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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative

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Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game Starters COL BOS

Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 31.2% 68.8%

Game 2 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 3 Matsuzaka vs. Fogg 52.1% 49.2%

Game 4 Lester vs. Cook 56.3% 43.7%

Game 5 Beckett vs. Francis 45.9% 54.1%

Game 6 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 7 Fogg vs. Matsuzaka 39.0% 61.0%

  WIN SERIES 33.2% 66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: andy58-in-nh

I was thinking... the Red Sox look like they might be the the best baseball team I have ever seen... Of course I have been watching mostly Red Sox for the last 40 years...

But when these guys are on, they are at a whole different level.

Yoooooooooooookkkkk


661 posted on 10/25/2007 8:01:08 PM PDT by Fido969 ("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
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To: big'ol_freeper

Yup


662 posted on 10/25/2007 8:01:56 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Fido969

Yook sweatin like a pig out there


663 posted on 10/25/2007 8:03:57 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Came back from 0 and 2, and he wants a hit... we’ll settle for a walk...


664 posted on 10/25/2007 8:05:02 PM PDT by Fido969 ("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
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To: Fido969

Yook Needs a Manndana


665 posted on 10/25/2007 8:05:13 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Fido969

There ya go


666 posted on 10/25/2007 8:06:47 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: nutmeg

Come on papi.


667 posted on 10/25/2007 8:06:57 PM PDT by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: Fido969

Great at bat for Youk there...


668 posted on 10/25/2007 8:07:17 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: misterrob

They are having to dig into the meat of their pen now.


669 posted on 10/25/2007 8:07:29 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: raccoonradio

Ortiz coming up with 2 on
meanwhile BC has taken the lead vs VT—it was 10-0 VT
with 2:11 left when BC scored a touchdown...I think they
did an onside kick and managed to just go ahead 13-10
with seconds left on the clock (going back and forth
w my remote)


670 posted on 10/25/2007 8:07:51 PM PDT by raccoonradio (Boston Red Sox: 2007 American League Champions)
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To: raccoonradio

BC scores two VERY late Td’s to take 14-10 lead with 11 seconds left in the game.


671 posted on 10/25/2007 8:09:50 PM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: raccoonradio

As an aside, BC is not worthy of being ranked #2.


672 posted on 10/25/2007 8:10:08 PM PDT by misterrob (Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Yeah, Daisy Fuentes in to pitch....


673 posted on 10/25/2007 8:10:28 PM PDT by misterrob (Seven down, 12 more til the Pats win the SB again.)
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To: Fido969
Did I mention I hate bunts?
674 posted on 10/25/2007 8:11:03 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: misterrob

Ouch

This is a good game...


675 posted on 10/25/2007 8:11:05 PM PDT by Fido969 ("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income tax." - Albert Einstein)
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To: misterrob

Agree.


676 posted on 10/25/2007 8:11:09 PM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: pending

This one will be exciting until the last out. Coco will make another appearance in CF with Ellsbury replacing Manny.


677 posted on 10/25/2007 8:11:29 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: Fido969

The deeper the Sox get into the Rockies’ bullpen, the better their chances. And that’s with no disrespect meant to the Rockies’ relievers. It just gives the Sox more looks at their pitchers early on in the Series. Lots of runners left on tonight though...


678 posted on 10/25/2007 8:11:49 PM PDT by andy58-in-nh (Kill the terrorists, secure the borders, and give me back my freedom.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Fuentes wasnt to impressive


679 posted on 10/25/2007 8:12:20 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: raccoonradio

still 2-1 Sox but BC has won 14-10, coming from behind
in the last couple minutes of the game


680 posted on 10/25/2007 8:12:23 PM PDT by raccoonradio (Boston Red Sox: 2007 American League Champions)
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