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Scientific Theory And The Multiverse Madness (the multiverse idea is too close to fiction)
NPR ^ | 01/22/2018 | SABINE HOSSENFELDER

Posted on 01/23/2018 1:59:33 PM PST by SeekAndFind

Newton's law of gravity — remember that? The force between two massive bodies decreases with the inverse square of the distance and so on?

To use it, you need a constant, "Newton's constant," also called the "gravitational constant," usually denoted G. You can determine G to reasonable accuracy with a few simple measurements.

Once you have fixed the gravitational constant, you can apply Newton's law to all kinds of different situations: falling apples, orbiting planets, launching rockets, etc. All with only one constant!

This ability to explain many superficially different processes is what makes natural laws so powerful. Newton's contemporaries were suitably impressed.

After Newton came up with his equation, he could have reasoned: "Since I don't know this constant's value but have to measure it, the constant could have any value. So, there must be a universe for each different value. I conclude that we live in one of infinitely many universes – one for each value of the gravitational constant. I will call this collection of universes the "multiverse.""

But he didn't. Newton was famously minimalistic with his assumptions and even refused to speculate whether there were deeper reasons for his law of gravity, arguing this was unnecessary. "Hypotheses non fingo," he wrote, "I feign no hypotheses."

But that was then.

Today, the idea that we live in a multiverse has become popular in the foundations of physics. The multiverse collects all universes in which the constants of nature — Newton's constant and about two dozen more — can take on any value. Each combination of constants is realized in infinitely many universes.

And not only the constants can change from one universe to another, the locations of particles relative to each other can also be different. Since there are infinitely many universes in which to arrange the particles, some of these universes will be very similar to our own, just that eventually some initially tiny deviation will lead to an alternative history. Thus, somewhere in the multiverse our lives play out in any which way you can imagine. In this case, in some other universe, Newton could have, indeed, invented the multiverse.

But before you pack your bags and search for a universe more to your liking, let me add there's no way to cross over into another universe or even interact with one. This only works in science fiction. Indeed, to my taste, the multiverse itself is already too close to fiction.

Many theoretical physicists have argued the conclusion that we live in a multiverse is based on sound scientific reasoning. But that isn't so — and I will tell you why.

The purpose of science is to explain observations. In theoretical physics, we use mathematics for that. Our theories need a set of assumptions plus a way to identify math objects with observables. But none of the assumptions should be unnecessary, a criterion known as Ockham's razor (named after the 13th century theologian and philosopher William of Ockham). Ockham's razor is extremely important — as without it you could literally add invisible gods and angels to any scientific theory.

For centuries, progress in the foundations of physics has been characterized by simplification. Complex processes — such as the multitude of chemical reactions — turned out to arise from stunningly simple underlying equations. And simplicity carried us a long way. According to physicists' best theories today, everything in our universe emerges from merely 25 elementary particles and four types of forces.

So, yes, simplicity — often in the form of unification — has been extremely successful. For this reason, many physicists want to further simplify the existing theories. But you can always simplify a theory by removing an assumption. Like the assumption that the gravitational constant has a some value that you inferred from observation (up to some precision). Or similar assumptions about, say, the values of the masses of elementary particles, or the cosmological constant, or the strength of the four forces. These are assumptions some theoreticians are now throwing out.

If Ockham could see what physicists are doing here, he'd pray for God to bring reason back to Earth. You should remove unnecessary assumptions, alright. But certainly you shouldn't remove assumptions that you need to describe observations. If you do, you'll just get a useless theory, equations from which you can't calculate anything.

These useless theories which lack assumptions necessary to describe observations are what we now call a multiverse. And they're about as useful as Ockham's prayers.

Since you cannot calculate anything in the multiverse, the assumptions which physicists removed must then be replaced with something else. That "something else" is a probability distribution on the multiverse, which tells you not what we do observe, but what we are likely to observe. But it is simpler to assume a constant than an infinite number of universes with a probability distribution over them. Therefore, Ockham's razor should shave off the multiverse. It's superfluous. Unfortunately, this argument carries little weight among many of today's theoretical physicists who value the multiverse because it excuses boundless speculation.

There are a few cases where the invention of an infinite number of new universes gives rise to observable consequences. Everyone's favorite example is that our universe might, in the past, have collided with another universe, leaving correlated rings in the cosmic microwave background (see here). Another idea suggests that if we live in a multiverse, certain types of black holes are more likely (see here). But if such predictions are not confirmed, then this merely means we do not live in a multiverse with these particular properties.

Let me also add that these examples of "predictive" multiverses are ad hoc constructs invented for the very reason of convincing skeptics that some types of multiverses can have observable consequences. Don't fall for it. Just because a theory is falsifiable doesn't mean it's scientific. For a theory to be scientific its predictions must also have a reasonable chance to accurately describe reality. Construing up one of an infinite number of multiverse variants has no reasonable chance.

Theoreticians justify their multiverse research by claiming that it continues the noble quest for simplicity. But as we have seen, this argument is wrong because it neglects the need to introduce a probability distribution on the multiverse. The multiverse replaces a simple explanation with a more complicated one. Such a move is only justified if the added complication explains additional data, but for the multiverse that isn't so.

Why then has the idea become popular? A cynic may argue it's because the multiverse offers infinitely many new opportunities for paper writing. But I don't want to feign hypotheses.

Let me thus stick to the facts: To our best knowledge, assuming the existence of any universe besides our own is unnecessary to explain anything we have ever observed. In the best case, then, the multiverse is an interpretation.

You can believe that the seeming arbitrariness of the constants of nature is due to an infinite number of other universes. You can believe that, but you don't have to. Science cannot confirm that the other universes exist, but it also cannot rule them out. Just like science cannot rule out the gods and angels.


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: multiverse; universe
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To: UCANSEE2

It depends on how you define universe.


21 posted on 01/23/2018 2:35:45 PM PST by Reily
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To: bIlluminati

The Dark Matter, Dark Energy, and Spiral Galaxy problems come from our lack of ability to measure correctly.


22 posted on 01/23/2018 2:36:27 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: dp0622
but I am busy building a spaceship that can go faster than the speed of light.

You're going to need some really bright headlights.

23 posted on 01/23/2018 2:39:33 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: UCANSEE2

There are many infinities...and infinity is impossible for the mind to truly understand.

The infinite set of all whole numbers is the same size as the infinite set of even numbers.

1,2,3,4.......

and

2,4,6,8.......

Have the same number of elements....you don’t understand it, you just get used to it....like whacko liberals.(infinite stupidity)


24 posted on 01/23/2018 2:41:27 PM PST by Bobalu (12 diet Cokes and a fried chicken...)
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To: Olog-hai

25 posted on 01/23/2018 2:41:43 PM PST by Bratch ("The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." - Edmund Burke)
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To: BenLurkin

I love that film, she managed to act so crazy...a hard thing to pull off well.


26 posted on 01/23/2018 2:42:29 PM PST by Bobalu (12 diet Cokes and a fried chicken...)
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To: SeekAndFind
She's right, it's a crock. I bought one of those interuniverse transport shuttles - it sort of looked like a Yugo - start to twiddle the dials and had to call Customer Support. "I want a universe where unicorns drop bags of loot in my yard when I snap my fingers." "No problem," the guy said, and gave me the settings. "What about a universe where computer geeks get million-dollar signing bonuses and groupies and athletes and rock stars have to look for jobs in Craigslist?" I sez. "No problem," the guy said, and gave me another set of numbers. "What about a universe where the Mariners win the World Series?"

They gave me my money back.

27 posted on 01/23/2018 2:43:16 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: bIlluminati

Nice summary. Thanks.


28 posted on 01/23/2018 2:43:36 PM PST by mad_as_he$$
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To: Reily
It depends on how you define universe.

Which seems to be the root of the entire problem.

29 posted on 01/23/2018 2:44:17 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: Bobalu

Maybe the only real ‘infinity’ is the imagination of the human mind.


30 posted on 01/23/2018 2:46:15 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Scientist looked at the 53 Universal contants, and the odds of this Universe working, odds of....Well, write a 1, now start writing zeros, get back to me in a trillion trillion years, and you may be close. Scientist realized it was impossible, and that’s when the “MultiVerse” idea was born. I once heard a German cosmologist say, “There is either a Multiverse or a God”. Without even the slightest Evidence, the “Muti-Verse” was born.


31 posted on 01/23/2018 2:46:21 PM PST by heights
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To: UCANSEE2

I would accept as an axiom that God, or, All That Is, is infinite.


32 posted on 01/23/2018 2:48:33 PM PST by Bobalu (12 diet Cokes and a fried chicken...)
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To: UCANSEE2

The universe at one time was defined to be the Milky Way galaxy. The word was defined & used (joined the lexicon!)before perspective on such things broadened.


33 posted on 01/23/2018 2:50:42 PM PST by Reily
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To: heights
Scientist looked at the 53 Universal contants, and the odds of this Universe working, ...completely by happenstance.

And the answer, as you said, is that it is impossible.

34 posted on 01/23/2018 3:01:32 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: Bobalu
I would accept as an axiom that God, or, All That Is, is infinite.

Furthermore, he gave us the ability to 'imagine' and to 'create'. In order to give us infinite imagination, he would have to be infinite.

(note: the 'he' pronouns are used for the sake of simplicity)

35 posted on 01/23/2018 3:04:48 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: Reily
The universe at one time was defined to be the Milky Way galaxy.

Goes back to my statement that the problem is the limit of our ability to detect things. As our technology improves, we 'see' more than we used to.

There is still much more 'out there' we don't yet see.

36 posted on 01/23/2018 3:08:49 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: SeekAndFind
To our best knowledge, assuming the existence of any universe besides our own is unnecessary to explain anything we have ever observed. In the best case, then, the multiverse is an interpretation.

anti-God scientists are desperate to avoid the creator

37 posted on 01/23/2018 3:10:56 PM PST by mjp ((pro-{God, reality, reason, egoism, individualism, natural rights, limited government, capitalism}))
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To: UCANSEE2

Agree!
Though what drives the whole multiuniverse argument is GUT theoretical work (String Theory, M-Theory, etc.). Since experimental verification is very problematic, “mathematical beauty” is substituted. While this has paid off in some instances. However in those instances experimental verification had the final say! “Beauty” seems a poor thing to hang ones hat on, but for now its all they have!


38 posted on 01/23/2018 3:29:53 PM PST by Reily
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To: SeekAndFind

39 posted on 01/23/2018 3:42:20 PM PST by rfp1234 (I have already previewed this composition.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I wonder if her skepticism goes so far to question “dark matter” the mystery material invented so general relativity math adds up.


40 posted on 01/23/2018 4:17:56 PM PST by Durus (You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality. Ayn Rand)
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