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The Mosul Dam - OPEC's Unavoidable Supply Cut
Seeking Alpha ^ | Mar. 14, 2016 | "Middle East Medium"

Posted on 03/14/2016 2:57:16 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder

Summary

The Mosul Dam in Iraq could collapse at any time, causing massive flooding across the country.

Iraq produces over four million barrels of oil per day, a number which will drop immediately when this event occurs.

The destruction of oil production in Iraq will immediately decrease world supply, lifting oil prices.

(Excerpt) Read more at seekingalpha.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: economy; iraq; mosuldam; oil; opec
I thought this was pretty interesting, now that the entire world is an oil-price watcher.
1 posted on 03/14/2016 2:57:16 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

If it happens, the left will blame it on Trump as will Kasich,Rubio, Cruz and Romney.


2 posted on 03/14/2016 3:02:27 PM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: Don Corleone

We should blame every senator who voted for the Corker bill which allow this. I believe that Cruz was an aye. Not sure if Marco showed up, if I were a betting man, I would say that he didn’t.


3 posted on 03/14/2016 3:05:02 PM PDT by stratboy
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Well then it’ll be interesting to see how we all do without coal, trucks (Bernie wants the trucking industry gone) or oil. After all, the idiot libs think solar panels and wind turbines will do the trick.

If the dam fails, a great cull of muzzie herd is kind of intriguing.


4 posted on 03/14/2016 3:07:07 PM PDT by bluejean (The lunatics are running the asylum)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Racism and global warming are to blame. Minorities and children will be hardest hit.


5 posted on 03/14/2016 3:11:05 PM PDT by Organic Panic
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Sounds like several groups could schedule this accident to their favor. Saudis would love it I think. Iran needs money. Russia could probably profit...


6 posted on 03/14/2016 3:26:14 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Doesn’t the Bible have some mention of a strange flood on the Tigris?????? I’m not thinking of the Red Sea??

BA


7 posted on 03/14/2016 3:33:06 PM PDT by Battle Axe (Repent: for the coming of the Lord is soon.)
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To: mountainlion

The Saudi’s would hate it. They are actively engaged in financial warfare with us trying to kill off our oil industry (frakking specifically). Have you seen the latest rig count? It is mind blowingly low.


8 posted on 03/14/2016 3:39:02 PM PDT by Ghost of SVR4 (So many are so hopelessly dependent on the government that they will fight to protect it.)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

There are a couple of “minor” dams up the Nile as well. I hope they don’t all go at once.


9 posted on 03/14/2016 3:41:16 PM PDT by Dogbert41 (All the days of my life were written in your book before there was one of them!)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

“The Mosul Dam in Iraq could collapse at any time”

all the other articles I looked at said there was no threat of imminent collapse.

http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2016/03/14/Engineers-race-to-stop-collapse-of-massive-Mosul-dam.html


10 posted on 03/14/2016 3:43:03 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: Ghost of SVR4
The Saudi’s would hate it...

The Saudi’s could knock out a competitor and raise the oil prices so they could pay more for terrorist networks.

11 posted on 03/14/2016 3:47:52 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: mountainlion

Not denying your terrorist network comment in the slightest. The house of saud needs to ensure we (US) do not become energy independent. As soon as we do and don’t need them the house of saud “royalty” are all dead and they damn well know it. The house of saud has been living on a razors edge for a very long time.
Oh, believe me, while higher prices would hurt my wallet, an energy independent America would be just fine by me watching Saudi Arabia burn for months at the hands of ISIS. They deserve nothing less.
We need high prices for frakking to come back “alive” and for our rig count to increase as the price is too low today for it to be economical for many companies.


12 posted on 03/14/2016 3:59:45 PM PDT by Ghost of SVR4 (So many are so hopelessly dependent on the government that they will fight to protect it.)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder
Wow! This means that my Dinars will devalue! Oh no, Mr. Bill, oh nooooooo!
13 posted on 03/14/2016 4:27:21 PM PDT by vetvetdoug
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To: catnipman

It was my understanding that the constant cement caulking of the dam was halted in 2014 when the dam was overrun by ISIL. Then the equipment was looted and sold.

No immediate threat?

Of course not.


14 posted on 03/14/2016 4:50:54 PM PDT by Elderberry
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To: Ghost of SVR4

I do not know where but at somewhere above $40 a barrel the fracking will pick up again. Iran needs money they will produce more even at cheaper prices. Oil will not control world politics for some decades.


15 posted on 03/14/2016 4:58:04 PM PDT by nomorelurker
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To: nomorelurker

My son is a Measurement while Drilling Engineer. He was laid off last spring. He’s drilling again, 1 month now, in OK.


16 posted on 03/14/2016 5:19:30 PM PDT by Elderberry
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To: Elderberry

We were not supposed to be able to drill out of high prices for oil but at somewhere above $40 dollars a barrel we did. The drill baby drill posters here were correct.


17 posted on 03/14/2016 5:39:38 PM PDT by nomorelurker
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To: vetvetdoug

Wallpaper


18 posted on 03/14/2016 5:55:34 PM PDT by ImJustAnotherOkie
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Note: this topic is from 3/14/2016. Thanks Attention Surplus Disorder.
The destruction of oil production in Iraq will immediately decrease world supply, lifting oil prices.
Seeking Alpha is actually, usually, worth checking out, as it is more of a 'blog than a commercial churn sheet. The writer is given as 'Middle East Medium', which is amusing. Basically, though, this is a whistling trip past the graveyard. Travel stocks -- especially land travel -- and retailing stocks should see a great big upward kick in the pants from lower energy costs. In a couple of years -- assuming no major general war breaks out across the Middle East (and assuming the past 1400 years are normal there, and not considered major general war) -- the economy should be booming, just in time for the midterm elections, and whomever is POTUS will be getting the credit for the boom. But by all means, sit out the 2016 if your candidate isn't the POTUS nominee.


19 posted on 04/18/2016 12:00:19 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: Don Corleone

Yeah, and once again George Bush avoids responsibility. It must be part of the Koch brothers master plan I tell ya.


20 posted on 04/18/2016 12:04:16 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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