print money, it can print new calendars.
And, all the states can promise to open July 1.
Free beer tomorrow or July 1, whichever comes first.
GIGO.These formulas are based on crap.So far the loss of life has proven that.
poing,
Thank you very much for the truth about statistical models.
290,000 / 330 million is 0.00088, or 88 per 100,000.
General accidents kill 169,000
Cancer: 599,000
(CDC data 2017)
We don’t shut down America for cancer, or heart disease, or accidents.
Dow has recovered 6,000 points since the low in a month. Nov is a long way. People will return to work when unemployment runs out.
Banner headline at CNN this hour is about “anonymous sources” inside the CDC griping that “Trump has muzzled us”.
A very good day indeed!!
So, 150K nursing home deaths then...../s
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