Posted on 08/30/2019 11:29:11 AM PDT by Signalman
A Zogby/Wall St. 24/7 poll released on Monday showed President Trump slightly ahead of the top 2020 Democratic hopefuls. The online poll, conducted August 9-12, surveyed 897 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%.
In a head-to-head race, Trump topped former Vice President Joe Biden by a margin of 46% to 45%. 9% were not sure. Sanders topped Trump with suburban women (45% to 36%), Hispanics (52% to 43%), African Americans (77% to 17%), Generation Z voters, those people born from 1995 to 2010 (66% for Sanders, Trump’s support was not available), medium-city voters (53% to 38%), and small-city voters (47% to 43%).
The two were tied among independents (39%), and large-city voters (46%).
In a head-to-head race, Trump topped Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) by a 44% to 42% margin. 14% were not sure.
Harris outperformed among millennials (51% to 32%), Generation Z (56% to 26%), Hispanics (58% to 34%), suburban women (46% to 37%), and interestingly, among all women (42% to 39%).
Trump led among independents (41% to 35%), men (50% to 41%), small-city voters (46% to 40%), and suburban voters (45% to 40%).
In a race against Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Trump was ahead by a 45% to 43% margin. 13% were not sure.
The poll also showed Trump besting South Bend, IN Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) by a 45% to 42% margin, with 14% unsure.
Perhaps the most interesting results concerned “silent” Trump supporters. Nearly half of those surveyed, 49% (22% strongly and 27% somewhat strongly), agreed with the following statement:
Even though I tell people I do not approve of Donald Trump, I personally agree with him on certain issues.
Zogby notes that the percentage of likely voters who believe they have to “silently” support Trump has increased to 49% from 40% in the last year.
There are many Democrats who do not support the far left platforms of the current field of 2020 candidates. For example, the majority of Americans oppose open borders, providing free medical care to illegals, late term abortions, and the Green New Deal. And some are afraid to voice their opinions.
I find the concept of silent support to be fascinating. The fact that it’s a serious question from a major pollster speaks volumes about the state of American politics. (Note: If any readers are interested in looking at the breakdown of where various groups and sub-groups stand in regard to silent support, please scroll down.)
This poll was last conducted in May and at that time, the President was trailing the top 2020 Democratic candidates. His position has improved considerably since then. He is now in a statistical dead heat with Biden and Sanders and is seen as narrowly defeating Warren, Harris and Buttiegieg. The poll found that Trump “has made in-roads with independents, suburban voters, urban men, and, urban parents” and has “increased support among his base — men, consumer blocs, older voters, and union voters.”
Most sub-groups who typically support the president were more agreeable to the idea of hiding their support Trump but there were some surprises among the demographics we surveyed.
The groups most likely to “strongly and somewhat” agree they privately support Trump on certain issues were: likely voters living in the East (56% at least somewhat agree/44% at least somewhat disagree). Likely voters living in the West were more disagreeable (45% at least somewhat agree/55% at least somewhat disagree).
Other groups who agreed they “silently” support the president included workers employed full time (55% agree/45% disagree), NASCAR fans (63% agree/37% disagree), union workers (63% agree/38% disagree), weekly Amazon shoppers (60% agree/40% disagree), weekly Walmart shoppers (56% agree/44% disagree), Hispanics (64% agree/36% disagree), NRA members (77% agree/23% disagree), investor class voters (60% agree/40% disagree), and self-identified creative class voters (57% agree/43% disagree).
There were differences in the level of agreement when it came to age, gender and where voters lived. A majority of millennials aged 18-29 (52% agree/48% disagree) agreed they support Trump on certain issues in private, while older voters aged 50-64 felt the opposite (43% agree/57% disagree). Men (54% agree/46% disagree) were more likely to feel compelled to hide their support for the president on certain issues than women (44% agree/56% disagree).
The sub-groups most likely to disagree with “silently” supporting Donald Trump were Democrats (69% disagree/31% agree), liberals (70% disagree/31% agree), voters divorced/widowed/separated (62% disagree/38% agree), and voters not in unions (53% disagree/47% agree).
Trump outperformed Biden among voters aged 65+ (56% to 40%), men (53% to 42%), independents (44% to 36%), small-city voters (47% to 43%), and suburban voters (45% to 44%).
Biden topped Trump among millennials (50% to 38%), women (48% to 39%), suburban women (50% to 35%), large-city voters (46% to 45%), African Americans (74% to 21%), and Hispanics (48% to 46%).
Although Biden won among Hispanics, 46% is an impressive number for a Republican candidate.
In a head-to-head race, Trump led Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) by a 45% to 44% margin, a statistical tie. 11% were not sure.
Yep. True lies.
Point made on the radio—if someone asks you for an opinion on the phone at home some evening, would you be certain they will not trace your identity and find out you are a pro-Trumper?
No one said “Trump” to pollsters on street corners in cities in 2016. Glowering urban types three feet away on all sides listening for answer. Uh, no opinion. Or, love that Hillary.
Polls showed landslide for Hillary.
Silent support will be spun into the Russians interfered again. lol!
Its all about the States.
FL, OH, IA no longer in play for RATS.
WI, MI and PA are likely to go Trump.
NH could flip to Trump.
Look for Romney, Reid and the Mormon Mafia to try and flip UT
If Trump gets 17% of the Black vote and 43% of the Hispanic vote, any dem candidate is dead.
Generation Z includes people born in 2010? How many states will have a minimum age of 10 for voting in 2020?
Pretty impressive pick-up since last week ;-)
Shitepolls...
I certainly can. I dare saw we (FR) can.
But, the enemedia democ'Rat-news push-pollers can't and won't.
So Hillary’s still leading by 10 points?
Only ¡YEB! can defeat Hillary. Donald Trump will never be the Republican nominee.
I have my own poll. Holds up the tomatoes.
The poll was held at DNC headquarters.
I love to lie on those polls to give the leftist weenies false hope. Heeeeeeee!
Normally I’m 100% against lying but this is one fun exception.
If President Trump wins in 2020 the very first thing he should do on election night is announce that he is placing almost every political appointee working for the government on a leave of absence with a termination date of January 19th. These political appointees can then utilize their time off to reapply for their position in government with no guarantees that they will get their job back.
No more playing around.
If President Trump wins in 2020 the very first thing he should do on election night is announce that he is placing almost every political appointee working for the government on a leave of absence with a termination date of January 19th. These political appointees can then utilize their time off to reapply for their position in government with no guarantees that they will get their job back.
No more playing around.
Trump will win in a landslide in 2020. He will win every voter who backed him in 2016 and win tens of millions more from people proposing thanks to the Trump Boom in the economy.
He’s polling great amongst black voters, I think he’ll win over 50% of the black vote
From your keyboard to God’s ear.
The polls that really matter - and they won't matter until over a year from now - are the state polls from FL, OH and MI.
Democrats will need to win 2 out of those 3 (assuming all else stays the same) to win. I think OH is a lock for Trump, so really, the battle should play out in FL and MI.
Expect hijinks. It's going to be a brutal election.
WRONG—The election hasn’t started yet. The Dems haven’t even selected a person and their cheering squade Media has already named them the winners!!! Talk about a rigged election. Media needs to be taken down a notch—pulled from their high horse. They are not new aristocrats to rule over us. Maybe its time for the Pitchforks and torches, tar and feathers.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.