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This really doesn’t look good (E. Asian export in a nosedive)
CFR blog ^

Posted on 01/12/2009 6:12:55 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster

This really doesn’t look good


(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.cfr.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: deflation; eastasia; export

1 posted on 01/12/2009 6:12:55 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; PAR35; bamahead; AndyJackson; Thane_Banquo; nicksaunt; MadLibDisease; ...

Ping!


2 posted on 01/12/2009 6:13:20 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Steeper than normal dips, yes - but it is clear that there is a regular frequency to the dips that match the current downturn.


3 posted on 01/12/2009 6:25:17 PM PST by Yossarian (Everyday, somewhere on the globe, somebody is pushing the frontier of stupidity...)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

The Hyundai Sonata and the Hyundai Santa Fe are made in Alabama. The rest come from Korea.

The Hyundai dealers in New Jersey have started a new advertising campaign on the radio. If you buy a new Hyundai and then lose your job or have some other major financial problem, you can return the car and walk away from your loan.

I don’t imagine many people taking them up on the offer since I assume their customers will still need a car to get around.


4 posted on 01/12/2009 6:32:25 PM PST by Incorrigible (If I lead, follow me; If I pause, push me; If I retreat, kill me.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

BTW, those charts look like Global Warming projections!


5 posted on 01/12/2009 6:33:53 PM PST by Incorrigible (If I lead, follow me; If I pause, push me; If I retreat, kill me.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
They do a lot of that to themselves. Look how many top draws from CES for the last few years are then sold only in the Asian markets.

This for example:

Asia has a lot of stuff the west would buy, if they chose to export it.

6 posted on 01/12/2009 7:02:09 PM PST by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: MrEdd
A local gizmo site in S. Korea says that it would sell for about $1,180 (1600K won in S. Korean currency.) I don't know what its price would be if it is marketed in U.S. I think it will be there soon.
7 posted on 01/12/2009 7:19:05 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Thanks for the ping.


8 posted on 01/12/2009 7:39:15 PM PST by GOPJ ("A consensus of 100 scientists is undone by one fact." - - Einstein (take that Al Gore))
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Corning/S.Korea has ONE tank out of 14 up and running making LCD glass right now...
9 posted on 01/12/2009 7:42:48 PM PST by Chode (American Hedonist -)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Brutal. Is is very interesting seeing a depression taking form in real time. First in my lifetime, thankfully. I only hope the global depression will be mild and relatively short and that Obama won’t make it a permanent fixture in our lives.

The funny thing is, the day to day impact on those who are employed or retired is not noticeable, so most of these people have no clue a depression is trying to form. Thankfully, we have the excellent posts by the knowledgeable few here who help me keep abreast of the depression formation.

I kind of pray we don’t get a depression because I don’t want to live through one, but wouldn’t that be healthyier for the economy than the alternative? If the government is successful in averting a depression now, doesn’t that mean it will just be worse later? Or maybe not. There has been massive deleveraging so far, and that in itself has to be good for the economy buy cleaning out lots of unproductive debt and malinvestment.

Thanks for the continued great posts. Yes, this really does not look good. Not at all. The onset of a depression never does.


10 posted on 01/12/2009 7:43:33 PM PST by Freedom_Is_Not_Free
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To: TigerLikesRooster

We need 6 more months added to that graph before I draw any scary conclusions. If the decline continues for 6 more months, then I’ll be worried for east asia and the world.


11 posted on 01/12/2009 7:55:29 PM PST by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Roller Coaster bttt...


12 posted on 01/12/2009 10:09:47 PM PST by JDoutrider (Heading to Galt's Gulch... It is time.)
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To: JDoutrider

Hey JD...

The economists are still spouting the 18 month rule. I hope they are right, but this recession feels very different from previous ones.


13 posted on 01/12/2009 10:17:52 PM PST by TenthAmendmentChampion (Be prepared for tough times. FReepmail me to learn about our new survival thread!)
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To: TenthAmendmentChampion
From what I'm seeing, deflation is going to be much longer than predicted... two, possibly three years.

Inflation/hyperinflation will eat our lunch for longer still... I'm not buying the "short recession" speculation. Be prepared and buckle up!

14 posted on 01/13/2009 12:55:48 AM PST by JDoutrider (Heading to Galt's Gulch... It is time.)
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