[Tolerance Sucks Rocks]

The real estimated fatality rate is now down to about 24 percent. That’s encouraging, considering it was above 40 percent recently.

[Myrddin]

Mike Adams does the math based on official "good news" from the Chinese government. Base on his analysis, 17% is the mortality rate in China. See the article, DO THE MATH: China holds “good news” press conference, accidentally admits the coronavirus mortality rate is closer to 17 per cent.

[DoughtyOne]

At the 21:43 PST report, it was 23.02%.

It has been dropping like a rock now that people are starting to recover. On the 27th it was 62.94%.

I don't consider that any more accurate than what I was first doing, comparing deaths to the documented cases.

Imagine reporting out a 62.94% mortality rate. People would drop dead just hearing the number.

Within 3-5 days, the mortality rate will be close to 10% and still dropping.

Daily new cases that were at 35.38% on the 28th, are now at 7.63%.

I came up with an "active cases" category, by taking the documented cases and subtracting the fatality and recovered numbers.

For the last four days that number has increased as follows.

DT  ACTIVE  INCREASE
    
05: 26,517  3,400
06: 29,246  2,729
07: 32,041  2,795
08: 34,018  1,977  58.15%

Notice the drop off in the size of the increases each day?

In three days the daily increase in remaining active documented cases has dropped 42.85%.

In less than a week it's likely the number of active documented cases will start dropping each day, even thought some new cases will be documented each day.

We're still losing people, so this isn't great news, but we are beginning to see things clearly turn in a good direction.