Here's the actual order
Posted on 03/28/2020 6:03:06 AM PDT by Steve1999
Fox Business Network fired anchor Trish Regan. The network made the announcement on Friday saying that they have officially “parted ways” with Regan. “We thank her for her contributions to the network over the years and wish her continued success in her future endeavors,” the network said in a statement. “We will continue our reduced live primetime schedule for the foreseeable future in an effort to allocate staff resources to continuous breaking news coverage on the Coronavirus crisis.”
(Excerpt) Read more at newspushed.com ...
You have no idea what a FACT is, and you are a snake oil salesman.
Let's start by examining post 18, which states: Good morning,Texas. Here is an interactive map that prepared by science that shows their projections if we move as a state from your current order to the #StaySafeStayHome order I have implemented @GovAbbott. 430,000 deaths v 5000 #FlattenTheCurve
https://t.co/2LdZOxWuZJ— Clay Jenkins (@JudgeClayJ) March 23, 2020
There isn't a fact in any of that. It's just a bunch of BSing with links to things. SO let's follow some of the links:
Link 1 - #FlattentheCurve - this just leads to a hashtag aggregation of twitter tweets such as pictures of peole on the beach. Which of these tweets are you referring to.
Link 2 https://t.co/2LdZOxWuZJ - https://covidactnow.org/state/TX - " Stating To prevent hospital overload, stricter intervention must be implemented by: Apr 18 to Apr 23"
It then shows a set of curves - predictions based on models about what will happen with and without action to flatten the curve.
None of this is data or fact. It is blather, or projection. Now the models are not wrong, but they don't support the position that this is just the flu, no need to panic, and let's just go about our business and ignore the thing because we don't mind losing some old guys who might die.
Like I said. You are a snake-oil salesman.
Brother, I hear ya. My point isn’t is it or isn’t it. My point is we don’t destroy our country while waiting to find out. The massive damage to small and large businesses is not in the trillions, and many small business owners are now goners. Frustrating.
I will stipulate that the degree of infection is likely higher than the total number of positives measured to date, but there are some things we do know. First, based on negative to positive test percentages it cannot be orders of magnitude higher. Second, this is nowhere near saturating because you cannot get an exponential increase in a saturated population. You have to have the case that the rate of infection less the rate of recovery is greater than one to keep an exponential increase going. In fact the rate of increase is somewhere between a doubling every two or three days right now.
Further the rate of mutation is known and so we can trace back where the disease came from and how many generations have existed here in the US.
Well why didn't you just state that that was your point of view on post 18 rather than post gibberish.
But we know what happens if you ignore the "wildly inflated model show at www.covidactnow.org. You get Italy or New York - overwhelmed hospitals, like the model suggests.
More to the point, Travis's posted plots are actual data of what has been going on - ignoring China for the nonce. We have clearly been on an exponential increase. There is some reason to believe that today we have finally, through social distancing, knocked it flat, but that is just one day of data and we will have to see.
I see you made it to the covid act now site. Those death projections are based on the UK model that was so far off it was revised down by a factor of 25 earlier this week. Dr. Birx went over this at a presser a few days ago, and stated that the models a scaring Americans for no reason.
Now go read the tweet thread linked in post 20. You will learn who is behind covidactnow.org, a site that went online March 15 and is being quoted by politicians in shutdown orders.
Nothing I’m saying is snake oil, it’s fact.
11,000 will die in ND with three months of social distancing?? STUPID!
431,000 will die in TX with three months of social distancing?? STUPID!!
Why should we ruin out economy using GIGO covid death models??
THINK!!!
I’ll be back in three months to see how far off those projections were.
Forget China. Do you believe that the US is lying, or Switzerland fer CHRISSAkes
Post 18 is an exact quote of the tweet. It’s Judge Clay Jenkins Jackson’s words not mine.
I thought people would be smart enough to figure that out. Sorry.
The whole point of all of those projections was to urge strict introduction of social distancing, quarantine, and whatever other public health measures are appropriate.
But fools like you are suggesting we shouldn't be doing any of that.
You can't, because the world has adopted public health measures. Therefore you cannot measure what would have happened without them.
“Those are the projected death rates without social distancing,”
No you are wrong. The rate for TX without social distancing is 583,000 and for ND is 15000.
And you call me an idiot.
Learn to read, and COMPREHEND what you read, before calling others idiots.
And another thing you got wrong. The https://covidactnow.org/state/TX projections are not “death” projections but projections of required hospitalizations, e.g. projecting 171 K hospitalizations in NY with social distancing peaking in another month, worst case or 33k hospitalizations “best case.” Since 6,000 have been hospitalized in NY city already, that is not impossible going forward.
Beautiful girl....and she can sing, too.
I am just looking at the axis on the chart. I don’t know where you are looking. I am looking here https://covidactnow.org/state/TX
Wrong again. The numbers I’m quoting are in a column labeled “Estimated Deaths”.
WTF is wrong with you??
SCROLL DOWN!!
Interesting.
Seems like the numbers are jumping exponentially, just like in Italy.
More to the point, you keep stating that those things are DATA and FACTS. They are not. They are projections based upon models. The charts Travis showed are actual historical data some perhaps of questionable reliability. But what you are hyperventilating about is neither FACT nor is it DATA.
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