Posted on 04/29/2015 3:02:31 PM PDT by lwd
1. Ocho Ocho Ocho 50-1
2. Carpe Diem 8-1
3. Materiality 12-1
4. Tencendur 30-1
5. Danzig Moon 30-1
6. Mubtaahij 20-1
7. El Kabeir 30-1
8. Dortmund 3-1
9. Bolo 30-1
10. Firing Line 12-1
11. Sanford 30-1
12. International Star 20-1
13. Itsaknockout 30-1
14. Keen ice 50-1
15. Frosted 15-1
16. War Story 50-1
17. Mr. Z 50-1
18. American Pharoah 5-2
19. Upstart 15-1
20. Far Right 30-1
He’ll probably get confused and run the oaks instead.
Sanford scratched and Frammento is filling his spot.
El kabeir took a few “bad steps” and may be the next out...
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/91709/el-kabeir-did-not-go-to-track-still-in-derby
...which will put dallas stewart’s horse in....he’s come in late the last two derbys with long shots and finished 2nd. I had commanding curve last year. I haven’t even looked at tale of verve...
“The outside doesn't really bother me . I just didn't want to be stuck down inside. He (American Pharoah) is a fast horse. In a race like this, you just have to break well, if you don't do that it's a problem. But he's a fast horse.”--trainer Bob Baffert
http://www.wdrb.com/story/28935128/crawford-baffert-beats-bad-luck-with-favorite-american-pharoahs-derby-draw
Will be at Churchill Downs tomorrow. I will likely bet the following:
Dortmund
Firing Line
Frosted
El kabeir scratched...not sure if tale of verve will run...don’t think it matters. This may leave an open slot between mubtaahij and Dortmund, making their trip out of the gate easier.
Dortmund at his post of 8
Mubtaahij with his post of 6.
These posts have also had some of the most winners.
Good luck tomorrow, I really do not to like these races with this many horses
Good picks...I like both firing line and frosted...so many good horses it’s hard to fault anyone’s picks. Good luck and have a nice time a the derby.
My mistake...from 8th (Dortmund) to 20 will move over one slot. So ap will be in the 16th gate now.
HERE ARE THE FINAL PAST PERFORMANCES FOR THE 2015 KENTUCKY DERBY:
On PDF File (free):
http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/KentuckyDerby15.pdf
Down to 19 horses now that el kabeir (calvin borel’s ride) is out.
Thank you. Can’t wait...
I’m with you. American Pharoah. Now, where’s my Derby chapeau...
Thanks. Though it’s too bad for Calvin Borel & El Kabeir
I am going with my gut here and my gut has been known to be wrong (see my last season NFL picks...lol) but my pick for the 141st running of the Kentucky Derby presented by Yum! Brands is...
MUBTAAHIJ
Despite all of his negitives, the travel over from Dubia, running without PEDs (Lasix), change of diet, the timeformUS guys saying he can't keep pace,etc. I have a win and place bet on him. I also have a 1/2 unit place and show on FROSTED.
I have a few super/trifectas with dort, mub, frost, firing line, ap.
This may sound wingnut-crazy but I think Far Right could get a piece if he can keep up with the pack early, ...but I have no bets on him yet...
Good luck today!
INTERNATIONAL STAR #12 scratched from derby
Damn... He had a great chance at coming in the money at a price.
He did. I’m now most concerned about Materiality ...we shall see. It’s a shame you can’t pick them all.
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