Posted on 04/04/2020 1:24:50 AM PDT by Enlightened1
Sean Davis, co-founder of The Federalist, took a serious look at the IHME (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) Coronavirus model and called it “garbage.” Davis makes his case through a series of tweets (below).
Davis found that the actual numbers of hospitalizations on April 1 were a fraction of the numbers projected by the IHME model. The problem with the model, he discovered, is that it uses New York and New Jersey data and applies it to the rest of the states.
The actual numbers range from a low of 9% in Tennessee of the projection to a high of 50% in Virginia. Here are some examples:
The model projected that over 121,000 people would be hospitalized in the country yesterday. The actual number was 31,142. (25.7%)
Texas: Projection – 1,716; Actual – 196 (11.4%)
Georgia: Projection – 2,777; Actual – 952 (34.3%)
Virginia: Projection – 607; Actual – 305 (50%)
Tennessee: Projection – 2,214; Actual number – 200 (9%)
New York: Projection – 50,962; Actual number – 18,368 (36%)
Davis writes that if we’re going to shut down the entire nation’s economy to “flatten the curve” based on the projections of a single model, it shouldn’t be too much to ask that the model approximate reality when it comes to hospitalizations.
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
As much as we hate the government we really could lose something worse than losing the economy.
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Exactly!
On the other side of this one does not want to tell grandchildren stories of when America was “somewhat” free.
My daughter is a nurse and a shift administrator in one of the three local nursing homes here.
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Share this with your daughter:
Handbook of COVID-19 Prevention and Treatment
https://www.alibabacloud.com/zh/universal-service/pdf_reader?pdf=Handbook_of_COVID_19_Prevention_en_Mobile.pdf
mark
Yeah - I was watching...the reporters are also getting desperate and showing it by being more obnoxious again - for a couple briefings they were a bit more toned down but now they see November as being the only way to finally finish the nation off...we need to keep Trump in office and have both Houses...
Last night, Fox News said the subways are extra crowded, because the city has fewer running.
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