[LS]

So far---and this is only so far---Rs are leading by 7% in OH absentee voting registration. This presumes a) all Dems vote for Zero; b) all Republicans vote for Romney; and Indies split 50/50, which would mean SO FAR if Romney doesn't get a single net new indie vote he barely wins OH.

If he gets 5% indies, he should win comfortably. More than that, it's a blowout.

We are still looking at the northwest and southeast counties (former went R in 2008, but with a big falloff from 04; latter are D but with the oil/pipeline issues there should be a real dropoff in Ds there).

[Red Steel]

Great, R +7% over D. Hard factual numbers vs. MSLDS media fantasy number polling.

These things usually hold to form.