We have absolutely no idea how many cases there actually were as of March 13. As of March 10, for example, Ohio estimated that 100,000 Ohioans likely were infected.
Non-sequitur. She didn’t say it was a hoax; said Dems were using it against the President, blaming him for a pandemic that came from China.
Dr Anthony Fauci Backtracks on Deadliness of Virus
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3829172/posts
“Dr. Anthony Fauci, the health specialist on the coronavirus task force, has said the virus’s mortality rate is closer to that of a bad case of the flu. In a Thursday report published by the New England Journal of Medicine, Fauci conceded COVID-19’s death rate was twice that of the common flu, making it roughly 0.28 percent.
That rate is exceptionally low, especially when compared to that of the SARS and MERS epidemics, which peaked at 9 percent and 36 percent respectively.
His latest comments marked a major about-face for Fauci, who previously claimed the coronavirus was 10 times as deadly as the flu.”
Good morning,Texas. Here is an interactive map that prepared by science that shows their projections if we move as a state from your current order to the #StaySafeStayHome order I have implemented @GovAbbott. 430,000 deaths v 5000 #FlattenTheCurve
https://t.co/2LdZOxWuZJ— Clay Jenkins (@JudgeClayJ) March 23, 2020
Quick thread: Fun facts about Covid Act Now, the org that is mobilizing press, politicians, & citizens to rally behind mass quarantine/lockdown:
1) They were founded by Dem activists. 1 of them, Igor Kofman, works full time to defeat Trump in 2020. Another is a Dem legislator.— Jordan Schachtel (@JordanSchachtel) March 24, 2020
How many other shutdowns refer to that alarmist site? They predict 11k dead in ND with 3 months of social distancing. THAT’S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN!!
Two days ago Hillary tweets a NYT article with a model that predicts huge numbers of dead that looks a lot like the covidactnow.org model.
Pay attention to what Dr. Birx has said about the wildly inaccurate modeling, the UK model was revised DOWN by a factor of 25 this week!!
This looks like a deliberate and organized political/economic hit job. The only trouble haters like Hillary are having is Trump is managing it all like a boss, like perfect.
Travis, are there other cause of death charts for these periods?
Second, when Matt does post a line chart, it's a log chart that presents only cumulative fatalities. Well, until CV is actually eliminated, of course the line will keep increasing! Yet another classic example of how data can be presented to support practically any position. The real chart one should be monitoring daily vs cum, and then calculates the net growth rate %.
(With net growth % you can then determine the "doubling rate" aka rule of 70. Divide 70 by % to find days or vice versa. Example: 70 / 23% = 3 days doubling rate.)
Lastly, the mortality statistics are *constantly* changing as they are corrected, modified and updated - both cumulative totals and daily tallies. If you have access to actual core data, one should stop using 3rd party reference sites - go to the respective wiki page and you will observe the most current, accurate information. On that note, I really suggest people use their own charts to plot their own results. As I keep mentioning, I have an easy-to-use model that is freely available to anyone. Just shoot me a PM for the link.
On that note, here's how the last 5 days compare between Italy & US (net NY). (The models allow you to graph this data a zillion different ways.)
Italy 3/21/2020 4,825 19.7% 793 3.3 3/22/2020 5,475 13.5% 650 3.3 3/23/2020 6,077 11.0% 602 3.3 3/24/2020 6,820 12.2% 743 3.3 3/25/2020 7,503 10.0% 683 3.3 3/26/2020 8,215 9.5% 712 3.3 3/27/2020 9,134 11.2% 919 3.3 Growth rate 28 Days 33.7% 36 Days 28.8% US (net NY) 3/21/2020 240 30.4% 56 3/22/2020 332 38.3% 92 3/23/2020 362 9.0% 30 3/24/2020 410 13.3% 48 3/25/2020 621 51.5% 211 3/26/2020 774 24.6% 153 3/27/2020 957 23.6% 183 Growth rate 28 Days 27.8% 36 Days 24.6%https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Italy
You selling gold or something? I don’t get your fear mongering.
We don’t know if those are accurate numbers since it seems States are using presumptive numbers. If you have the symptoms, which are similar to the flu, they count it as the virus.
Even so, we have had tens of thousands die from the flu this year, so having even 1,246 die from the virus is still nothing to kill the country over.
Interesting.
Seems like the numbers are jumping exponentially, just like in Italy.
Flu for 2018 was over 80,000 dead.