Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
I got a head start on ya.
..hope we can tire the pitcher early.
Thanks, I have the same MLB audio deal. I have the beloved Joe Castiglione on MLB.com audio, but the delay is kind of ridiculous... :-(
Delay has to be at least 20 seconds.
FRiends don’t let FRiends drink alone.
That is not Faneuil Hall, Tim. Its the old state house.
I’ve done that in the past but its just too much of a pain trying to pause the TV enough to get the audio in sinc....plus I like the 5.1 audio of the HD game...crowd noise and all.
I hate you Dane Cook. Boston hates you. Please go away.
Th Espn feed is 2 pitches behind.
So I do the TV,then “audio replay”
It is sometimes like 2 different games.
We’re still okay. We have Drew, Tek, and Ellsbury hitting lefty vs. Jimenez. And Curt has given us 2 IP of 1 run ball. He just needs to give us 4 more.
I get the MLB audio subscription because I work from 7 PM to 7 AM. I can listen to the Red Sox games on my work PC.
McCarver...you are a freaking genius. < /sarcasm>
I liked it, too!
That’ll need a retaliation.
The Rockies have a pretty good bullpen...
It really is a pain not having the TV and radio sync up but I did it during the last Indians / Sox game half the game. I just could not take Joe Buck and McCarver.
Yeah. Sigh.
We did that when Joe Castiglione et al were on the radio. LOL... I know what you mean about it being 2 different games. I turned the sound down on MLB radio tonight, though... PC and TV are in two different rooms.
Sox hitters are not making it too hard on this kid tonight. Shorty tries to hit a lead off HR instead of getting on base, 1 pitch. Youk swings at pitch 3 and Ortiz on pitch 2. Manny two pitches, Lowell off balance pitch 3, Drew gets plunked, Tek gives away outside corner.
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