Posted on 10/22/2018 7:00:59 PM PDT by dontreadthis
1) Gonna offer a hypothesis. This is NOT a prediction quite yet.
(Excerpt) Read more at threadreaderapp.com ...
Help on NY3, where DiBono (the R) is within 4. Any absentee #s there?
It ain’t all my work.
Thanks for the correction. The article that I was referring to showed 26 million. I am happy to be corrected. This is huge. See the excerpt from the article below.
Ralph Reed was the first executive director of the Christian Coalition and now is the current head of the Faith and Freedom Coalition. He recently spoke at the Gateway Eagle Counsel and shared how his group is reaching out to over 26 million Christian Americans in highly contested states in the mid-term election and to encourage them to vote for Republicans in their states.
Thanks!
I had a feeling you would do my work for me...
Will post some Nevada first week comparisons with 2016.
Republican counties are trickier because R votes are spread across that state and in smaller counties.
But here is a sampling of the larger R counties:
2016 vs 2018 (in-person, first day)
Tarrant, 4.00% vs 3.60%
Collin, 5.83% vs 5.75%
Denton, 3.65% vs 3.83%
Williamson, 6.04% vs 6.25%
3 of the 4 are flat to UP.
“Help on NY3, where DiBono (the R) is within 4. Any absentee #s there?”
I don’t see any absentee numbers posted.
Surely NY allows absentees. Wonder where they are posted, or if they aren’t posted at all?
Well we will be contributing to Tarrant on Friday...
He’s his own biggest fan.
Old MacDonald doesn’t have much posted for NY in his spreadsheet also.
Thanks. Something weird. Oh well.
Any word on CD3 in MN? Paulsen’s seat? On the ground, it doesn’t look good.
No. Just that we’ll flip 2 and hold Lewis.
I got the reference, thanks.
This caravan of invading Central Americans is going to have an impact too.
They didn’t just decide to come to the US, and Mexico is letting them pass.
They are being supported logistically, and they were promised something in return.
If handled correctly, there will be no fence sitters.
I wonder if Hughes has a chance to beat Peterson. That would flip 3 in MN. He was within 5 last time he ran.
I think most races except Klobuchar’s are close in MN.
i agree - is they can pull out pa and va - it would be a filibuster proof senate - then the GOP would have complete control of DC
Check out Jon Ralston’s recent tweets about GOP votes in Nye, Washoe, and Douglas counties. Even he (reluctantly) admits “ Dems are going to need a firewall in Clark or could be trouble.”
I don’t know much. I think D’s want big early voting numbers to supress the turnout on V-Day. If they look strong early, they think it will discourage R’s on the day of and give them a desperately needed edge.
Not me. I vote on V-Day to deny the cheaters the info they need to gin up offsetting votes.
VOTE on November 6.
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