Posted on 07/20/2008 8:36:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Newly formed Tropical Storm Dolly over the NW Caribbean Sea near 18.4N 84.2W. 1008 MB at 11AM this morning. Max sustained winds 40KT, gusts 50KT, moving NW at 15KT.
Thats what I thought I saw in link at 311, but, maybe it’s just me.
OK, looks like it was just the convection moving north, not the eye.
looks like a big junp north, I think we finally have a real center north or where it was thought to be.
Thanks for the update.
May not be near us but at least we’re setting on fresh supplies including vienna sausage!
Brownsville radar showing a definate full eye now.
Thank you.
OK! We're out of the frying pan and into the fire. :)
Hatches being battened in western RG Valley. It was still possible to buy water at the local grocery store this AM although I think they’d just had a truck come in as supplies were low last night.
HEB store was running a sale on water.
Crude is falling a bit this morning.
~~~
That’s a first with a TS in the Gulf,,,
Some are gunna ride it out :
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=64508
Some ain’t...
Statement as of 1:00 PM CDT on July 22, 2008
...Dolly not quite a hurricane yet...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the coast of Texas from
Brownsville to Corpus Christi...and for the northeast coast of
Mexico from Rio San Fernando northward to the border between Mexico
and the United States. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from north of Corpus
Christi to San Luis Pass. A Tropical Storm Warning means that
tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch is in effect from La
Pesca to south of Rio San Fernando. A Hurricane Watch means that
hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally
within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 100 PM CDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Storm Dolly was
located near latitude 24.3 north...longitude 94.9 west or about 195
miles...310 km...southeast of Brownsville Texas.
Dolly has slowed down a little bit and is moving toward the
northwest near 10 mph...17 km/hr. A general northwest to
west-northwest track is expected during the next 24 hours. This
motion would bring the core of Dolly near northeastern Mexico or
extreme southern Texas on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dolly is expected to become a hurricane later today or
Wednesday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km
from the center.
The minimum central pressure recently reported by an Air Force
hurricane hunter plane was 990 mb...29.23 inches.
Dolly is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 10
inches...with isolated amounts of 15 inches...over much of south
Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall.
Repeating the 100 PM CDT position...24.3 N...94.9 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds...70 mph.
Minimum central pressure...990 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
400 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Avila
moving real slow bump
Repeating the 100 PM CDT position...24.3 N...94.9 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds...70 mph.
Minimum central pressure...990 mb.
~~~
I hope it don’t stall...:0/
strange storm, can’t see an eye on satelite data. Eye on Brownsville radar looks to be 100 miles wide, can that really be the eye? 100 miles wide? hmmm, this one is weird.
It sure has slowed a lot and made a right turn since late last night. I wonder if landfall at Corpus Christie is out of the question at this point?
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=bro&loop=yes
Looks like it’s heading north now,,,
link from post # 321,,,
~~~
Atlantic Floater 2
Dolly
Visible Image - Loop
Looks like an eye forming,,,
Heading north?...
Does seem like North, doesn’t it?
re moving north
sure looks like it to me too, if that is the eye we are seeing on brownville radar. never seen an eye that big before.
Due North at this time,,,
Click on that link and put a ruler on it,,,
Maybe just a wobble...
Looks like a northern jag to me too, but it could just be eyewall distortion.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.