Posted on 03/02/2020 12:52:39 PM PST by Vermont Lt
Continuation of Live Thread from No 7.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3820821/posts
That’s pretty grim. The youngest Dem now is Biden.
That’s scary in itself.
Assuming that's true (and I'm not challenging it), then you're right. But our numbers in the U.S. are way too low at this point for any statistics to have real meaning.
But if you look at the official numbers that include all patients, then the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) currently stands at somewhere between 3.4% and 6.3%, depending on how many of those who still have the disease end up dying.
Compare that to a CFR for seasonal flu of less than 0.1%. The Spanish Flu is estimated to have had a CFR of around 2.5%.
That, folks, along with the obvious ease with which the virus is spreading, and it's obvious ability to overwhelm a health care system, is why this is being taken so seriously. The CFR in a system where the virus is relatively contained will almost certainly be lower than the CFR in an overwhelmed system.
Still, my preparations center more around the supply chain and stock market disruptions than they do around avoiding or surviving the virus.
I'm around there too. I don't think many have really been watching what other countries are doing to slow it's spread. That includes, as you said, quarantines on a massive scale.
You cannot base the six deaths as anything. Why do folks think this is going to be over in a week.
Put your slippers on. Get a cup of tea. Settle in. This story is on episode 1. And it’s a ten part binge.
Ssssh...the first rule is you don’t talk about it.
Ten seasons, and episode 1 of 20.
Great post! We need to be prepared to possibly be confined to our homes for up to a month or to have enough in case stores run out due to the factors you mentioned.
A bunch. Many folks don’t show symptoms for a while, or at all.
*** The youngest Dem now is Biden. ***
Tulsi Gabbard
Quite frankly, your lack of concern for the concern of the resident concern trolls... concerns me. Or something.
Oh, wait - nevermind. Not concerned.
P.S. Obama had 1000 American deaths before he labelled H1N1 an emergency. Over 12,000 Americans died from H1N1 and over 500,000 globally. I don’t remember the serious concern in the media or on this board when the great Obamanator was whistling past the swine flu graveyard.
The central banks injected a boatload offree money. It’s like throwing gas on a fire.
Nothing else changed. There is still little coming out of China.
But, we will see.
I heard from my brother that his wife told him not to kiss the dog. It can make her dog sick.
You also don’t want to be caught up in big crowds with panic buying situations, and I hate waiting in lines so don’t want to be in stores that have long lines.
Good news, for your son. I know you have to be relieved.
That flu that kills about 30K per year has a 0.1% fatality rate.
Coronavirus has a 2% fatality rate, or 20X higher.
And it also has a much higher R-Naught, or infectiousness.
The 2% is “best case” when first-world medical systems can keep up. Once hospitals are overrun, the 15% serious rate becomes the death rate.
Dead cat bounce.
Keep in mind that today’s fatality numbers correlate to LAST weeks case number. There is a week before being reported and death, on average.
OREGON
Oregon’s 3rd case, Wild Horse resort and casino in Pendleton. Casino is closed until further notice.
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