Vanity: Polls are not my concern; this is. Let's Talk.

October 27, 2008 | no dems

[no dems]

I just saw on Fox News that the NAACP is asking the courts to allocate more voting machines for the State of Virginia and add an additional 2 hours to the time the polls are open. The reason: 436,000 new voters have been registered in VA since the last election.

That scares the crap outa me. Anyone care to guess what percentage of those 436,000 are Black voters? Are they transplants from D.C. ?

In '04, Bush beat Kerry in VA by 200,000 votes. If this 436,000 are voters registered by the Dems (the NAACP and ACORN), I think I have reason to be concrened.

Comments? Anyone?

[HokieMom]

Seriously...I appreciate your sympathy! :^)

[GaryLee1990]

Every poll is showing that Obama is leading in VA. If that is really true, keeping the polls open an extra two hours won't matter.

RightWingIt.com

[pgkdan]

Freeper Johncocktoasten posted the tidbit below on another thread today. As you can see the numbers of new voters this yeqar is right in line with historical trends. There is NO huge groundswell of new voters in this race. That's a bunch of media propoganda.

Below are the actual voter registration statistics for the past 4 election cycles.

1992- 3055486 Registered voters statewide
1996- 3322740 Registered voters statewide (+8.7)
2000- 4073644 Registered voters statewide (+18.4%)
2004- 4517980 Registered voters statewide (+10.9%)
10/2008- 4890393 Registered voters statewide (+8.2%)

[pgkdan]

Yoou don’t know Bob McDonnell.

[HokieMom]

Just for anyone who's interested: In-Person Absentee Voting in Fairfax County Satellite locations

[no dems]

Very good input. Thanks.

[UB355]

died, moved away

[JavaJumpy]

These last minute tactics are a clear indication the 0bama campaign is in trouble and thinks it can make up the difference by doing things like this. Someone called into Hannity and said they provided a concert in NM and then had polling booths set up so people could vote on their way out. NC got ‘emergency’ extra polling booths set up to accommodate an event of his as well. Remember - there were reports all over the place of shenanigans during the primaries and not a darn thing was done. Why would it be any different now?

[nmh]

VOTER FRAUD!

[ScottSS]

I tried to analyze this , not sure I am right , but

Each year in VA , 55,000 voting age people die. So since 2004 220,000 voting age people passed. Lets say 64% were registered ,(according to VA statistics) , so the voting pool reduces by 141,000 (approx)

Each year in VA , approx 125,000 kids turn 18. Assuming 64% register to vote , thats 80,000 per year , or 320,000 in 4 years

So the registrations went down 141,000 and up 320,000 , a delta of 179,000. So you would have approx 320,000 new registrations just from new voters coming of age.

Then you have to factor in immigration ( to VA )that increased the population by 5% since 2004- assuming the immigration was a mix of voting age people vs non voting age that reflects the distribution -about 400,000 people moved into VA in the last 4 years , assume 73% voting age , 64% registered , is 186,880 new voters.

So based on kids turning 18, and immigration, you would expect after 4 years that about 500,000 new voters over 4 years would be voting this time vs 2004 , less the 141,000 departed , is 365,000.

I used numbers from the State of VA , Wikpedia , etc and some rounding/extrapolation.

[ScottSS]

Ok, a LOT of extrapolation.

But it seems to be directionally correct.

Of interest is that the new voters are young- 18-22, and the immigrants are about 40% foreign born.

Plus there is an estmated 250,00 to 300,000 illegal immigrants in VA

So the new registrations are mostly young and foreign born.

[Jack Hammer]

“Anyone care to guess what percentage of those 436,000 are Black voters?”

Anyone care to guess what percentage of those are deceased voters? Registered in two or more states? Homeless? Insane? House pets?

Anyone care to guess at the number of other states the same thing is happening?

Anyone care to guess whether anything about it will be mentioned in the MSM?

[no dems]

Excellent! Thanks.

[kenavi]

So the new registrations are mostly young and foreign born.

IOW, the majority of newly registered voters were ineligible to vote before because EITHER they were too young OR not in the state. That mitigates against the argument that fraudulent registrations account for the majority of new registrations.

[ScottSS]

There is certainly the opportunity for fraud, as we are seeing in Ohio. But the numbers of new voters by themselves are not the issue, as you would expect to have more new voters every year.

Who they are , and who they will vote for gives cause for concern- this is the changing demographics of the country - google immigration gumballs on you tube for the best explanation.

And how many of the new voters would not have bothered to vote ( and may yet not bother to vote) without the hand holding of Acorn is another issue altogether.

My numbers are not exact , and in a close election , 50,000 votes can make all the difference. So the incentive is certianly there to stuff the system with as many registrations as possible.

I am still not sure how they keep poll workers ( mostly Dems in the inner city) from casting ballots for those who registered and did not show up. Maybe the ballots should have a time stamp. Anyone who works in a bank or a factory could design a fraud proof system, but those talents are not found in government typically. They sem to like buggy systems so there are backdoors to “fix “ things

[kenavi]

It’s hard to control the human element, or inhuman element,in monitoring elections and counting ballots . The Dems will not even keep the pretense when it comes to union elections.