Posted on 03/12/2016 9:21:13 PM PST by Lonely Bull
This thread is like the last thread.
DO NOT VOTE ON THIS THREAD.
This is the nightly DISCUSSION thread for the ongoing 2016 Free Republic Caucus. Per caucus rules, no comments are allowed on the caucus thread itself - hence this open chat thread.
If you'd like to vote in the caucus, please look in the sidebar for the link, or check downthread here.
Thanks, and let 'er rip!
Windy
Free Republic Caucus 2016 03/13
FR Caucus discussion ping
| Date | Voting thread | Discussion thread | Results [on www.hotr.us] | Sequence no. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/13 | [link] | [link] | [available later] | 54 |
| 3/12 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 53 |
| 3/11 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 52 |
| 3/10 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 51 |
| 3/09 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 50 |
| 3/08 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 49 |
| 3/07 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 48 |
| 3/06 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 47 |
| 3/05 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 46 |
| 3/04 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 45 |
| 3/03 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 44 |
| 3/02 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 43 |
| 3/01 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 42 |
| 2/29 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 41 |
| 2/28 | [link] | [link] | [link] | 40 |
| Dates | Table | Sequence nos. |
|---|---|---|
| 2/24 - 3/09 | [link] | 36-50 |
| 2/17 - 3/02 | [link] | 29-43 |
| 2/10 - 2/24 | [link] | 22-36 |
| 2/03 - 2/17 | [link] | 15-29 |
| 1/27 - 2/10 | [link] | 8-22 |
| 1/20 - 2/03 | [link] | 1-15 |
The results may be of interest to some of you, post the developments of the last 24 hours.
Not surprised, but... the spread between Trump and Cruz, appears to be at it’s widest margin since the Caucus began. Trump over 80, Cruz under 20.
Someone here at FR remarked that Cruz’s attempt to mine some political points, by tarring Trump with the cause of the agitprop calamity at the Chicago venue, was in effect like someone leaving their brother in arms behind on the battle field. I cannot think of a more apt description. Cruz didn’t just shoot himself in the foot- he blew his entire leg off. Serves him right, and none to smart either.
Thank you, bud.
Can you add some context to the study area of your graphs? Is this projected for next Tuesday?
After Cruz praised the Chicago rioters:
Cruz at the lowest he has ever been.
Trump at the highest he has ever been.
“Cruz’s attempt to mine some political points, by tarring Trump with the cause of the agitprop calamity at the Chicago venue, was in effect like someone leaving their brother in arms behind on the battle field.”
That’s not only poetic, it perfectly describes how many people saw it. It was a low betrayal, cast in flowery, but empty words.
I looked at these results (as I usually do) and started writing a post. Then I reloaded the thread and found your post #7, which anticipated that post.
The results may be of interest to some of you, post the developments of the last 24 hours.
I already wrote, "I'll point out now that Trump has cleared 80% for the first time, and Cruz is at a low of 17.45%. (Yes, the numbers are subject to fluctuations, but I thought of a news development in the past day that may explain these numbers.)"
I reloaded the thread again and found freepersup's post #8:
Not surprised, but... the spread between Trump and Cruz, appears to be at it’s widest margin since the Caucus began. Trump over 80, Cruz under 20.
Someone here at FR remarked that Cruz’s attempt to mine some political points, by tarring Trump with the cause of the agitprop calamity at the Chicago venue, was in effect like someone leaving their brother in arms behind on the battle field. I cannot think of a more apt description. Cruz didn’t just shoot himself in the foot- he blew his entire leg off. Serves him right, and none to smart either.
Cruz has been below 20% on some recent days, but this point is his lowest yet. (Also, he hadn't gone below 20% before March 4.)
The Trump 82.08% is even more noticeable. This ratio of Trump votes to Cruz votes is 4.7 to 1. I want to send this post before I calculate other recent ratios, but this last ratio is probably the highest so far.
It may not be worded real clearly, but those are the delegates that each man needs to achieve the nomination.
On the right is the % of the remaining delegates they need to win to achieve 1237.
Yes, that is true.
Did that help?
Thanks for the comments Lonely Bull.
I didn’t want to gloat over it, so the Cruz folks could review it for themselves and make what they would out of it.
I think it’s pretty clear what happened.
I also think there’s a strong likelihood the fallout will be seen to grow in the next day or two.
We’ll see if my hunch is correct.
I say this, because some folks only heard about it fully today, and may have already voted.
I noticed some other things about today’s vote that I’ll comment on after I stop the caucus.
I don’t want my observations and comments to interfere with the vote.
Thanks. Yeah- makes sense. I thought it was the totals after the dust settled Tuesday.
“I noticed some other things about today’s vote that I’ll comment on after I stop the caucus.”
Please be sure to ping me when you do. I want to see what you have to say.
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