Posted on 11/19/2019 3:40:51 PM PST by metmom
As gun policy discussions unfold in the wake of mass shooter incidents, they routinely end in three buckets.
There’s the “tyranny can never happen here” bucket, which the left has mostly abdicated in the wake of Trump winning after they called (and still call) him a tyrant.
There’s the “you can’t fight the army with small arms” bucket, which is increasingly unsound given our ongoing decade-and-a-half war with Afghani tribal goat herders.
And there’s the “what the hell do you need an AR-15 for anyway?” bucket, which, by its very language, eschews a fundamental lack of understanding of what those people are thinking.
I am not a prepper. But I know a few. Some of the ones I do know are smart. They may not be doing as deep an analysis as I present here, on a mathematical level, but the smart ones are definitely doing it at a subconscious level. If you want to understand the perspectives of others, as everyone in my opinion should strive to do, then you would do well to read to the end of this article. To get where we’re going, we will need to discuss the general framework of disaster mathematics.
(Excerpt) Read more at medium.com ...
Interesting read.
bkmk
Indeed it is.
It’s more of a quantitative commentary than a decisive piece. To wit, it lacks a fundamental conclusion and call to action.
Good nonetheless.
He wrote he is not a prepper, but then makes the quantitative case that we should all be preppers if we are rational, critical thinkers.
I find that odd, or perhaps slyly disingenuous.
Net: read it and BLOAT.
Comprehending your risk situation to determine where to apply your resources.
You need to understand the more likely the problem,
you need to take actionto respond to that potential disaster.
It is better to have it and not need it, than to need it and not have it."
“To wit, it lacks a fundamental conclusion and call to action”
You’re seeing his article incorrectly. The purpose of the article wasn’t a call to action. It was telling preppers that contrary to what they are told, they aren’t crazy for prepping. That it is more even more rational for an American to prep and have an AR-15, than it is to buy flood insurance in a flood zone.
And it did have a fundamental conclusion. That in an average American lifetime, there is at least about a 36% chance of serious violence, insurrection, slavery, massive civil disorder, etc, which would call for one being prepared with supplies and rifles.
It’s a very simple paper, and has some very good reasoning and backs up his premise and conclusion well.
“He wrote he is not a prepper, but then makes the quantitative case that we should all be preppers if we are rational, critical thinkers.
I find that odd, or perhaps slyly disingenuous.”
He might be slothful, or hypocritical. OR, he might be following the prime directive of prepping which is... NOT TELLING A SOUL.
Are you a prepper? “Who me? Naaaaa .. “ Meanwhile at home, who knows what he socks away?
80% lowers.
A wonderful hobby I hear.
Good article. I like the author’s sense of humor too.
A lot of those CA liberals who scoff at wingnut “preppers”
are no doubt rethinking their stance now, if they have any sense at all.
What happens if the lights *don’t* come back on?
What happens when the gas pumps, the charging stations, ATMs and the EBT cards don’t work?
Ping
Thanks for posting.
What happens? well, in southern California especially, the Mexican invaders there will simply take everything Californians have for survival, and kill the victims then move on.
So that’s another canary in the coal mine for the tin foil hat right winger — you have a class of people who are vehemently demanding confiscation of rifles in the public sphere, while some of them are secretly building underground fortresses in the private sphere.
Buy another box of ammo. Clearly.
I like that the author did go around the world and included all kinds of uprisings. Our government is currently the second longest surviving government in the world. Only the Vatican has been around longer. This gives us a skewed trust in government institutions as being more safe and secure than private institutions and families, but in reality that isn't the case. Just like we had a lot of trust in our banks, until they completely failed, our government institutions will run along and everything will appear to be fine, until one day they don't.
And that one day is rapidly approaching.
We’ve been stable as long as we’ve been a Christian nation working on the Judeo-Christian ethic.
Now that that has fallen, or rather been pushed to the wayside, it’s just a matter of time.
We’ve been in this slide for a long time, riding the coattails of our heritage and enjoying the blessings and peace that some from a moral framework.
That is quickly eroding and I fear our time is short before the SHTF scenario.
That's right.
Never compromise yourself.
I want an AR15. The one time I shot a bunch of handguns, they scared me and I wondered about long guns. My husband’s shotgun would knock me over, so:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jafkVM-jnbE
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