Posted on 03/14/2020 4:18:31 PM PDT by Lazamataz
I want to share with you some scenes that greeted me at my local Kroger today.
These are scenes from a panicked populace.
Like locusts, they are stripping the shelves bare.
Kroger Toilet Paper aisle.
Kroger Deli Meat aisle.
Kroger bottled water aisle.
Yes, I am. Just not today.
Yeah. I keep reading down through and run into his crap, then see who wrote it. I dont really care. Just pointing out that hes bad news.
I just report the numbers, I don’t make them up.
Your error is watching the “news”.
I still see some stuff in the deli aisle but can’t make it out.
Looks like every town along the highway from houston after that mass panic, what was the storm after Katrina? Can’t remember. It will be like that after this frenzy passes.
BTW, Waddlemart here is business as usual. I went there today and got everything I was looking for. No panic, no crowds, no drama. Rural America is like that.
How dare they!!!
yeah I saw that price.....guess they really didn’t want to sell....
Prices in OkC have been falling, but my local station not budging off of $1.85. Fuel was $1.29/Gal in a couple places in town...one totally out the other had a full parking lot with people waiting to fuel up in the street. Walmart here was bare, but found a neighborhood market that was well-stocked.
It's complicated with many unknowns. How many die will also depend on actions taken. Below are charts that may give a somewhat better understanding of what the US and world face. These are actual numbers of cases and deaths:
US
Now imagine adding 30 more days to the right of the last date on the timeline while projecting the ever rising numbers exponentially! You will then have a fair grasp of the possible numbers in 30 days time.
Here is a projection of world cases:
World
The dotted line is the theoretical line, while the plain line is the real case line.
The mathematical formula: "2.3514*exp(0.169*X)"
Source: https://corona-virus-chart.co/
Sez who?
Im not playing lets pretend medicine in 2020 is equivalent to medicine in 1918.
In 1918, we also traveled mostly by train, riverboat, steamship or on horseback. Contagious illnesses just couldn't spread as far or as fast. Coastal cities were most vulnerable - one hundred miles inland, not nearly as much. So the question becomes, have our medical advances kept pace with other facets of modern life, which can unintentionally multiply the viral spread?
The next week or so should tell us the answer.
Thanks to locust hoarders, 24/7 Walmart just announced closing at 11pm and re-open at 6am as of tomorrow.
" Explanation:
According to WHO, based on analysis of 44,000 cases of COVID-19 in Hubei province, around 80% of people have a mild form of the disease, 14% developed more severe disease such as pneumonia, 5% have critical disease, and 2% of cases are fatal.
Among those who died, many had preexisting conditions, including hypertension, diabetes, or cardiovascular disease.
The median time from initial symptoms to death was 14 days (range 641 days).
Men had a death rate of 2.8% while women had a death rate of 1.7%. In those under the age of 50 the risk of death is less than 0.5% while in those over the age of 70 it is more than 8%.
Global health organisations have published preventive measures to reduce the chances of infection which are: staying home, avoiding travel and public activities, frequent washing of hands with soap and water; not touching the eyes, nose, or mouth with unwashed hands; and practicing good respiratory hygiene. In comparison of the normal flu:
The coronavirus is about 20-34 times more deadly than the normal flu. On average, seasonal flu strains kill about 0.1 percent of people who become infected. Early estimates of the coronavirus death rate from China, the epicenter of the outbreak, have been around 2 percent. But a new report finds a much higher rate: 3.4 percent. The coronavirus is about 1.7 times more transmittable than the flu. Each person with the coronavirus appears to infect 2.2 other people, on average. By comparison, the figure for the seasonal flu is roughly 1.3.
Who is most at risk from infection?
Both the coronavirus and influenza are most dangerous to people who are older than 65, or have chronic illnesses or a weak immune system."
Source:
So what are YOUR estimates for the cumulative number of Americans DEAD from Coronavirus as of both April 14, 2020 and December 31, 2020.
Im also particularly interested in the personal estimates of Travis McGee since hes been conducting a jihad aimed at triggering Coronavirus HYSTERIA.
I looked into this a bit more since our exchange a few days ago.
What Im hearing is there are 100,000 Wuhan/Wenzhou Chinese immigrants in northern Italy who have moved there to work in the factories, leather goods and textiles, sold by Italians to the Chinese in recent decades. Direct flights from Wuhan to Italy.
I wonder how many patients in Italian hospitals are Chinese.
Interesting graphics, the log graph vs. the straight line exponential rise. Of note is something learned from Italy and colleagues there: the PM is (or was) an open borders Leftistn near commie, and the socialistic medical delivery system woefully inadequate in the care of patients put out a directive to “not treat” confirmed infected patients who are 80 years old or more. That is— to just let them die.
This is what obamaumaocare was (and is being still pushed) to be— rationing by denial of care. Criminal.
Italy at one point had 10K “cases” and 800 deaths. So the graphic depicting how many “days behind Italy” is most telling. Getting ahead of no European flights to US, Monday midnight begins no UK or Ireland flights to US.
Thanks again for the graphics, and the historical reference. There is a fairly good you tub of the “Spanish Flu”, and origins in point of new analysis from Army training camps in Kansas. Fascinating how fast and the asymptomatic hidden carriers who infected others. Element of that in the 3-7 day “infectablity” of this coronavirus-19.
lol
TM is more than capable of speaking for himself, but I'm here to tell you that Travis isn't aiming to triggering a hysteria. He is trying to warn you, and others, of the coming Corona virus tsunami.
It's only days and weeks away. Travis is doing what any red blooded American patriotic who has done their homework would do, and that is warn their fellow Americans of an approaching storm.
This is the big one folks. The numbers are there for all to see.
As for an estimate, there are too many unknowns to make an accurate prediction. Too much depends on the actions taken (i.e. chinese style lockdown, etc), and how fast scientists can develop a cure, etc.
Don't hold me to it, and barring a mutation that makes it more or less virulent, it could to be anywhere from 10 to 40 times deadlier than the flu. So please, please, please take this serious!
We experienced similar conditions at the Kroger on Five Forks Trickum yesterday. It was orderly but everyone was filling carts to the brim. No TP or paper towels were left. Bread was almost all gone. Meat and dairy were running low. It was pretty surreal.
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