Posted on 04/23/2020 8:27:47 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
In a post on March 21st we reported that there were a number of anomalies with the data related to the China coronavirus. We listed the following observations:
1. The current charts (by entities like John Hopkins) were not helpful as they instill fear and are not relevant
2. On a per capita basis the numbers are less concerning
3. The China coronavirus is spreading but probably not accelerating
4. The coronavirus will decline no matter what the media says
5. You have a low probability of becoming severely ill with the coronavirus
6. The deadly virus will likely burn off in the summer like other viruses
7. As we have noted, children and teens are less affected
8. The fatality rate is declining (the demoninator is rising)
One key observation is that the virus will likely burn off in the summer like other viruses:
The University of Maryland mapped severe COVID-19 outbreaks with local weather patterns around the world, from the US to China. They found that the virus thrives in a certain temperature and humidity channel. The researchers found that all cities experiencing significant outbreaks of COVID-19 have very similar winter climates with an average temperature of 41 to 52 degrees Fahrenheit, an average humidity level of 47% to 79% with a narrow east-west distribution along the same 3050 N latitude, said the University of Maryland.
The green area in the above map is where the virus is currently thriving. It does not do well in hotter and more humid environments.
Yesterday we reported that if you look at today’s numbers for the US you will see that the number of coronavirus deaths per million is much less in the Southern states than in the Northern states. When we look at the average number of deaths per million for the warmer Southern border states we obtain an average of 70 deaths per million or 50% of the national average. But when we look at the same average for the northern New England states the average escalates to 293 deaths per million or 213% of the national average.
Today we provide additional evidence that the coronavirus only thrives in cooler, less humid environments. This comes from John Hopkins University and NASA:
#markets #COVIDー19 Yes, temperature and latitude are of the greatest relevance when it comes to coronavirus cases, spread etc. (J.P. Morgan) pic.twitter.com/F9BGEgun7g
— Seth Golden (@SethCL) April 20, 2020
Those areas with similar temperatures and humidity have similar results. For example, New York, Massachusetts, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Beijing have similar weather and higher than average coronavirus deaths.
Based on the data available to date, the coronavirus is much more common in cooler and less humid climates as was noted in the Maryland study.
This is more evidence that the coronavirus in the US should hopefully die out in the hot summer months.
You’ll never hear this in the fear-mongering MSM.
These numbers may be a bigger reflection of international travel, than in temperature. There are 13,930 cases in Saudi Arabia.
RE: How come its spread in equatorial countries like Singapore?
Singapore found the disease to have been in community clusters instead of being widely dispersed as in New York.
At any rate, Singapore, like Taiwan, has controlled the spread pretty well.
Agreed—Arizona is the state to watch.
They are doing reasonably well:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
But—there are some colder and more rural states that are doing better.
Urbanization is a better metric than temperature imho.
“I believe we got into the upper 70s the past few days, with 80 predicted for today.”
We had some Gorebull cooling for a little over a week, now we have the same prediction for today and the rest of the week.
A Lesson from the 1918 Influenza Pandemic . Put simply, medics found that severely ill flu patients nursed outdoors recovered better than those treated indoors. A combination of fresh air and sunlight seems to have prevented deaths among patients; and infections among medical staff.
Open-Air Treatment in 1918 During the great pandemic, two of the worst places to be were military barracks and troop-ships. Overcrowding and bad ventilation put soldiers and sailors at high risk of catching influenza and the other infections that often followed it.[2,3] As with the current Covid-19 outbreak, most of the victims of so-called `Spanish flu did not die from influenza: they died of pneumonia and other complications.
https://miro.medium.com/max/1400/1*7pNa3EQCs1VsWXRWL8_Uig.jpeg
oronavirus and the Sun: a Lesson from the 1918 Influenza Pandemic
Well I would like to believe:
“6. The deadly virus will likely burn off in the summer like other viruses.”
But I have to note that the Miami SMSA accounts for half the cases in Florida. It’s pretty warm there. After doing some research, I find that it is not as warm as I expected, given it’s latitude. But still warm. It will get warmer yet, so time will tell.
Already knew this when it was recommended to put re-wearable masks in direct sunlight for a period of time.
My wife, an RN all of her adult life and still a great one at age 80, showed me how to make sure our cloth masks would be virus/germ free for our next trip to pickup groceries.
She had me park our vehicle in the sunlight, facing the sunlight. Then, we lowered the windows about 2 inches.
Last we put our masks upside down on the dash.
So by the next time we put them on, they should be germ and virus free.
Can you provide a link to these charts? I would like to share with friends/family. Thx
We’re just now getting hot - over 100 Saturday in Phoenix . I hope it helps.
panama and ecuador hot and hot spots...
They did it first but it’s been getting worse in recent weeks.
Glass filters out some UV frequencies - but maybe not the virus-killing ones?
Heat, fresh air and sunshine on germs/viruses.
I just spent 20 minutes outside in 90 degree weather so I good for today : )
2 + 2 = 4
Summer- warmer weather- outdoors more- fresh air and sunshine- less infection
How convenient the election is in the fall...
Miami, Florida: 80 degrees F. tonight; tomorrow 95 and partly sunny. If it gets below 70 degrees here, we’re having a cold snap in the “Sunshine State.”
Miami-Dade county: 10,588 cases/270 deaths
How much of a problem is people not getting outdoors even when the climate is favorable?
I wonder if a lot of those folks affected were in assisted living / nursing homes and rarely or never got outdoors?
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