Here are the facts:
Posted on 03/26/2016 7:56:52 AM PDT by conservativejoy
Donald Trump has not won a majority of the vote in any state he's won. Ted Cruz has done it twice, in Wyoming and Utah.
Trump's enormous unpopularity with the majority of voters is a telling indicator that he simply cannot win a general election. With his constant attacks on women, whether they be Megyn Kelly, Carly Fiorina, or Heidi Cruz, Trump's paltry appeal among women cripples him even further.
As expert mathematician Nate Silver pointed out on Friday, if women sour on Trump, the results of his efforts in the general election would look like this:
For all of Trump's talk of winning; he only has won consistently when he was facing a plethora of candidates. In one on one matchups with Ted Cruz or Hillary Clinton, polls show he loses.
Silver also offered a projection of how one-sided a prospective Hillary Clinton-Trump matchup would be, asserting Clinton would win 374 electoral votes and Trump would win 164.
For all of Trump's talk of winning; he only has won consistently when he was facing a plethora of candidates. In one on one matchups with Ted Cruz or Hillary Clinton, polls show he loses.
Silver also offered a projection of how one-sided a prospective Hillary Clinton-Trump matchup would be, asserting Clinton would win 374 electoral votes and Trump would win 164.
Keep in mind that both of these are caucus states, and that in Wyoming, the total number of votes cast was around 950 or so.
I hate to be the one to break it to you but Trump is at 54% in Reuters rolling today. Teddy on the other hand is at 37%.
The sad truth is that the GOP voters have never been that into Ted Cruz. He cannot even win the GOP voters over much less reach out to independents and blue dog democrats.
Trying to do intra party polling matchups at this point when there are not even final party nominees yet is not even credible. Trump will likely roll over Hillary Clinton like a steam engine. He is drawing people from all voting spectrums which is what you have to do to win a general election. The evangelical vote will not put you in the Whitehouse.
Cruz may have done better than what he was projected to do, but the real fact, that none of you Cruz people seem to want to acknowledge, is that Trump has received far more votes than Cruz, has far more delegates than Cruz, and draws many thousands to his rallies, even tens of thousands, whereas the highest number Cruz has drawn is what, a thousand maybe at one rally, at the most!
Truth is, with voter fraud, and the powers behind her, Hillary may be impossible to defeat but if you decide to live in the real world , and stop crunching the numbers in such a way so as to make your dreams seem real, Trump is in the best position to win against Hillary. This support for Cruz or any other candidate in the GOP is foolish, if your goal is to take on Hillary and win.
My support for Trump is not “blind”.
He’s been campaigning consistently for strong borders, curtailing illegal immigration and limiting Muslim immigration.
He’s either telling the truth or not. He isn’t bought by open borders lobby so for me, he’s the best option to get these things done.
If he turns into Obama II, then I’m not any worse off. The track record of the “establishment republicans” is a long road of betrayal.
I think he’s a little to off the cuff for his own good sometimes, but I’m OK with that.
Posted earlier;
My support for Trump is not “blind”.
He’s been campaigning consistently for strong borders, curtailing illegal immigration and limiting Muslim immigration.
He’s either telling the truth or not. He isn’t bought by open borders lobby so for me, he’s the best option to get these things done.
If he turns into Obama II, then I’m not any worse off. The track record of the “establishment republicans” is a long road of betrayal.
I think he’s a little to off the cuff for his own good sometimes, but I’m OK with that.
Imagine the Left/Media/Establishment/GOPe all engaging in a 24/7/365 concerted effort at demonization of 1 individual.
Let the chips fall where they may. The GOPe has screwed its own brand over the last 30 years. Don't blame it on Trump or his supporters.
They can live with the results of their efforts.
The difference is that Trump himself wrote about his affairs, and is not running on a platform of “You’re not a Christian if you don’t vote for me.”
And Trump’s ex-wives seem to be on good terms with him (Ivana says he’d be a great President.), and his kids seem to be crazy about him. Cruz’s kids recoil from him—exactly as if he habitually beat them.
As long as you post half truths and some outright untruths about Cruz, your entire post lacks credibility.
Why did Sessions support Trump instead of Cruz? Sessions must know Cruz very well and better than you.
This fantasy is of course BEFORE the 18-inch naval rifles of the superbattleship USS Trump are brought to bear on the hapless Communist flagship USSR Shrillary!...
Th American people and their headmasters probably could have gotten Mrs. Bill without doing anything to bring it about. They just wanted to be sure.
Polls are always wrong, and are plots from “The Establishment”, when you don’t like what they say. Conversely, they are spot on accurate when you like the results.
The only chance of Trump winning is if there are major terror attacks, AND Clinton implodes. Then his chances raise from none to slim.
Like it or not, the best chance to beat Clinton is a brokered convention.
Clinton/Sanders and Trump /Cruz are the worst choices I have seen in my lifetime, and I started voting in 1968.
Please respond to this!
I guess you’d have to ask Sessions, but it could be the same reason as Carson and Palin did. Carson openly admits he was promised a position.
Sessions speaks highly of Cruz and he does know Cruz well.
Trumps groupies do not care about the facts. The are motivated only by emotion.
This idea of taking the right to vote from women makes me furious. I am a woman, I have worked all my life, I have a superior education, I pay taxes, raised a family. I have been a responsible citizen of this country, and I think I have earned my right to vote, even if I vote in ways the majority of men may or may not like.
Now four things about this women not voting thing:
1. You don’t know how bad things might have been with women not voting!
2. I would like to point out that most tragic period in our history, with the most loss of American lives, was the civil war, and no women were allowed to vote then. Perhaps if women had been allowed to vote, there would have no civil war!
3. The supreme court, with its majority of men, unaccountable to the voters found a right in the US constitution for abortion. What a brutal assault this has been on women, especially black women, which basically has granted men the moral right/permission to abandon the mothers of their children, and their children.
4. Now take a look at the middle east, women are not allowed to vote there, indeed they have no rights at all. You think those are just and moral governments? Are those governments who care anything about the helpless and the poor? Do they have any reason ever to stop regarding women as chattel, not just subservient to men, but who can be murdered upon a whim?
We women are fellow citizens of this country, and if you do not like how some of us vote maybe you men should try being the men your great-grandfathers were, men who respected and honored women, who were devoted to their families, and faithful to their wives, just men who realized the justice of allowing their fellow female citizens as strong a voice in the governing of this (once great) country, that it is “we the people” not “we, half the people!”
You are correct. They certainly aren’t motivated by substance.
The only stunning fact we need to know about Trump is that he is at 54% in Reuters rolling today and Teddy is at 37%. In a week or two Luz will be beyond the point of statistical ability to win 1237 delegates.
If the Babe scandal turns out to be true he will be leaving the race earlier than anticipated.
Polls are always wrong, and are plots from “The Establishment”, when you don’t like what they say. Conversely, they are spot on accurate when you like the results.
I get the argument that polls taken now isn’t a 100% indication of what will happen in Nov. But the problem both Trump and Hillary have is they are both well known. It will be difficult for Trump to make her corruption an issue since that’s already an issue the public will agree with him on.
OTOH, not only will she use his past stements against him but she will also point out that he donated to her and he himself even stated she would make a good president
Thanks for the real math versus kruz rat new math,
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.