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Apple Watch U.S. Online Sales Estimated at 3 Million Through 3 Months
MacRumors ^ | Monday July 13, 2015 3:55 am PDT | by Joe Rossignol

Posted on 07/13/2015 3:23:58 PM PDT by Swordmaker

Apple Watch online sales in the United States are estimated to have totaled 3,039,353 at an average price of $505 through July 10, exactly three months after Apple began accepting pre-orders for the wrist-worn device, according to the latest data from market research firm Slice Intelligence obtained exclusively by MacRumors.


The entry-level Apple Watch Sport has been the most popular model among early adopters by almost a two-to-one margin, with an estimated 1,950,909 units sold at an average price of $381 since April 10. Meanwhile, stainless steel Apple Watch sales are estimated at 1,086,569 units to date, at an average price of $695.


Apple Watch Sales 3 Months Slice
Apple has also sold 1,875 Apple Watch Edition models to date, at an average price of $13,700, according to Slice Intelligence. The 18-karat gold Apple Watch models, seen on the wrists of celebrities such as Beyonce, Drake, Kanye West, Katy Perry and Pharrell Williams, cost between $10,000 and $17,000 in the U.S.


Slice Intelligence's data does not include Apple Watch sales in Australia, Canada, China, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Switzerland, Taiwan and the United Kingdom, nor does it account for walk-in purchases made through the Apple Store.


A Recap of Slice Intelligence's Previous Estimates


Last week, Slice Intelligence released new data that showed Apple Watch online sales in the U.S. steadily declined throughout June. Specifically, the survey revealed that Apple Watch sales in the U.S. remained consistent at around 20,000 per day in May before dropping to less than 10,000 per day last month.


The research firm previously estimated that Apple received 1 million Apple Watch pre-orders at launch, averaged 30,000 Apple Watch sales per day in late May and had topped 2.8 million total Apple Watch sales as of mid June. It also found that around 17% of online shoppers buy at least one extra band for the Apple Watch.


A Closer Look at Slice Intelligence's Methodology


Given that Apple has not publicly disclosed any official Apple Watch sales figures, and will be grouping the wrist-worn device under its "Other Products" category in quarterly earnings reports, the accuracy and methodology behind the Slice Intelligence data has been called into question -- so we went looking for answers.


MacRumors spoke with Slice Intelligence's Chief Data Officer Kanishka Agarwal and VP of Marketing and PR Jaimee Minney to learn more about Slice Intelligence's methodology. The details below should provide a better understanding of how its Apple Watch sales estimates were calculated over the past three months.


Slice Intelligence tracks e-receipts from 2.5 million online shoppers in the U.S., which it claims is the largest panel anywhere, that sign up for the company's value-added services such as Slice and Unroll.me. Slice, for example, is a free app for tracking packages, receipts, price drops, product recall alerts and more.


The research firm had a sample size of about 22,000 Apple Watch customers among its panel of 2.5 million online shoppers in the U.S. through July 10, more than double the sample size of about 9,000 shoppers it had when it estimated Apple Watch pre-orders reached nearly 1 million on launch day in the U.S. on April 10.


Slice Intelligence also offers an API for developers to provide users with their purchase history and can aggregate e-receipt data through some of these third-party apps and services. The research firm claims to be the only one to provide direct measurement of all digital commerce activity and customer loyalty.


Slice Intelligence says it is "very confident" that its Apple Watch sales estimates are within proximity to what Apple has actually sold, noting that its data is measured against third-party sources such as Amazon and the U.S. Department of Commerce with between 97% and 99% accuracy. Slice and Apple have not been in contact.


The research firm claims to have a diversified pool of consumers that is highly representative of the online shopping population and balanced to eliminate biases. Agarwal says that his firm's panel lines up nicely with the overall market and is supplemented by detailed competitive insight and data from clients.


Apple's Q3 FY 2015 results are scheduled to be released on July 21 at 2:00 PM Pacific.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Computers/Internet
KEYWORDS: dud; icult
Using Slice Intelligence's way too accurate numbers of Apple Watches sold for "estimates", the total revenue for the US is $1,524,049,284.00, which is also way to accurate of "estimates." They could at least have the statistical honesty to round them off. . . and then claim a plus/minue error in their published figures or a degree of confidence, not wait for someone to ask. . . especially when using a set of data amassed from a self-selected universe of purchasers, that may or may not be representative of all Apple customers, or the subset of Apple Watch buyers. They also made the unforgivable sin of making generalities for worldwide sales from that flawed subset of sales data based only on US sales. . . and did it in a new market which they knew nothing about.
1 posted on 07/13/2015 3:23:58 PM PDT by Swordmaker
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Thanks Swordmaker.
Apple Watch online sales in the United States are estimated to have totaled 3,039,353 at an average price of $505 through July 10... entry-level Apple Watch Sport has been the most popular... with an estimated 1,950,909 units sold at an average price of $381 since April 10. Meanwhile, stainless steel Apple Watch sales are estimated at 1,086,569 units to date, at an average price of $695.

2 posted on 07/13/2015 3:27:30 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (What do we want? REGIME CHANGE! When do we want it? NOW)
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To: ~Kim4VRWC's~; 1234; Abundy; Action-America; acoulterfan; AFreeBird; Airwinger; Aliska; altair; ...
MacRumors provides more insight into Slice Intelligence's data on the Apple Watch sales. . . and perhaps shows how the data collection, the data, and its interpretation are flawed. Plus showing sales in the US alone are not flops. . . if their numbers are true. Remember, US sales represent only about 1/3 of the Apple Watch sales during this period. — PING!


Apple Watch US Sales (only) estimates from SLICE through July 10th
Ping!

If you want on or off the Mac Ping List, Freepmail me.

3 posted on 07/13/2015 3:29:14 PM PDT by Swordmaker ( This tag line is a Microsoft insult free zone... but if the insults to Mac users continue...)
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To: Swordmaker
When you actually think it through, the iWatch is the logical conclusion of the fact that Apple sells the best, and highest margin, personal computers and smart phones. iWatch is really only targeted at iPhone users exclusively, and really only the (profitability) cream of that market.
As you noted elsewhere, iWatch will do fine for Apple if it only sells to (the top) 20% of the iPhone market. It is essentially an expensive accessory to the iPhone.

4 posted on 07/13/2015 4:11:45 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion ('Liberalism' is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion
Canacord just came out with their analysis of the profits in the Cellular smartphone market and determined that Apple is taking home 92% of ALL smartphone makers' profits with Samsung taking 15%. Yes, that totals 107%, but that's because all other smartphone makers either broke even or lost money.
Apple’s owns 92% of smartphone industry’s profits Monday, July 13, 2015

“Apple Inc. recorded 92% of the total operating income from the world’s eight top smartphone makers in the first quarter, up from 65% a year earlier, estimates Canaccord Genuity managing director Mike Walkley,” Shira Ovide and Daisuke Wakabayashi report for The Wall Street Journal. “Samsung Electronics Co. took 15%, Canaccord says. Apple and Samsung account for more than 100% of industry profits because other makers broke even or lost money, in Canaccord’s calculations.”

“Events last week highlighted the lopsided financial picture,” Ovide and Wakabayashi report. “Apple is asking suppliers to make a record number of new iPhone models. Meanwhile, Samsung forecast disappointing profits, HTC Corp. reported a quarterly loss, and Microsoft Corp. wrote down 80% of the value of the smartphone business it acquired from Nokia Corp. last year… The results demonstrate the rapidly shifting fortunes in the smartphone business, which Apple transformed with the iPhone in 2007.”

“Apple’s share of profits is remarkable given that it sells less than 20% of smartphones, in terms of unit sales,” Ovide and Wakabayashi report. “Neil Mawston, executive director at market researcher Strategy Analytics, said many Android vendors are stuck between low-cost, high-volume brands such as China’s Xiaomi Corp. and Apple’s premium smartphones.”


5 posted on 07/13/2015 5:05:40 PM PDT by Swordmaker ( This tag line is a Microsoft insult free zone... but if the insults to Mac users continue...)
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To: Swordmaker
> ...Slice Intelligence's way too accurate numbers of Apple Watches sold for "estimates", the total revenue for the US is $1,524,049,284.00, which is also way too accurate of "estimates." They could at least have the statistical honesty to round them off. . . and then claim a plus/minue error in their published figures or a degree of confidence,...

Hi Sword! Two things I dare to point out:

  1. I think you meant "way too precise", not "way too accurate". As I'm sure you know, precision is when someone tells you that PI is 3.141592653333333... -- very precise, but inaccurate. "Accurate" would be "355/113 plus about 0.0000003". Or when someone tells you the Federal debt is "$17,236,418,220,871.47", very precise but inaccurate. In fact, the Federal debt is 17 bazillion cubic f**k-tons. That's not very precise, but it's accurate.

  2. Slice Intelligence must be a bunch of freakin' bean counters. Bean counters love to say exactly how many beans they counted. It makes them feel important. They can't "round the count off" to make it more realistic. They don't give a crap about reality. They only want a precise count of the beans, period.
Just sayin'.
6 posted on 07/13/2015 5:36:25 PM PDT by dayglored (Meditate for twenty minutes every day, unless you are too busy, in which case meditate for an hour.)
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To: dayglored
Just sayin'.

You are CORRCT. I was trying to pull up that word and it just wouldn't come. DANG!

It's the pits getting older with a brain full of data and the index is getting too large to find what you want when you want it! Sometimes you just give up on trying to drag the correct word and and go ahead and clic post, after beating on your brow for several minutes trying to beat it out. Thanks.

it get's worse the more I cram in my noggin. . . but I ain't about to stop.

7 posted on 07/13/2015 6:23:53 PM PDT by Swordmaker ( This tag line is a Microsoft insult free zone... but if the insults to Mac users continue...)
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To: Swordmaker
> It's the pits getting older with a brain full of data and the index is getting too large to find what you want when you want it!

Yep, exactly... my index acts sometimes like it's corrupted; the hashing algorithm used to work flawlessly but now I'm getting more and more collisions, and you know, I swear I can hear them collide...

8 posted on 07/13/2015 6:46:18 PM PDT by dayglored (Meditate for twenty minutes every day, unless you are too busy, in which case meditate for an hour.)
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To: Swordmaker

I finally saw a Iwatch....first hand....today


9 posted on 07/13/2015 7:29:37 PM PDT by MeshugeMikey ("Never, Never, Never, Give Up," Winston Churchill ><>)
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To: dayglored
Yep, exactly... my index acts sometimes like it's corrupted; the hashing algorithm used to work flawlessly but now I'm getting more and more collisions, and you know, I swear I can hear them collide...

I swear that's what that constant subtle roaring is in my ears. . . the sound of neurons colliding it's getting so crowded in there. I picture it as all those memories and facts bumping into each other.

10 posted on 07/13/2015 7:59:50 PM PDT by Swordmaker ( This tag line is a Microsoft insult free zone... but if the insults to Mac users continue...)
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