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Tropical Storm Dolly
NOAA/NHC ^ | 20 July 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 07/20/2008 8:36:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Newly formed Tropical Storm Dolly over the NW Caribbean Sea near 18.4N 84.2W. 1008 MB at 11AM this morning. Max sustained winds 40KT, gusts 50KT, moving NW at 15KT.

Caribbean Buoys

Wunderground Tropical Updates

Visible Satellite image

Infrared Sat Loop


TOPICS: Front Page News
KEYWORDS: dolly; hurricane; tropical
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To: WorkerbeeCitizen

bookmark


301 posted on 07/22/2008 3:47:28 AM PDT by cajungirl
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To: NautiNurse

Jim Cantore has surfaced at Port Aransas, TX - black t-shirt and all.


302 posted on 07/22/2008 4:34:43 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: abb
Port Aransas, eh?

He's a tad further north than I would have expected.

303 posted on 07/22/2008 4:43:56 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

He’s still got time to go south to Brownsville, if need be. Wonder how many of those black t-shirts he has? Betcha his closet’s full of them, lol.


304 posted on 07/22/2008 4:46:22 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: NautiNurse; abb
Surf is rolling in Port A.

/s

305 posted on 07/22/2008 5:08:26 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: SouthTexas
She's still got some air encroaching, but otherwise pulling herself together today. Slight increase in sustained winds to 65mph, and decrease in pressure to 993MB.

Calm before the storm.

306 posted on 07/22/2008 5:40:58 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

Everything is looking south this morning, about the same as last night. Of course, subject to change at a moments notice. :)


307 posted on 07/22/2008 5:46:00 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

Crude is falling a bit this morning.


308 posted on 07/22/2008 5:51:53 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: SouthTexas

NHC is predicting a more NW track just prior to landfall. Even if Dolly’s eye makes landfall just south of the border, that still puts TX on the dirty side of the storm.


309 posted on 07/22/2008 5:52:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

As long as she doesn’t start bouncing along the coast. ;)


310 posted on 07/22/2008 5:53:43 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: NautiNurse; All; Dog Gone

OK, am I immagining again or has this storm started tracking due north? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html


311 posted on 07/22/2008 7:11:27 AM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker
I can't make out a center of circulation in that sat loop.

Try this Long Range Radar Loop-Brownsville

312 posted on 07/22/2008 7:23:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

I am having problems loading the image for some reason. Earlier on the above link and on another I have open in another window sure looks like a due north mevement. If so this could get nasty.


313 posted on 07/22/2008 7:27:42 AM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker

The long range radar loop for Brownsville picks up the center of circulation; it appears to be WNW to NW movement.


314 posted on 07/22/2008 7:32:43 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: eastforker

It does look like it’s wanting to stay out over warm water turning north and still slightly west.


315 posted on 07/22/2008 7:33:35 AM PDT by Aquamarine
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To: NautiNurse

OK, just rebooted and stuff is downloading now, The IR floater I linked above shows a 6 hour movement, the brownsville one hour. Rock the IR immage, definite eye moving north.


316 posted on 07/22/2008 7:40:10 AM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker

Statement as of 10:00 am CDT on July 22, 2008

...Dolly nearing hurricane strength...

at 10 am CDT...1500 UTC...the Hurricane Warning from north of Corpus
Christi to Port O’Connor has been replaced with a Tropical Storm
Warning. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the coast of
Texas from Brownsville to Corpus Christi...and for the northeast
coast of Mexico from Rio San Fernando northward to the border
between Mexico and the United States. A Hurricane Warning means
that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect from north of Corpus
Christi to San Luis Pass. A Tropical Storm Warning means that
tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch is in effect from La
Pesca to south of Rio San Fernando. A Hurricane Watch means that
hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally
within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 1000 am CDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Dolly was
located near latitude 24.0 north...longitude 94.5 west or about 230
miles...370 km...southeast of Brownsville Texas.

Dolly is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr. A
general northwest to west-northwest track is expected during the
enxt 24 hours. This motion would bring the core of Dolly near
northeastern Mexico or extreme southern Texas on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph...110
km/hr...with higher gusts. Dolly is expected to become a hurricane
later today or Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km
from the center.

The minimum central pressure recently reported by a NOAA hurricane
hunter plane was 991 mb...29.26 inches.

Dolly is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8
inches...with isolated amounts of 15 inches...over much of south
Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall.

Repeating the 1000 am CDT position...24.0 N...94.5 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...70 mph.
Minimum central pressure...991 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 100 PM CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 400
PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila


317 posted on 07/22/2008 7:47:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: eastforker

looks nw to me, you’re seeing more n then w?


318 posted on 07/22/2008 7:49:48 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
Dolly nearing hurricane strength.

The Hurricane Warning from north of Corpus Christi to Port
O'Connor has been replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning.
A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the coast of Texas
from Brownsville to Corpus Christi...

Movement toward...northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...70 mph. Minimum central pressure...991 mb.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

319 posted on 07/22/2008 7:53:03 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

So it did jump north since the 7 am statement, quite a bit since last night, thanks.


320 posted on 07/22/2008 7:53:33 AM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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