Posted on 03/16/2020 7:20:27 AM PDT by Dr. Marten
"Don’t believe the numbers when you see, even on our Johns Hopkins website, that 1,600 Americans have the virus,” he said. “No, that means 1,600 got the test, tested positive. There are probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed.”
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...
I think my wife had it too
It was like a nasty flu but she tested negative for the flu B
Lasted about 7 days severe and another 2-4 days of malaise
The Establishment is yelling fire in a crowed theater.
The worst guesses are guesses by “experts” before any data on which to base their guestimate. The ONLT things that are important is what actually happens, not any guesses as to what might happen.
If that’s a good guess, then we’ll see in a few days and take some time off.
My list includes several more and they are all scum.
It does dilute the numbers of asymptomatics but not quite that much as several have been ill and denied testing because they didn’t meet the travel or known exposure criteria. So the silently infected and community spreadees have likely not been accounted for.
Just what percentage of people who “get this” NEED a stay in the ICU? I’d wager that it is very, very small.
I saw discussion on another site; wherein this doctor had applied the usual “factor of 10” before applying the factor of 25 above.
And elsewhere on FR, the health official from Ohio who mentioned the “100,000 infected” in Ohio backpedaled.
A lot of this reminds me of the pile-on over the “grab ‘em by the ...kitty” remark scandal with Trump; e.g. Geraldo starting rumors and then backpedaling like hell when Trump threatened him with a lawsuit.
It’s possible to have both a genuine crisis, and people exaggerating the hell out of it for political or monetary reasons (e..g George Sore-Ass mad a lot of his money shorting the British pound).
Actually, I think this is right. This was HERE in Decmeber, maybe mid-December, and few knew it. I know a dozen people who got “the flu” and recovered.
The reality is, this is an extremely NON-lethal flu, the likelihood is that many Americans had it, recovered and are immune.
Of course but I was using the ‘example’ as
I can do better than you, watch this.
OH YEAH, bet you can’t top this....
IF ALL THESE CLOWNS AREN’T TURNED OUT, WE DEFINITELY WILL BE DOOMED....or at least WISH we were...
Once the snowball starts and ‘they’ can get away with it, no telling what the schiffheads will come up with, JUST to exercise their ‘new powers’.
Why the greater probability? At least 80% of cases aren’t reported. And there’s a 2 to 10 day period where the contagious don’t have symptoms.
The issue isn't the percentage of those who get this; it's the absolute number of those who need advanced medical care, compared to the number of hospital beds available.
One of the issues is the need for airborne containment in the hospital, negative pressure rooms; there are only so many of those to go around.
Once the hospital capacity gets swamped, then one gets into triage of patients by age, co-morbidity, obesity, etc.
South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Japan, seem to have kept this from running out of control. But I think that was due to aggressive testing / quarantine at the earliest stages.
Italy has hundreds of thousands of Chinese working in the garment industry, who went home for Chinese New Year and brought it back.
The US is between those two responses -- Trump stopped flights from China over a month ago, but only on US-flagged carriers. Apparently we're still getting over 1,000 people/day from China.
And then there's the little matter of Turdeau in Canada allowing all flights from China. We might need to build a SECOND wall besides the one bordering Mexico...
Well I guess I need to start!
I feel we had it in our household too but in Decemeber.....profound tiredness and a cough that lasted..
You just don’t get math.
Assuming 500k have it that means that 4 days ago 250k, 4 days before that 125k, 4 days before that 62.5k...
Where are the 4% of those previously infected that are ALREADY DEAD???
Apart from the nursing home, we have about 20 fatalities at this point in the entire country. TWENTY!!!!
TWO...ZERO!!!
You think there are a bunch of dead people hiding in the bushes? Where are the victims???
If this guy is right the WORST CASE (only 50k currently infected) mortality rate is about 0.3% which is ONE THIRTIETH the SARS death rate of 10%.
Give me a freaking break...
Her mistake was just being about 20 years too soon. She just had to wait until we all accepted faggotry, and then teaching kids masturbation would seem tame in comparison.
In all seriousness, I’ve felt for a long time that once Trump is out - be it in 2021 or 2025 - we’re done.
It won’t happen that day, but I think it will be pretty swift.
And people will die because of this economic shutdown.
For example, what about the inevitable increase in suicides because people can’t earn a living... think of the single young mom supporting herself and her infants...
Will these deaths even matter?
There is NOT a no cost solution to this disease.
98.5% or greater of the people who get this flu completely recover. Now how scary does that sound?
Turn off the TV and wash your hands and stay out of crowds just like for the regular flu. This is not an epidemic.
It is also reported that a lot of survivors may be infertile, as the virus attacks binding sites in the testes.
And of those who do require advanced medical care (roughly 10% of those tested positive), many suffer lifelong damage to the lungs.
The issue is not the 90% of people who shrug it off; the issue is the very severe side effects among those who *don't*.
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