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Vanity - interesting fact about WasPo/ABC Daily Tracking polls (Pay attention Eeyores)
https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher ^ | NumbersMunchers

Posted on 10/28/2012 9:27:47 PM PDT by Perdogg

Per Twitter

WaPo/ABC tracking poll has Romney up 1, 49-48. Sample moved from D+4 Fri to D+6 Sat to D+7 today. Romney up 15 w/ indies.

WaPo/ABC tracking Thur-Sat has same turnout adv for Dems as 08. In 08 Obama won by 7%, today he loses by 1.

Yep... moved from D+4 two days ago to D+7 today. Yet Romney maintained 1 point lead even through the shift.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; poll; polling; polls; wp
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To: madameguinot
Do you know what their ‘rationale’ is for changing the weighted average?

It is the same old game. If Republicans are winning most polls will show it a neck and neck race until the last week when they have to get their numbers to look sort of accurate so next election they can point to that last week and say see how accurate we were.

If a dem is winning they always show it.

The problems for the republican in reading polls before the last week of the election is deciding whether the republican is winning or is it close (which usually means a republican win).

If this thing was even 1 point win for Obama the media would be shouting it from the rooftops.

21 posted on 10/29/2012 7:03:22 AM PDT by Lady Heron
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