Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
I was thinking... the Red Sox look like they might be the the best baseball team I have ever seen... Of course I have been watching mostly Red Sox for the last 40 years...
But when these guys are on, they are at a whole different level.
Yoooooooooooookkkkk
Yup
Yook sweatin like a pig out there
Came back from 0 and 2, and he wants a hit... we’ll settle for a walk...
Yook Needs a Manndana
There ya go
Come on papi.
Great at bat for Youk there...
They are having to dig into the meat of their pen now.
Ortiz coming up with 2 on
meanwhile BC has taken the lead vs VT—it was 10-0 VT
with 2:11 left when BC scored a touchdown...I think they
did an onside kick and managed to just go ahead 13-10
with seconds left on the clock (going back and forth
w my remote)
BC scores two VERY late Td’s to take 14-10 lead with 11 seconds left in the game.
As an aside, BC is not worthy of being ranked #2.
Yeah, Daisy Fuentes in to pitch....
Ouch
This is a good game...
Agree.
This one will be exciting until the last out. Coco will make another appearance in CF with Ellsbury replacing Manny.
The deeper the Sox get into the Rockies’ bullpen, the better their chances. And that’s with no disrespect meant to the Rockies’ relievers. It just gives the Sox more looks at their pitchers early on in the Series. Lots of runners left on tonight though...
Fuentes wasnt to impressive
still 2-1 Sox but BC has won 14-10, coming from behind
in the last couple minutes of the game
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