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No food, no fuel, no phones: Bushfires showed we're only ever one step from system collapse
phys.org ^ | February 7, 2020 | Anthony Richardson

Posted on 02/10/2020 4:52:20 AM PST by BenLurkin

This summer's bushfires were not just devastating events in themselves. More broadly, they highlighted the immense vulnerability of the systems which make our contemporary lives possible.

The fires cut road access, which meant towns ran out of fuel and fell low on food. Power to towns was cut and mobile phone services stopped working. So too did the ATMs and EFTPOS services the economy needs to keep running.

In a modern, wealthy nation such as Australia, how could this happen?

In a human sense, social systems range from the small, such as a family, to large organizations or the national or global population.

The systems I mentioned just now are "complex" systems. This means they are connected to other systems in many ways. It also means a change in one part of the system, such as a bushfire in a landscape, can set off unpredicted changes in connected systems—be they political, technological, economic or social.

All complex systems have three things in common: they need a constant supply of energy to maintain their functioning they are interconnected across a range of scales, from the personal and local to the global and beyond they are fragile when they have no "redundancy," or Plan B.

To better understand a complex system collapse, let's examine what happened in Victoria's East Gippsland region, particularly the coastal town of Mallacoota, during the recent fires.

This case demonstrates how one trigger (in this case, a bushfire) may start a cascade of events, but the intrinsic fragility of the system enables total collapse.

(Excerpt) Read more at m.phys.org ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: arson; arsonists; complexsystems; prepper; preppers; shtf
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To: BenLurkin

Back in 2015 my area suffered something similar. During the Great Flood, my county was cut off from all forms of travel. I-95 was shut down as were every other road coming in. For a week, no supplies were able to be brought in. The SC National Guard airlifted bottles of water and other supplies in for residents. Stores (Walmart included) had empty shelves because trucks nor trains could bring goods in. Power was out for weeks, and we re-learned how to make do without electricity. By the Grace of God we made it and we are stronger for it.


21 posted on 02/10/2020 8:38:02 AM PST by MissEdie (I am South Carolina Strong.)
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To: metmom

My expectation is that after the election in November, “the usual suspects” will be rioting, either in celebration or rage.

Be prepared.


22 posted on 02/10/2020 9:11:27 AM PST by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: BenLurkin

This could have been many parts of California the past 3 falls

In the first fires in the first fall, we lost electricity and that took out most of our cell phones and so called land mines. Our city and county lost power and phones at 7:45 am the first morning of that year for 3-5 days. We had family members within an hour or less of a drive and many local friends that we didn’t hear from for 3-4 days, and they didn’t hear from us for days..

Most stores closed as they had zero power to run cash registers, inside lights and refrigeration for food supplies.

The next 48 hours were pure chaos as nothing worked and zero stores were open.

Cell phones were basically out for 3-4 days, and most land lines were down or not working.

Communities with am radio stations were about the only connection most of us had in our cities/counties. Then, you had to have solar or crank batteries to listen to them after the first day.

Our refrigerated food spoiled and so did a lot of our frozen foods.

During the recent fall fires:

Our back up batteries lasted the 3+ days this time and our cell phones were kept charged. So, we could contact relatives and friends locally and across the nation. Most of the cell phone companies stayed up and running for the entire brush fire time.

Basically minimal food spoiled, this time. We had frozen a lot of water bottles and had put them on the top shelves in our frig and freezer.


23 posted on 02/10/2020 9:12:43 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Our president is now serving Democrats the hemlock tea, they ordered up with a smile!zers.)
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To: metmom

“Christian”, from the Ice Age Farmer youtube channel, makes the case that even with no coronavirus in this country, we’re going to be badly affected by this because China produces a lot of stuff we use, including 97% of our pharmaceuticals, and they’re heading toward the entire country being quarantined.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xr5cnm-RAC4


24 posted on 02/10/2020 9:21:51 AM PST by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: BenLurkin

Imagine what a determined force could with local support.


25 posted on 02/10/2020 10:18:26 AM PST by RedMonqey
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To: DuncanWaring

Mine, too.

Exactly.

I will be ready.


26 posted on 02/10/2020 10:20:32 AM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: Politically Correct

“..even if you have food stored and a source of water, fire will negatively impact many plans.”

Yep. Fire, plus flood, avalanche, distance, mechanical breakdown, traffic, riots, zombies...

A lot of “preppers” are purchasing and attempting to weekend-prep their “bug-out” hideaways— 100s of miles away from current home & employment (not to mention tools & building supplies) atop some remote mountain with exactly one access/ egress road, no neighbors, & no communications towers.
Hey, we’ll dig our own well, mill our own lumber, build a cabin,
and plant a garden in a few weekends— and we’re all set to survive the Apocalypse!


27 posted on 02/10/2020 11:07:21 AM PST by mumblypeg
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To: BenLurkin

Plain and simple , you need to learn how to exist without electricity or communications

it’s that simple

Life existed on this planet for millennia before the iPhone and before electricity

The saddest thing in the modern world is the people waste their entire lives staring into a 2 x 4” piece of glass

it is very very sad


28 posted on 02/10/2020 11:21:41 AM PST by Truthoverpower (The guv mint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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