Posted on 03/26/2016 7:56:52 AM PDT by conservativejoy
Donald Trump has not won a majority of the vote in any state he's won. Ted Cruz has done it twice, in Wyoming and Utah.
Trump's enormous unpopularity with the majority of voters is a telling indicator that he simply cannot win a general election. With his constant attacks on women, whether they be Megyn Kelly, Carly Fiorina, or Heidi Cruz, Trump's paltry appeal among women cripples him even further.
As expert mathematician Nate Silver pointed out on Friday, if women sour on Trump, the results of his efforts in the general election would look like this:
For all of Trump's talk of winning; he only has won consistently when he was facing a plethora of candidates. In one on one matchups with Ted Cruz or Hillary Clinton, polls show he loses.
Silver also offered a projection of how one-sided a prospective Hillary Clinton-Trump matchup would be, asserting Clinton would win 374 electoral votes and Trump would win 164.
For all of Trump's talk of winning; he only has won consistently when he was facing a plethora of candidates. In one on one matchups with Ted Cruz or Hillary Clinton, polls show he loses.
Silver also offered a projection of how one-sided a prospective Hillary Clinton-Trump matchup would be, asserting Clinton would win 374 electoral votes and Trump would win 164.
In the November presidential election NO state will hold a caucus, which seem to be the only way Cruz wins a primary.
This is the saddest excuse making, to explain away Trump’s ass kicking of Cruz, that I have read so far.
My pleasure Grampa, anytime.
Have a great Easter my FRiend!
Wyoming and Utah?! Yes, those states will definitely flip the election. Both were caucuses controlled by party bosses. Here’s something to ponder. Trump needs another 102 delegates to put Cruz out of contention for winning outright. NY is 96 delegates winner take all. What’s Trusted going to do when he has not path? Will he drop out like he’s suggested for Kasich to do?
I have no idea what you are talking about. I don’t think anyone questions that Trump has received more votes or gets huge turnouts. The very approach you just took is an example (although in a much more polite manner than most) of what I am talking about. I am not a ‘Cruz’ person. I had a list of possible candidates I might support, which included Cruz, Trump and a couple of others, and the constant demeaning of anyone who does not support Trump is the entire problem. There’s always an element of that in primaries, but it’s been taken to a new stratosphere this cycle. The constant attacks on everyone else is emblematic of Trump’s tactics on stage, and he’s so overplayed that hand that his negatives and his standing with the majority of people including a lot of loyal base Republican voters are so far in the gutter now, I don’t know how he recovers. He is all but assured to have my vote in November, but I know a ton of people that are so over it, they will stay home or go 3rd party. I’ll be the first to argue against that, but it’s going to be a long uphill battle.
As far as Trump and Hillary, I don’t think Hillary is all that hard to defeat, but a lot of things have to go our way. The problem with Trump is if you look at his growing negatives since January and the giant gap that has grown in his head-to-head vs. Hillary in that time, he has made it unnecessarily hard to do. I would have agreed with you on January 15th that he was the one most likely to beat her, but I don’t think so at this point. Frankly, I am not sure anyone left in the race has a good shot, so it’s not Cruz vs. Trump, it’s that I think Trump has ruined his chances. Cruz at present does stack up much much better vs Hillary, but I am not convinced that stands after most Bernie fans end up solidifying their support of the eventual candidate and the media goes into full Hillary worship.
Right. The Clinton Foundation is a very big deal, or should be. It is classic pay to play - selling one’s office for personal gain. Hard for Trump to make much of this, as he played that exact game with her foundation.
I somewhat get the love fest with Trump - he has said things about the border that no one else would say, and are now getting support from even liberal sources. I like his anti-PC attitude. But, he is no conservative, and never has been one.
Trump acts like a buffoon, Cruz is a jerk (it wouldn’t surprise me if some of the sex rumors are true), Sanders is a 30’s socialist and Clinton is a crook.
We can’t do better?
Mittens got 10 million votes in 42 victories in the 2012 primaries.
Trump has 7.8 million votes in 21 victories in the 2012 primaries.
Hank Berrien is math challenged. :)
Mittens got 10 million votes in 42 victories in the 2012 primaries.
Trump has 7.8 million votes in 21 victories in the 2012 primaries.
Hank Berrien is math challenged. :)
I guess you’d have to ask Sessions, but it could be the same reason as Carson and Palin did. Carson openly admits he was promised a position.
________________________________________________________
Sessions has a position of great importance. His connittee assignments are also of great importance.
He could have chosen either Trump or Cruz. It it safe to think that given Session’s loyalty to the American people and his independent stance in the Senate he chose the one who will do the best job fo the American people. Not Cruz.
How could so many sit at home in the last presidential election given the stakes? And yet they did,,, apparently they didn’t feel Romney was a conservative worth voting for. Short-sighted and ignorant to be sure, but that apparently describes a sizable percentage of our country. And Romney wasn’t even a sleazeball,,, Trump is a sleazeball.
“...give women a hymen that grows back every time she has intercourse...”
So that’s how the muslims get 70 virgins! It’s actually the same old virgin 70 times.
So Trump is going to destroy the oligarchy? How? He doesn’t have the understanding or the inclination to destroy it. Is keeping all power in DC with universal health care, land grabs, and perpetual crony capitalism going to destroy it? Hell no. Striking deals gonna do it? Nope. The oligarchy is already busy destroying itself and we’re busy squandering the opportunity to replace it. The back-stabbing of Cruz has to be one of the biggest betrayals ever.
Cruz reached around and stabbed himself. He squandered his political currency. I hope he and his family recover and find peace.
Clearly we should all trust Nate Silver when it comes to Donald Trump.
++++
Correct. He is good. Really good. One of the only Libs whose numbers I trust. In fact he is the only Lib whose numbers I trust.
Does NOT sound like the 'face of Jesus'.... More like playing the devil's advocate.
Recover from what? Your slander and betrayal? or the fig leaf of a “best wishes” coming from the betrayer? I hope we all recover that, not just Cruz.
And exactly how many million votes is Ted behind Donald Trump in the tally of individuals who have voted for Trump in the primaries and caucuses???
Oh somewhere around two million or more.
That’s a lot of votes to overcome that were cast by people who don’t like Ted but do like Trump.
Millions more!
Wyoming’s population is smaller than a medium sized city, and Utah? So what if Cruz won two small states that vote Republican. If Trump is the nominee then Wyo and Utah will vote for him, but will Cruz have a chance to carry NY, Florida or Michigan. Maybe Florida, or maybe not.
LOL. Nice post.
Note that Nate Silver is a Lib. A very well known Lib. I get that. His articles are not going to be popular around here. I don't read them either.
But his polls and his poll projections have been pretty darn accurate. His Donald Trump articles reflect the results seen across pretty much all the General Election Polls. Trump does poorly in those polls. That fact is heavily discounted here at FR and those polls are dismissed with a giant FR Wave of the Hand. But the rest of world seems to think those polls have some merit. So does Nate Silver. And so do I.
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