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Corona virus daily thread #36

Posted on 04/03/2020 9:51:10 AM PDT by LilFarmer

Yesterday’s thread is here: http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3831016/posts


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: cvlivethread; thread36
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To: amorphous

You’re on yesterday’s thread.


741 posted on 04/04/2020 8:28:57 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: mrsmith

Wow, thread #37, I’m having trouble keeping up...will post the graph over there too. :)


742 posted on 04/04/2020 8:38:57 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: amorphous
Every country on the graph below is looking better tonight.

Daily percentage of new Corona virus deaths to previous day's total by country. 25% = total deaths double every 3 days, 20% = every 4 days, 15% = every 5 days, 10% = about 1 week, 5% = about 2 weeks.

743 posted on 04/04/2020 8:44:07 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: mrsmith
It's on every thread now - some threads twice...:)

Thanks for the heads up.

744 posted on 04/04/2020 8:48:08 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: amorphous

Well, I say this to all prognosticators:
It’s getting hopeless to do a number for US cases/ fatalities/ whatever, because US has several different outbreaks going on.
It’s like doing a graph of the world- there’s too much variation for it to mean much to lump everything together.

Anyway, appreciate what you do.
And you’re still on yesterday’s thread.


745 posted on 04/04/2020 8:51:22 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts (M / F) : Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: metmom

I’ve been alive 8 decades.


746 posted on 04/04/2020 8:52:02 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: mrsmith
I finally managed to get it on #37. And yes, this is like trying to predict where a hurricane will make landfall, and what will be it's strength when if/when it does make landfall.

We're at least making some headway here in the US. The last spike for the US, I believe, can be attributed to spring breakers and Mardi Gras. A cure will show up as an immediate plunge. Charts are very valuable tools. Like all tools, they have their different uses.

747 posted on 04/04/2020 9:11:17 PM PDT by amorphous
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To: Black Agnes

Got you beat by 4 years.


748 posted on 04/04/2020 9:43:31 PM PDT by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)
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To: miserare

Actually it’s 7 decades.

I can’t count.

:-/


749 posted on 04/04/2020 9:44:41 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: metmom

Application: I will not feed the trolls.

LOL. I miss the gym, though. :/


750 posted on 04/04/2020 10:34:01 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: PA Engineer

Thanks. I understood most of it.


751 posted on 04/05/2020 7:24:14 AM PDT by elenvee ("...against all enemies, foreign and domestic..")
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To: amorphous
Well, it's strange. I looked at it on Thursday and it said they were scheduling 3 days out.

I put the order together yesterday and it said to pick a time slot for yesterday. I picked 4-5 pm. I thought it was weird that suddenly they could deliver same day but, whatever.

4-5 came. 5-6. 6-7. No delivery.

I checked this morning and it said it was coming on the 9th.

So, I guess, maybe, Thursday?

I said I had low expectations so not surprised.

752 posted on 04/05/2020 9:42:14 AM PDT by riri (If people still dropping, most aint shopping.)
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To: riri

Yeah, not too dependable. Sounds like ours here.


753 posted on 04/05/2020 10:06:46 AM PDT by amorphous
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To: metmom

get guineas

Possums stink.


754 posted on 04/05/2020 10:28:38 AM PDT by Chickensoup (Voter ID for 2020!! Leftists totalitarian fascists appear to be planning to eradicate conservatives)
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To: metmom

I took most of the day off away from this thread.

Until there is a cure at scale and/or a vaccine, every declaration of victory will be followed by a disaster.

The second wave will start from a much higher baseline and cause many more hospitalizations and deaths.

Check out this China picture:

People are packed at Huangshan (Yellow Mountain), a jagged range of more than 70 knifelike peaks in eastern China’s Anhui province, after quarantine ban lifted in most parts of China

https://twitter.com/QiZHAI/status/1246632280749039617

Most folks are wearing masks, and it is three months since the outbreak in Wuhan.

I would expect a major new virus break-out in China—but the question is whether we will get to hear about it.


755 posted on 04/05/2020 2:40:40 PM PDT by cgbg (Pattern recognition is the first sign of intelligence.)
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To: amorphous

Check out this DC photo:

People hanging out at the Wharf fish markets in DC

https://twitter.com/FenitN/status/1246787615623467012

There is some serious “leakage” going on...


756 posted on 04/05/2020 2:44:11 PM PDT by cgbg (Pattern recognition is the first sign of intelligence.)
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To: Black Agnes

The mistake most people make, including journalists, is to say someone has entered their sixth decade when they turn sixty. No, they have entered their seventh decade when they turn sixty-one. So they get two things wrong at the same time.

Copy editors LOVE to fix things like this and make everyone crazy.


757 posted on 04/05/2020 2:53:11 PM PDT by firebrand
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To: firebrand

Ya. That.

And I can’t add ;)


758 posted on 04/05/2020 2:56:36 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Chickensoup

I’m leaning towards that.

I’ve heard they can go wild but that does not bother me much.


759 posted on 04/05/2020 4:07:38 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: cgbg

I am continuing to prep.

I am taking NOTHING for granted.


760 posted on 04/05/2020 4:08:23 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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