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World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox
YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative

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Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game Starters COL BOS

Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 31.2% 68.8%

Game 2 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 3 Matsuzaka vs. Fogg 52.1% 49.2%

Game 4 Lester vs. Cook 56.3% 43.7%

Game 5 Beckett vs. Francis 45.9% 54.1%

Game 6 Jimenez vs. Schilling 35.7% 64.3%

Game 7 Fogg vs. Matsuzaka 39.0% 61.0%

  WIN SERIES 33.2% 66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.


TOPICS: Sports
KEYWORDS: champions; coloradorockies; congratulations; mlb; redsox; redsoxwinitall; rox; sox; ws
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To: misterrob

Okey Dokey


641 posted on 10/25/2007 7:50:07 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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Time for a big Sox inning here...


642 posted on 10/25/2007 7:50:15 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Fido969
Oki better start throwing strikes...,

Yup, that's what he did as Hawpe Ks for the 5th time in 2 games.

643 posted on 10/25/2007 7:50:42 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: SE Mom; misterrob; cleveland gop; Fido969; happinesswithoutpeace

That was a HUGH and SERIES out for Okajima!


644 posted on 10/25/2007 7:51:18 PM PDT by nutmeg (GO RED SOX!!!)
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To: mylife

Aikman in a Sox hat! How fake IS THAT?


645 posted on 10/25/2007 7:51:24 PM PDT by cleveland gop (The drive, the fumble, the shot and now the CHOKE! Vote FDT! Peyton Manning said so!)
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To: misterrob
Oki with the

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646 posted on 10/25/2007 7:52:21 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: mylife

We missed you last night .... we’ve got a helluva game tonight.


647 posted on 10/25/2007 7:52:46 PM PDT by Boston Blackie
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To: cleveland gop

Having a military background I understand camouflage. Troy is just blending in with his surroundings.


648 posted on 10/25/2007 7:52:46 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: misterrob

That could possibly be Schilling’s last game at Fenway...


649 posted on 10/25/2007 7:52:47 PM PDT by nutmeg (GO RED SOX!!!)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Hot sauce from Tacoby!!!


650 posted on 10/25/2007 7:53:03 PM PDT by La Enchiladita
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To: misterrob

Tacoby!


651 posted on 10/25/2007 7:53:06 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (...He had committed no crime against America so I did not bring him here...-- Worst.President.Ever.)
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To: cleveland gop

Hopp just screwed up


652 posted on 10/25/2007 7:53:30 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: All

Jacoby!


653 posted on 10/25/2007 7:53:31 PM PDT by pending (TODAY)
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To: nutmeg

Oki has been terrific, and Schilling was great tonight. Boys and girls, I’ve been watching World Series games for over 40 years and trust me when I tell you - this is a great one.


654 posted on 10/25/2007 7:53:42 PM PDT by andy58-in-nh (Kill the terrorists, secure the borders, and give me back my freedom.)
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To: La Enchiladita
Scooby-dooby Jacoby!
655 posted on 10/25/2007 7:53:42 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: big'ol_freeper

I hate giving them outs!!


656 posted on 10/25/2007 7:54:47 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Boston Blackie

Last night was a blow out. thats no fun.

I may miss Saturday night due to a party, and thats gonna suck cuz its getting interesting now


657 posted on 10/25/2007 7:55:30 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Blow outs...sorta like the last three games of the ALCS.


658 posted on 10/25/2007 7:56:30 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: big'ol_freeper

We shoulda put you away in game 4


659 posted on 10/25/2007 7:59:34 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Shoulda, coulda, woulda.


660 posted on 10/25/2007 8:00:51 PM PDT by big'ol_freeper ("Those who hammer their guns into plows will plow for those who do not." ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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