Somebody hand dat boy a bath towel!
LOL, your satire.
I saw Nate Silver on Charlie Rose the other. (Yeah, I know...why would anyone want to watch Charlie Rose? I was bored....) Anyhow, he was saying that Obama had 75% chance of winning the Electoral College based on his analysis of an aggregate of many polls. He mentioned the Gallup poll, in particular, and said that it was outlier. He believes that the voter turnout model will be more like 08 than 10, so that is why he is confident in his analysis. I think he is going to be surprised like many others come election day.