I should add that we currently have about 930,000 hospital beds in the U.S. for a population of 327M.
Related:
California lab says it discovered Coronavirus vaccine in 3 hours
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3816512/posts
“They’re bullshit and don’t reflect how truly bad it is”
Very true!
YouTube pulled down several videos last week of the apocalyptic empty streets of Wuhan. All storefronts closed, and only two dudes riding bikes on the streets.
The body burning began a while back and you can see it on satellite maps.
Agree - although based on what I can see coming out of China - and hints from friends still working in ‘DC’, I’m guessing that current fatalities are in the 50-100k range.
That said, even though the numbers the last couple of days have spiked (due to a different diagnostic methodology) things seem to be calming down in Wuhan. We may dodge this bullet.
If it does break out world wide we are looking at a billion dead.
Im expecting a shipment from China, ordered before this stuff hit the fan, but the first place it is going is in the microwave.
This is not the fault of the people on the ground, some of whom are literally working themselves to death. To ask a nurse how many people she treated at the end of a 16-hour shift is going to get you the answer "everyone I could". Those are going to be raw numbers and carry with them their own error rates and that's just how it is. What is difficult to forgive is the stubborn insistence on laundering these numbers with an eye to political advantage that takes place at every level in a country where the political is everything. It is a tendency that is not absent from American politics as well. Prayers up for the docs and the nurses and curses for the system that is letting them and their patients down.
Let’s hope there would be a certified vaccine in 6 months. And let’s hope it would be before a billion fatalities. :)
Any Chinese provided disease figures are so unreliable as to not form the basis for reasonable analysis. Unfortunately.
My humble attempt at making sense of it says that the disease course is 18 days to recovery, but 21 days to death. (On the average and in VERY broad terms.)
On 2/12, I predicted
2/13 21:30, 1425 dead, actual 1383, 2.8% low.
2/14 21:30, 1500 dead
2/15 21:30, 1990 dead
If Im close (±15%) Ill tell you how. So far, so good.
Although you should be able to figure out the method to my madness with that much info...
Bring Out Your Dead
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.
******
Is the Coronavirus now unstoppable? New Data (video)
*****
Updated number on health care workers in China infected. I had 500, latest article say 1,700 now.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/virus-cases-rise-as-experts-question-china-s-numbers-1.4811641
Presently, All cases in America have been controlled. The infected have been identified, isolated and treated.
Start to worry when someone becomes infected who has not travelled anywhere. Hopefully, this won’t happen until it gets warm outside.
Also, it would’ve been nice if Paul Ryan hadn’t interfered with the BUILDING OF THE WALL.
1200 bodies are being burned everyday
More than 1.5 million are under observation
Not 20,000 or 30,000, more than 50,000 are gone
COVID-19 is 30 times more deadly than the seasonal flu based on current numbers.
2.1% vs 0.07%