Per Twitter, FL Mason-Dixon Poll 48-47 (D +5 Oversample)

[Perdogg]

Per Twitter, FL Mason-Dixon Poll 48-47 (D +5 Oversample)

[LongWayHome]

At best it’s going to be D+ 1 or 2 this year. Romney is ahead in Florida.

[tatown]

That’s from a week ago isn’t it?

[USS Alaska]

Hey Dogg,

Check this out, it is seeBS latest Florida, PA and Ohio polls that show obama with 6-8 point leads.

Opps, the copy came back as garbage, but the story was that they over sampled demonRATS by 9-11 percent.

[EGPWS]

But...but... Larry Sabato said on FOX this AM that 0bama is leading in the swing states and Romney needs to get to Florida to swing it back in his direction.(paraphrasing)

[Perdogg]

I got it off twitter 10 minutes ago.

[tatown]

Okay, then it’s the same result they got last week (9/17 - 9/19).

http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/09/22/3016362/obama-48-romney-47-in-hard-fought.html

[King of Florida]

That is from last week (likely voters conducted 9/17-9/19). There have been 4 Fla polls released since then, showing Obama at 50-45 (ARG), 50-46 (PPP), 51-47 (WaPost), and 53-44 (Q’piac). No idea what the “unskewed” numbers are because I really don’t believe in that kind of tin foil hattery.

[LS]

So far---and this is only so far---Rs are leading by 7% in OH absentee voting registration. This presumes a) all Dems vote for Zero; b) all Republicans vote for Romney; and Indies split 50/50, which would mean SO FAR if Romney doesn't get a single net new indie vote he barely wins OH.

If he gets 5% indies, he should win comfortably. More than that, it's a blowout.

We are still looking at the northwest and southeast counties (former went R in 2008, but with a big falloff from 04; latter are D but with the oil/pipeline issues there should be a real dropoff in Ds there).

[LS]

So far---and this is only so far---Rs are leading by 7% in OH absentee voting registration. This presumes a) all Dems vote for Zero; b) all Republicans vote for Romney; and Indies split 50/50, which would mean SO FAR if Romney doesn't get a single net new indie vote he barely wins OH.

If he gets 5% indies, he should win comfortably. More than that, it's a blowout.

We are still looking at the northwest and southeast counties (former went R in 2008, but with a big falloff from 04; latter are D but with the oil/pipeline issues there should be a real dropoff in Ds there).

[Red Steel]

Great, R +7% over D. Hard factual numbers vs. MSLDS media fantasy number polling.

These things usually hold to form.

[Jet Jaguar]

Bump

[Joe Brower]

Florida Freeper

[103198]

Is the Party measurement during Ohio absentee voting based on primary voting history - or is there party registration in Ohio. It’s been so long, I don’t remember.

[SWAMPSNIPER]

Things are being set up to justify riots when Obama loses.

[JulieRNR21]

I got an automated call tonight....a very confusing and tricky poll:

Who would you vote for if the election was held today?

Press 1 for Obama; press 2 for Romney; undecided press 3.

I pressed 2.

Are you committed to vote for Obama; press 1

Leaning Obama; press 2; Undecided press 3.

If you are committed to vote for Romney; press 1

Leaning Romney, press 2. Undecided press 3