Posted on 08/30/2019 11:29:11 AM PDT by Signalman
A Zogby/Wall St. 24/7 poll released on Monday showed President Trump slightly ahead of the top 2020 Democratic hopefuls. The online poll, conducted August 9-12, surveyed 897 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%.
In a head-to-head race, Trump topped former Vice President Joe Biden by a margin of 46% to 45%. 9% were not sure. Sanders topped Trump with suburban women (45% to 36%), Hispanics (52% to 43%), African Americans (77% to 17%), Generation Z voters, those people born from 1995 to 2010 (66% for Sanders, Trump’s support was not available), medium-city voters (53% to 38%), and small-city voters (47% to 43%).
The two were tied among independents (39%), and large-city voters (46%).
In a head-to-head race, Trump topped Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) by a 44% to 42% margin. 14% were not sure.
Harris outperformed among millennials (51% to 32%), Generation Z (56% to 26%), Hispanics (58% to 34%), suburban women (46% to 37%), and interestingly, among all women (42% to 39%).
Trump led among independents (41% to 35%), men (50% to 41%), small-city voters (46% to 40%), and suburban voters (45% to 40%).
In a race against Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Trump was ahead by a 45% to 43% margin. 13% were not sure.
The poll also showed Trump besting South Bend, IN Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) by a 45% to 42% margin, with 14% unsure.
Perhaps the most interesting results concerned “silent” Trump supporters. Nearly half of those surveyed, 49% (22% strongly and 27% somewhat strongly), agreed with the following statement:
Even though I tell people I do not approve of Donald Trump, I personally agree with him on certain issues.
Zogby notes that the percentage of likely voters who believe they have to “silently” support Trump has increased to 49% from 40% in the last year.
There are many Democrats who do not support the far left platforms of the current field of 2020 candidates. For example, the majority of Americans oppose open borders, providing free medical care to illegals, late term abortions, and the Green New Deal. And some are afraid to voice their opinions.
I find the concept of silent support to be fascinating. The fact that it’s a serious question from a major pollster speaks volumes about the state of American politics. (Note: If any readers are interested in looking at the breakdown of where various groups and sub-groups stand in regard to silent support, please scroll down.)
This poll was last conducted in May and at that time, the President was trailing the top 2020 Democratic candidates. His position has improved considerably since then. He is now in a statistical dead heat with Biden and Sanders and is seen as narrowly defeating Warren, Harris and Buttiegieg. The poll found that Trump “has made in-roads with independents, suburban voters, urban men, and, urban parents” and has “increased support among his base — men, consumer blocs, older voters, and union voters.”
Most sub-groups who typically support the president were more agreeable to the idea of hiding their support Trump but there were some surprises among the demographics we surveyed.
The groups most likely to “strongly and somewhat” agree they privately support Trump on certain issues were: likely voters living in the East (56% at least somewhat agree/44% at least somewhat disagree). Likely voters living in the West were more disagreeable (45% at least somewhat agree/55% at least somewhat disagree).
Other groups who agreed they “silently” support the president included workers employed full time (55% agree/45% disagree), NASCAR fans (63% agree/37% disagree), union workers (63% agree/38% disagree), weekly Amazon shoppers (60% agree/40% disagree), weekly Walmart shoppers (56% agree/44% disagree), Hispanics (64% agree/36% disagree), NRA members (77% agree/23% disagree), investor class voters (60% agree/40% disagree), and self-identified creative class voters (57% agree/43% disagree).
There were differences in the level of agreement when it came to age, gender and where voters lived. A majority of millennials aged 18-29 (52% agree/48% disagree) agreed they support Trump on certain issues in private, while older voters aged 50-64 felt the opposite (43% agree/57% disagree). Men (54% agree/46% disagree) were more likely to feel compelled to hide their support for the president on certain issues than women (44% agree/56% disagree).
The sub-groups most likely to disagree with “silently” supporting Donald Trump were Democrats (69% disagree/31% agree), liberals (70% disagree/31% agree), voters divorced/widowed/separated (62% disagree/38% agree), and voters not in unions (53% disagree/47% agree).
Trump outperformed Biden among voters aged 65+ (56% to 40%), men (53% to 42%), independents (44% to 36%), small-city voters (47% to 43%), and suburban voters (45% to 44%).
Biden topped Trump among millennials (50% to 38%), women (48% to 39%), suburban women (50% to 35%), large-city voters (46% to 45%), African Americans (74% to 21%), and Hispanics (48% to 46%).
Although Biden won among Hispanics, 46% is an impressive number for a Republican candidate.
In a head-to-head race, Trump led Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) by a 45% to 44% margin, a statistical tie. 11% were not sure.
New Poll Shows Trump In ‘Dead Heat’ With Biden, Sanders; Some Voters ‘Silently Agree’ With Specific Trump Policies
So... up 20? Nice!
Just like the polls that showed Hillary in front of Trump and Kerry winning over Bush.
Just last week, IIRC, he was behind them by double digits, and head to head with Butt-gag.
This reminds me of 2016 when the polls swung to show Trump behind but within the margin of error right before the election. This is a lot earlier, relative to the election date.
I thought he was down by ten to every D candidate?
I predict Trump will win bigger this time than in 2016.
4 more years of reprieve.
So... up 20? Nice!
We don’t live in the world in which the election will take place. Polls are pretty meaningless, except for the “relative” standing of democrat wannabees between each other.
I wonder how accurate Zogby was 2016.
In other words, expect a 48 State Blowout for Trump!
Can we give it a rest?? 15 months to go.
Even though I tell people I do not approve of Donald Trump, I personally agree with him on certain issues.
Well then ...just ask the simple question:
Who do you think your neighbor would vote for?
Brown-shirt Antifa terrorism and Goebbels-level mainstream media propaganda are not a popular strategy in a desperate grab for absolute power? That is unexpected. Who would have guessed that the average person would conclude from direct observation that the far-left fringe is using George Orwell as its blueprint for the future:
“If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever.”
- George Orwell
YAWNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN....snort, snirk, splut....another lefty poll trying to create confusion, and doubt. Better things to do than read such crap.
Bingo
And with a couple of well directed Tweets ...they will soon be fighting each other
And PDJT is the Tweet Master.
Dead heat....That’s media speak for he’s whippin their asses!!!
And just who are these likely voters? Who answers the phone these days from unidentified callers?
If the Dems really believe a lot the polls they will be forced to change to pander to voters. They will have to pretend to be less, or promote being less anti-white, anti-American, pro-globalist, pro reparations. And will then lose millions of leftist voters who will call them sellouts.
Fun.
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