Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
|
|
||||
| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
|
|
||||
| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
|
| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
|
PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Evening.
free taco!
Oct 30 2-5 pm at Taco Bell
WooHoo! Free Tacos for 350 million people!
LOL COCO GET’S HIS TACO BELL>
lol we all have to go the next day.
free taco time...
Ubaldo is out of control.
Looks bad.
This is good
Jimenez wiggled out of that
Looks like it. I still think it will be low scoring.
Free tacos, OH BOY!
Out of the jam!
Being a Dodgers fan, I’m a “National League-er” but, the story of the Red Sox tugs at my heart strings so I am sort of pulling for your team but not the same as a die-hard fan. Also, when it comes to the Rockies, it takes me a long while, if ever, to get used to these expansion teams. Yeah, I’m a fuddy-duddy.
I don’t like the way you guys treat the ex-Dodger though...:(
At least we tied it up and made Jimenez work that inning.
Free tacos, W00! W00!
Cabrera can throw his curve ball for a strike pretty well and get outs with it and he throws it a lot with his high 90s fastball. His fastball stays up and he challenges hitters with it. Jimenez likes to use his slider and changeup and his heavy fastball for groundouts. Jimenez doesn’t really strike out people. Cabrera does, but he is wild, too.
IBilly Buck’s treatment has been shameful.We were not losers for loving a team that never won,but the folks that abused his daughters,causing him to move away..
That still steams me.
I would like to see some high profile thing done, in the way of an apology,zI don’t know what.
I also would like to see that entire Yankees s*** bit go away
maybe
The Yankees Lose
A play on the distinctive yankee radio voice
Bottom of the 5th. Time for a crooked number...Go Sox.
Caught the beginng of the game on the car radio - I swear the announcer was confused at first and started saying he was at San Franciso, then fumblingly caught himself.
I miss my Red Sox guys.
McCarver talkin’ smack about Schilling... what a dolt.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.