Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

The above prediction for for December through February was made October 18, 2018, and the current mid winter forecast temp. map made Nov. 15 is this:

I hardly ever see the NOAA predict lower than "average" temps. In Sept. it predicted the next 3 months to be higher than average

Joe Bastardi reported that November is the 2cnd coldest since 2001 for the US 6th coldest for the globe. However globally still .24C above average.

The AccuWeather's US winter forecast for 2018-2019 season made October 15, 2018 predicts

Once again, El Niño will influence the winter weather across the Northeast, mid-Atlantic and Great Lakes.

The season will start out mild for much of the region before colder weather digs in its heels in January and February.

“New York City and Philadelphia may wind up 4 to 8 degrees colder this February compared to last February,” AccuWeather Expert Long-Range Forecaster Paul Pastelok said.

In the mid-Atlantic states, a few big snowstorms are likely. Most of the action will dodge the far Northeast, however.

In the Great Lakes, lake-effect snow will be less frequent than normal, despite above-normal water temperatures. An uptick is possible in late winter, but, for the season as a whole, residents will receive less than they are accustomed to.

A very active winter is predicted for the Southeast, Tennessee Valley and Gulf Coast this season.

January and February will be particularly conducive to snow and ice threats, with multiple storms forecast for the region.

It will bear a stark contrast to the winter of 2017-2018, when February brought well above-normal temperatures to the area.

Come late winter, Florida will need to be on alert for severe weather and flooding.

for western Ohio Valley, Midwest, central/northern Plains ...Snowfall in these regions is likely to remain below normal, with storms occurring less frequently than usual.

The interior Southwest is likely to end up drier, with more precipitation reaching central California, particularly midseason. - https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2018-2019-us-winter-forecast-storms-to-target-mid-atlantic-snow-and-ice-to-strike-the-southern-plains/70006208

And for what it is worth, The Old Farmer's Almanac's 2018–2019 Winter Weather Forecast for the United States predicts,

This winter, we expect to see above-normal temperatures almost everywhere in the United States, except in the Southwest, where we’re predicting a colder-than-normal season.

In terms of precipitation, we are predicting above-normal levels for most of the country, except in the Southeast, southern California, the nation’s midsection, and parts of Alaska and Hawaii, where normal or below-normal precipitation amounts are expected instead. - https://www.almanac.com/content/2019-winter-weather-forecast

1 posted on 12/01/2018 7:04:17 AM PST by daniel1212
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


To: daniel1212

Complete Horse Shizz, I am from Minnesota and it’s been the coldest fall ever. last 10 days below freezing by a lot.


2 posted on 12/01/2018 7:07:57 AM PST by mplc51
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212
SE Wisconsin (Milwaukee area) 15 degrees below normal.
3 posted on 12/01/2018 7:16:54 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

Most of Iowa has had near record-low average temps for November, along with being dryer than normal.

NWS/NOAA are cooking the books. A mild El Nino would not have the relatively extreme warming effect claimed. This is just background material for claiming climate change.


5 posted on 12/01/2018 7:18:42 AM PST by jjotto (Next week, BOOM!, for sure!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

Title: My summer wedding
6 posted on 12/01/2018 7:20:05 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

Our early winter in Texas has been much colder and extremely wet this year. We have had 24” of rain in past 2 months. Our normal annual rainfail per year is 25”.

Cold and wet means better crops this year. And better grazing for livestock.


7 posted on 12/01/2018 7:20:24 AM PST by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

European, Canadian, UKMet, JMA and Bastardi’s own Pioneer model all predict a colder than normal winter for much of the country with normal to greater than normal snowfall east of the Mississippi. As Joe said the other day, the US model just can’t find cold. Using their own metrics their forecast should be for cold and snow, but they dismiss their own facts to predict what pushes the AGW agenda. They predicted a warm November. It was one of the coldest on record with temps at times 15-18 degrees below normal and two massive snowstorms. I wouldn’t put the winter coats away based on anything NOAA says. But expect this to be the main weather story all weekend, ‘Warmer than normal winter ahead.’ Film at 11.


9 posted on 12/01/2018 7:22:37 AM PST by redangus (actually hit her?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

We’ll see. The Sun is at a minimum right now. That means cold!


11 posted on 12/01/2018 7:41:24 AM PST by I want the USA back (There are two sexes: male (pronoun HE), and female (pronoun SHE). Denial of this is insanity.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

Soon to be proven spectacularly wrong.


12 posted on 12/01/2018 7:46:26 AM PST by beethovenfan (I always try to maximize my carbon footprint.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

Never got a powder day in November like the one I enjoyed this past Wednesday in Vermont. So ... Whatever, NOAA..


16 posted on 12/01/2018 8:32:39 AM PST by BillyBonebrake
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212
And what of the report I saw couple of weeks ago that claimed this winter would be long and very cold?

So which is it? Cold or mild?

My take is "they" (those vague, undefined, shadowy officials or experts in the background...somewhere) put out forecasts all over the board so they'll never be wrong.

Not unlike those serial scams the climate change crowd has been running on the population for decades. "They" troll enough uniformed, bottom feeders and someone is bound to believe them. Enough do, so they continue their hoax.

Cold or mild makes no difference to me. I still get up and do the same chores on the farm like I always do. It is what it is.

22 posted on 12/01/2018 9:15:31 AM PST by HotHunt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

Every few weeks they will update their forecast. By the end of the winter, they will once again be proven 100% accurate with their predictions.


24 posted on 12/01/2018 9:23:14 AM PST by beef (The more they tighten their grip, the more blogs will slip through their fingers.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212

Yeah, this arid weather is really killing us!

https://squawalpine.com/skiing-riding/weather-conditions-webcams/lake-tahoe-webcams

3 feet of snow in Tahoe over the last couple of days and snowing HARD right now!


26 posted on 12/01/2018 10:10:59 AM PST by Regulator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: daniel1212
"The Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures."

Hilarious!

27 posted on 12/01/2018 10:25:24 AM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson