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Bloodbath: 54% of Verizon’s Android, BlackBerry users likely to upgrade to iPhone on day one
Mac Daily News ^ | February 3, 2011

Posted on 02/03/2011 9:01:38 PM PST by Swordmaker

As the end draws near for AT&T’s exclusive hold on the coveted iPhone from Apple, uSamp today released a nationwide survey of AT&T and Verizon customers to gauge their plans for the February 10 launch of Verizon’s iPhone.

uSamp’s iPhone survey was conducted online among 727 U.S. residents between Jan. 28 and Jan. 31, 2011 using the uSamp/DMS River Sample methodology and resulting in a 3.6 percent margin of error.

Drawing from its highly profiled online panel from Jan. 28 to Jan. 31 to query AT&T customers -- as well as current Verizon users of Android and BlackBerry phones -- uSamp surveyed more than 700 smartphone users, finding that 29% of AT&T customers who intend to switch to Verizon for the iPhone are willing to wait in line on Feb. 10 to get it. Among existing Verizon customers who plan to get the iPhone, 24 percent report a willingness to stand in line, too.

For young consumers, devotion to the iPhone is even more intense: among AT&T customers intending to upgrade, 35 percent of those ages 18-24 and 50 percent of those ages 25-34 are willing to wait in line on the Feb. 10 launch day. For Verizon’s current BlackBerry and Android users who report plans to upgrade to the iPhone, 46 percent of those ages 18-24 and 34 percent of those ages 25-34 agree to wait in line on day one.

The uSamp survey affirms initial reports of widespread defections from AT&T. According to the survey, more than a quarter of current AT&T customers (26 percent) intend to upgrade to Verizon’s iPhone on the day it becomes available. 26% percent of AT&T customers say they are “very likely” (8 percent) or “somewhat likely” (18 percent) to upgrade to Verizon’s iPhone on February 10.

A majority of Verizon’s current Android and BlackBerry users already have iPhone fever, reporting that they intend to head to Apple as soon as the iPhone hits the shelves: 54 percent are very likely (25 percent) or somewhat likely (29 percent) to upgrade to iPhone on February 10. Research in Motion, take note: fully two-thirds of Verizon’s BlackBerry users (66 percent) report they are very or somewhat likely to trade up to the iPhone that day, as are nearly half of its Android users (44 percent).

MacDailyNews Note: These are "Day One" numbers, in the middle of winter, no less!

As AT&T loses its monopoly on the iPhone, its customers who plan to switch to Verizon have one clear-cut reason: Dropped calls (48 percent). Other factors cited: carrier coverage (25 percent), product features (22 percent) and other reasons (30 percent).

For upgraders among Verizon’s current Android and BlackBerry users, it’s all about the cool features: the interface (60 percent), web browser (58 percent), media (51 percent), memory (43 percent), and camera (41 percent).

The top two reasons Verizon’s current smartphone users do not plan to give up their Androids or BlackBerrys in favor of the iPhone: conversion costs (46 percent) and the keyboard (34 percent). Other reasons not to upgrade included functions such as e-mail and messaging (23 percent), maps and GPS (23 percent), customization and widgets (20 percent), web browser (19 percent) and, for BlackBerry users, BlackBerry messenger (28 percent).

When asked if learning details about Verizon’s actual iPhone offering had led to second thoughts about switching, respondents cited the cost of conversion as the biggest concern (45 percent for AT&T customers, 41 percent for Verizon). AT&T customers had bigger fears than Verizon’s about a potential decline in Verizon’s service (25 percent for AT&T customers, 15 percent for Verizon). Both groups showed relatively equal concern about network speed (22 percent for AT&T customers, 26 percent for Verizon) as well as the risk of being first (19 percent for AT&T customers, 18 percent for Verizon). Despite these and other unknowns, 15 percent of AT&T customers reported having no second thoughts about switching, along with 25 percent of Verizon’s current BlackBerry and Android users.

In addition to top-line results, the data reveals some intriguing differences among AT&T customers and Verizon’s current BlackBerry and Android users, including along demographic lines such as age, gender and region.

The findings include:

• Men are more likely than women to upgrade to Verizon’s iPhone (32 percent of males at AT&T are somewhat or very likely, vs. 20 percent of females; 58 percent of males at Verizon, vs. 51 percent of females).

• Younger customers are not only more willing to wait in line for Verizon’s iPhone on Feb. 10 but, in general, they are more likely to upgrade: 36 percent of AT&T customers ages 18-24 and 41 percent ages 25-34 are very or somewhat likely to upgrade (vs. 26 percent for all AT&T customers); for Verizon’s current BlackBerry and Android users, 71 percent of those ages 18-24 are somewhat or very likely to upgrade on Feb. 10, as are 60 percent of those ages 25-34 (vs. 54 percent of all Verizon BlackBerry and Android users).

• Midwestern Verizon users of BlackBerry and Android are least willing to wait in line for the iPhone on Feb. 10 (13 percent, vs. 31 percent in the South, 26 percent in the Northeast, and 22 percent in the West). Regional differences among current AT&T users are minor (31 percent for both the Northeast and the South, 29 percent for the Midwest, and 25 percent for the West).

uSamp’s iPhone survey was conducted online among 727 U.S. residents between Jan. 28 and Jan. 31, 2011 using the uSamp/DMS River Sample methodology and resulting in a 3.6 percent margin of error.

Source: uSamp

MacDailyNews Take: The Verizon iPhone is going to quickly and brutally render the current smartphone landscape unrecognizable.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Computers/Internet
KEYWORDS: ilovebillgates; iwanthim; iwanthimbad; microsoftfanboys
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To: Swordmaker

I’ve used all 3 phones in a business environment.
1. Android is the best (interface, pics, call clarity, OS, etc.).
2. iPhone is a close 2nd (need Apple Store to change the battery).
3. Blackberry is 3rd (clumsy interface and fewer aps).


21 posted on 02/03/2011 9:40:49 PM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: April Lexington
It is mindboggling that billions and billions of dollars are spent by cell phone makers who make ridiculously crappy and unusable and non-secure cell phones. Once the iPhone is available on Verizon, the other cell phone companies will whither away. Crap for the landfill. Pure Adam Smith...

oO is that why my 'superior' iPhone decided to turn its screen on in its holster and fry itself, while my several HTC's even one that is 6 years old (windows mobile) still work fine. Just like any piece of technology some of it will eventually fail.

I have nothing against iPhones since I did own a couple, but currently I prefer my Android phones but also use an iPad (tethered to my Android for 3G when I need it) so I use what works, but it does irk me when apple fanboys (girls?) make blanket statements that make no sense

There are quite a few excellent phones out there and surprise surprise not all of them are made by Apple. Someone mentioned the EVO 4G which is an excellent phone as well as the new HTC Windows 7 phones, Samsung has some nice handsets too with screens that put iPhones to shame, so where do you come off calling everything else 'crap', just a little ill-informed I would say?
22 posted on 02/03/2011 9:42:26 PM PST by battousai (Conservatives are racist? YES, I hate stupid white liberals.)
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To: BigSkyFreeper
"That changed after AT&T bought Alltel’s network infrastructure.

Humm, I thought that Verizon bought Alltel. Was that done so the purchase could get regulatory approval?

23 posted on 02/03/2011 9:44:22 PM PST by WHBates
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To: Swordmaker

I wouldn’t go with Verizon if they paid me given their history of crippling phones and poor service in my area. (Been with US Cellular for 16 years)

I wouldn’t go to an iphone but may consider giving up on Blackberry for Android but I don’t need a bunch of apps that are cool for a week.


24 posted on 02/03/2011 9:47:52 PM PST by idkfa
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To: Swordmaker

I know very little about the iPhone, but I sure like my Droid-X, which replaced a Blackberry I hated.


25 posted on 02/03/2011 9:48:20 PM PST by umgud
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To: SeaHawkFan

Yep, and from my own and some friend’s experience, ATT tends to be better in more urban areas, whereas Verizon is much better in rural areas.

Went to a family reunion up in Radon, IL a short time ago, and I had zero signal (ATT). My relatives (most of whom I’d never met) with Verizon had a decent signal :p

As to the iPhone, yea, its great, but it is rather over-hyped and Apple is, I think, way too overprotective. I’d suggest going with an Android phone. Better, more personalizable, plus, the Android version of Angry Birds is free!


26 posted on 02/03/2011 9:49:33 PM PST by Svartalfiar
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To: mozarky2

I have both an I-Phone 4 and a Droid X. It took me one day to figure that the Droid was far superior. I made two calls on the I-Phone and during the call, I asked if I could call back. I did...on the Droid, and both my callers remarked how much better the call was...without knowing I switched phones.


27 posted on 02/03/2011 9:50:17 PM PST by norge (The amiable dunce is back, wearing a skirt and high heels.)
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To: SeaHawkFan

Agreed, Verizon is costly. I’m with T- mobile, far from perfect, but the difference in service will not kill me or hurt me long term. In the mean time, money saved is money earned. Oh ya, Qwest had sprint as their provider, when we were on the west coast, never had a problem.


28 posted on 02/03/2011 9:50:20 PM PST by foundedonpurpose (stand up for principles and values, reeducate with truth, talk to people)
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To: WHBates

No. Alltel went bankrupt and AT&T saw the opportunity to purchase Alltel because Alltel was in most area’s AT&T wasn’t. Alltel customers in return would get the chance to own AT&T phones, plans and an upgraded network.


29 posted on 02/03/2011 9:54:07 PM PST by BigSkyFreeper (In 2012: The Rookie and The Wookie get booted from the White House.)
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To: Sgt_Schultze

That’s what I’m hoping for.


30 posted on 02/03/2011 9:59:06 PM PST by Richard Kimball
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To: Swordmaker
I have an Incredible and my daughters have Touches. The Touch interface is slicker than Android. FR works better on the Android --significantly so. The Touch screen is significantly smaller than the Incredible. And although the rounded Touch body looks better, it's harder for me to hold onto. Screen size is the deciding factor for me. I also like the Google GPS, especially street view. Facetime on the Touch is fun for the kids. I can't see using it myself, except it's handy to use for "teleconferencing" around the house. I guess user preference depends on what features you like the most.
31 posted on 02/03/2011 10:02:58 PM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas
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To: mpreston
This is a repeat of the Windows/MAC wars where Apple became a niche player.

History repeats itself.

Not exactly... In any market where the iPhone is equally available, it outsells Android. AT&T offered both iPhones and Androids and iPhones outsold Androids eight to one. The same ratio holds in other carriers around the world that sell both.

32 posted on 02/03/2011 10:05:03 PM PST by Swordmaker (This tag line is a Microsoft product "insult" free zone.)
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To: mpreston
This is a repeat of the Windows/MAC wars where Apple became a niche player.

History repeats itself.

Not exactly... In any market where the iPhone is equally available, it outsells Android. AT&T offered both iPhones and Androids and iPhones outsold Androids eight to one. The same ratio holds in other carriers around the world that sell both.

33 posted on 02/03/2011 10:05:03 PM PST by Swordmaker (This tag line is a Microsoft product "insult" free zone.)
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To: CurlyBill

I’m with you on thinking $30/mo for each line on a family plan is outrageous. Those who can’t pay for their own cell don’t need one with internet access.

Kids get into school and spend the day txt’ing each other, twittering, posting to Facebook, etc. I see my nephews’ kids posting at FB all school day long. I wouldn’t tolerate it! In the meanwhile, the kids’ grammar is atrocious. Don’t know the difference between your and youre but they sure know how to message.


34 posted on 02/03/2011 10:15:31 PM PST by EDINVA
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To: BigSkyFreeper
Verizon’s coverage is virtually non-existent between Bismarck and Dickinson, ND.

I joke with the Alltel (soon to be AT&T) people about being able to drill for oil based on their coverage map. No coverage= an oil well...or at least a drilling location.

35 posted on 02/03/2011 10:21:30 PM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Swordmaker

I’m looking forward to the new Jitterbug.


36 posted on 02/03/2011 10:25:05 PM PST by Krankor (What are you doing in your underwear? Um..these are my wrestling togs.)
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To: Swordmaker
Frankly I think this is all BS. What you have is a bunch of Yankee north easterners dissatisfied with ATT in the NE. The rest of the country seems fine to me. The New York-Boston crowd will dump ATT and probably rightly so because ATT didn't concentrate on the Verizon home turf. Many are trapped in a contract and can' afford to dump right now, and the rest of the country is wondering what people are talking about. ATT coverage is pretty good in the south and I don't know about the west but I'll bet it's OK. There will be some switching going on with those that can afford it in the NE, but I just don't see a mass Exodus in the rest of the country. I like the EVO phone better anyway.

The dirty secret is neither one will have 4G capability for awhile longer. When Verizon says it will have 4G, they will be talking about a minuscule amount in limited areas. I say good riddance so my network will get faster when the IPhone snobs leave.

37 posted on 02/03/2011 10:25:31 PM PST by chuckles
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To: BigSkyFreeper
These are just happy iPhone users dissatisfied with AT&T’s crappy network service.

Read again... While the article does speak of some people moving from AT&T, the meat has to do with Verizon Android and Blackberry customers, 54%, who are planning to jump ship to the iPhone on the first day!

38 posted on 02/03/2011 10:30:30 PM PST by Swordmaker (This tag line is a Microsoft product "insult" free zone.)
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
I have an Incredible and my daughters have Touches. The Touch interface is slicker than Android. FR works better on the Android --significantly so.

I'm curious. FR's interface is extremely straight forward. In what way does it work better on Android than it does on the iPod touch, or iPhone? Both use the same underlying engine, webkit. What makes the difference?

39 posted on 02/03/2011 10:52:36 PM PST by Swordmaker (This tag line is a Microsoft product "insult" free zone.)
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To: Sgt_Schultze
The ATT customers who stay will likely be rewarded with a more stable network as the excess bandwidth users go over to bog down Verizon’s network.

That sounds like good news.

40 posted on 02/03/2011 11:02:31 PM PST by stripes1776
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