European, Canadian, UKMet, JMA and Bastardi’s own Pioneer model all predict a colder than normal winter for much of the country with normal to greater than normal snowfall east of the Mississippi. As Joe said the other day, the US model just can’t find cold. Using their own metrics their forecast should be for cold and snow, but they dismiss their own facts to predict what pushes the AGW agenda. They predicted a warm November. It was one of the coldest on record with temps at times 15-18 degrees below normal and two massive snowstorms. I wouldn’t put the winter coats away based on anything NOAA says. But expect this to be the main weather story all weekend, ‘Warmer than normal winter ahead.’ Film at 11.
At least they seem to be consistent!