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Corona Virus daily thread #16

Posted on 03/13/2020 11:11:42 AM PDT by Mariner

Yesterday's thread is here: http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3823939/posts?page=1301


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: anotherstupidvanity; chinaflu; commoncold; communityspread; covid19; cvlivethread; flubros; justtheflufools; kungflu; plaguethread; sarscov2; skyisfalling; thisisseries; wuhansarscov2
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To: cgbg

LAX police officer tests positive:

https://twitter.com/NYDailyNews/status/1239210859928436738


2,061 posted on 03/15/2020 8:53:01 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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To: cgbg

UCSF health care workers test positive:

https://twitter.com/NYDailyNews/status/1239210859928436738


2,062 posted on 03/15/2020 8:54:09 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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To: cgbg

Would you mind posting the tweets and not just the link please?


2,063 posted on 03/15/2020 8:54:12 AM PDT by LilFarmer
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To: RightGeek

Everyone’s favorite idiot - Derp: AOC Advises People to Eat at Home Just Days After Calling People ‘Racists’ for Eating at Home - https://www.redstate.com/sister-toldjah/2020/03/14/derp-aoc-advises-people-to-eat-at-home-just-days-after-calling-people-racists-for-eating-at-home/


2,064 posted on 03/15/2020 8:54:30 AM PDT by RightGeek (FUBO and the donkey you rode in on)
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To: LilFarmer

If I can figure out how to do it... :-)


2,065 posted on 03/15/2020 8:55:36 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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To: cgbg
From your link:


2,066 posted on 03/15/2020 8:55:43 AM PDT by LilFarmer
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To: LilFarmer

Thanks for all of the updates.

Sounds like Phillipines has a good system...with contact tracing, quarantines, etc.


2,067 posted on 03/15/2020 8:56:53 AM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.cuase)
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To: cgbg

Dan Goldman, who led the House impeachment investigation as an aide to Schiff, has tested positive for coronavirus, an aide confirms

https://twitter.com/samstein/status/1239217804592676874


2,068 posted on 03/15/2020 8:57:59 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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To: cgbg

FYI

yah Galal
@ayahgalal
·
1m
We are standing by for an update from
@uconnhealth
doctors and
@MayorBronin
after a patient tested positive for COVID-19. You can stream the press conference live @ 12pm on
@WFSBnews
app & our Channel 3 FB page. So far, 21 residents have tested positive for #coronavirus in CT.


2,069 posted on 03/15/2020 8:59:25 AM PDT by LilFarmer
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To: RightGeek
Pennsylvania has mail order booze?

"UPDATE: All state-run liquor stories in Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery counties will close, effective Tuesday, March 16, until further notice, the Pennsylvania Liquor Control Board said Saturday. All 88 stores in Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery counties will be open regular hours tomorrow, Sunday, March 15. On Monday, March 16, only select locations will open. That list can be found at the bottom of this story. The LCB noted that Pennsylvania residents can shop for wine and spirits at www.FineWineAndGoodSpirits.com, having purchases shipped directly to their homes."

From https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/somber-time-not-necessarily-sober-pa-liquor-stores-to-remain-open-for-now/2326173/

2,070 posted on 03/15/2020 8:59:29 AM PDT by RightGeek (FUBO and the donkey you rode in on)
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To: LilFarmer

MI

The Michigan Department of Health and Human Services announced on March 14 that eight additional adults tested positive for coronavirus.

The state’s total for cases is now 33.

The details of the new cases include:

Detroit, adult male with history of domestic travel and contact with someone with a confirmed case.
Oakland County, adult male with history of domestic travel.
Oakland County, adult male with unknown travel history.
Oakland County, adult female with history of contact with someone with a confirmed case.
Macomb County, adult male with no known travel history and no known contact with someone with a confirmed case.
Monroe County, adult female with history of domestic travel.
Wayne County, adult female with unknown travel history and no known contact with someone with a confirmed case.
Washtenaw County, adult female with history of contact with someone with a confirmed case.

https://www.wnem.com/news/michigan-announces-new-positive-cases-of-covid—totaling/article_33a29e48-665a-11ea-93b4-3fdff17381d0.html


2,071 posted on 03/15/2020 9:00:25 AM PDT by LilFarmer
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To: cgbg

If you read through the comments on the Schiff aide you will find out he had serious symptoms, spent six hours in a hospital emergency room in DC, and they didn’t want to test him.

If there was any doubt DC will be a hot spot, that doubt has been removed imho.


2,072 posted on 03/15/2020 9:01:14 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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To: cgbg

Some would call that ‘karma’.


2,073 posted on 03/15/2020 9:01:25 AM PDT by hoagy62 (America Supreme!)
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To: Ozark Tom; Thud

Regards this:

>>You send staff at the power plants to Mars, in effect.
>>Isolate the facility from intrusion of outside sources of
>>infection. Drop ship essential supplies which are then
>>treated with a portable gamma source for sterilization. A
>>military operation provides security, access control
>>outside the facility.

If it has not happened already, it’s too late.

Between the Super Tuesday elections and the nation wide “Black Death Friday” panic buying spree over this past week end, the likely now low end number of 30,000 or so pre-symptomatic or low symptomatic cases were well mixed with the healthy. (I’m assuming 3000 or so confirmed US cases as of the early morning of 3-15-2020 times ten).

Quite a number of medical professionals use higher numbers.

A medical professor at Johns Hopkins University named Marty Makary believes that...


...there are “probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed”…

“Don’t believe the numbers when you see, even on our Johns Hopkins website, that 1,600 Americans have the virus,” he said.

“No, that means 1,600 got the test, tested positive. There are probably 25 to 50 people who have the virus for every one person who is confirmed.”

He added:

“I think we have between 50,000 and half a million cases right now walking around in the United States.”


There is a model accessible at this article:

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

Which states some of it’s results on the chances of different sized business having COVID-19 positive on their staffs like this:


“...It enables you to assess the likely number of cases in your area, the probability that your employees are already infected, how that evolves over time, and how that should tell you whether to remain open.

It tells us things like:

>>If your company had 100 employees in the Washington state area, which had 11 coronavirus deaths on 3/8, there was a 25% chance at least one of your employees was infected, and you should have closed immediately.

>>If your company had 250 employees mostly in the South Bay (San Mateo and Santa Clara counties, which together had 22 official cases on 3/8 and the true number was probably at least 54), by 3/9 you would have had ~2% chances to have at least one employee infected, and you should have closed your office too.

>>[Updated as of 3/12] If your company is in Paris (intramuros), and it has 250 employees, today there’s a 95% chance that one of your employees has the coronavirus, and you should close your office by tomorrow.

The model uses labels such as “company” and “employee”, but the same model can be used for anything else: schools, mass transit… So if you have only 50 employees in Paris, but all of them are going to take the train, coming across thousands of other people, suddenly the likelihood that at least one of them will get infected is much higher and you should close your office immediately.”


The odds are that Comanche Peak, given its proximity to DFW airport and the the multiple positives in the Ft Worth area and the STP plant at Bay City’s proximity to the Houston outbreak already have undiagnosed COVID-19 cases on their staffs without the testing to identify the sick and quarantine the exposed.

You have got to do both testing and quarantine of the exposed _Before_ you seal up the plants or you simply seal the disease inside with the staff in a cruise ship like high R(O) transmission environment.


2,074 posted on 03/15/2020 9:01:30 AM PDT by Dark Wing (terrorism, disease, public health)
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To: RightGeek
Of course, there is the DIY variety


2,075 posted on 03/15/2020 9:08:08 AM PDT by RightGeek (FUBO and the donkey you rode in on)
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To: hoagy62

To date DC has only tested 116 people.

Every employee and staff member in that hospital should have been tested by now, as well as any patients and visitors for the past week—that would have been well over a thousand people.

In addition, anyone the aide had contact with prior to his illness should have been traced and tested.

Obviously, very little of that happened, so the virus is “in the wild” in DC hospital and .gov land.


2,076 posted on 03/15/2020 9:08:35 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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To: Thud; Tilted Irish Kilt

They are less than a week from SHTF in NY City.

https://medium.com/@donnellymjd/covid-19-new-york-will-be-the-next-italy-but-doesnt-have-to-be-54a5c8137d42

Tl;dr:

Analysis strongly suggests that the NYC metro area has 5–10 days to quarantine the city or face dramatically overwhelmed hospitals, extremely high death rates, and a ruined economy.

The outlook for NYC and COVID-19 is bleak. The policy response is far too slow and too weak to meet the needs of the moment.


2,077 posted on 03/15/2020 9:09:30 AM PDT by Dark Wing (terrorism, disease, public health)
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To: cgbg

This has blind-sided the DC establishment so badly that they couldn’t even protect themselves.

This is just stupidity, not a conspiracy, imho...

I _love_ conspiracy theories, but we have been all over this for weeks, while the DC folks are acting like they are clueless, even when it comes to protecting themselves and their loved ones, so I believe they really are clueless.


2,078 posted on 03/15/2020 9:14:18 AM PDT by cgbg (No half measures.)
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To: EBH

Glad to hear you’re doing better this morning.
I agree, the feeling of “loss of control” really bites.


2,079 posted on 03/15/2020 9:15:02 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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To: LilFarmer

Yep. Back during the AIDS scare in the 80s, I read that singing is one of the best ways to aerosolize lung beasties.


2,080 posted on 03/15/2020 9:17:32 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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