Nate Silver-Intrade Poll Obama 82.35% Romney 16.93% MoE 1.8%

[Perdogg]

Breaking from a bathhouse in NYC, Nate Silver released his first poll in cooperation with Intrade betting site. He predicted with 99.9998% certainty that Obama would win all 538 Electoral Votes from all 57 states. He also said with 116.342% certainty that Obama would win the 2016 Republican and Democrat nomination and run unopposed.

[FlingWingFlyer]

Somebody hand dat boy a bath towel!

[Red Steel]

LoL. 99.99% confidence that Nate Silver goes into hiding on November 7th.

[E. Pluribus Unum]

Very few US citizens are actually trading on InTrade. You have to make your purchase through an offshore account. InTrade is basically a bunch of foreigners making bets on what they think the outcome of the US election is going to be.

Good luck with that.

[deweyfrank]

Bet the house on the dog.

[Tea Party Terrorist]

3 out of the last 5 Ohio polls have Romney ahead. I wonder if Nate Silver has access to internal polling like he did in 2008 from the Obama campaign (He signed a confidentiality agreement).

[txrefugee]

Axleface must have clued Silver in on their plot to steal this election with enough welfare leeches, illigal aliens, university scum, government workers, unions and the large dead constituency to re-elect the Chicago Thug President.

[BunnySlippers]

A view from Europe where 90% love O.

[Mr. K]

if those figures are accurate I am willing to put $2K on Romney

does anyone know how to do that?

[NELSON111]

>>>3 out of the last 5 Ohio polls have Romney ahead. I wonder if Nate Silver has access to internal polling like he did in 2008 from the Obama campaign (He signed a confidentiality agreement).

I find it interesting that we are seeing a slow drip of good news leaked out from internal polling by Romney...but NONE from Obama. All we see is "all is good" type stuff.

Leads me to believe they don't want to talk about what their internal polls are showing.

[carlo3b]

Careful drawing too much into what this cretin says.. He no doubt has a close relationship with the inner workings of the Zero Campaign, telling him stuff that is making him double down on his outlandish predictions..

Either they are purposely throwing this young up-incomer, under the bus, or they are allowing him in on the plans to steal this election, that they are convinced will not be challenged until it is too late, if ever..

[madison10]

So Nate knows where all the Spigot (cheating) Cities are?

[Wpin]

Intrade is simply people “betting” on who will win...the price and hence implied odds is determined by who is buying more of which candidate...it is easily manipulated and democrats use it for propaganda purposes...

Doesn’t mean a thing folks!

[workerbee]

Nate Silver, Nate Silver, Nate Silver! Who IS this Nate Silver?? I follow politics fairly closely but I swear I don’t remember him from other elections (or do I have to be a DU’er to know?)

[Mark]

Ok—more humor-—science-—funny- Obama followers

http://www.youtube.com/embed/Fos4EPUOsHo?feature=player_embedded

[Conscience of a Conservative]

3 out of the last 5 Ohio polls have Romney ahead.

Which 3 of 5 is that? I'm not seeing it on RCP, or on the Cook report.

[5thGenTexan]

Doesn’t mean a thing folks! Means there could be some money to be made from the O-zealots.

[Tea Party Terrorist]

@LSchweikart on his Twitter feed has them.

[Wpin]

That has been what I have been thinking today...I think there may be a dollar to be made there, seriously...

[Kolath]

Having a fun time dissing a clown who runs a one-month old polling firm called Pharos. He cites that the NE senate race is a dead heat yet when questions are raised on the methodology (under samples R’s, over samples D’d for example) as well as comments saying his poll is an outlier and predicts Fischer (R) will win, you just gotta roll your eyes and go “mehh”.

As to the polls in general, let me quote an old advertising saying (Alpo) in the 1960’s, “Sir, they’re not eating the dog food.”