World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox

YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

[GraniteStateConservative]

vs.

Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game	Starters	COL	BOS
Game 1	Francis vs. Beckett	31.2%	68.8%
Game 2	Jimenez vs. Schilling	35.7%	64.3%
Game 3	Matsuzaka vs. Fogg	52.1%	49.2%
Game 4	Lester vs. Cook	56.3%	43.7%
Game 5	Beckett vs. Francis	45.9%	54.1%
Game 6	Jimenez vs. Schilling	35.7%	64.3%
Game 7	Fogg vs. Matsuzaka	39.0%	61.0%
	WIN SERIES	33.2%	66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.

[#1CTYankee]

All those strike outs look great, Becket it on his game and I’m starting to some more of that devastating curve.

[big'ol_freeper]

I think its Josh’s game plan to not show the curve early. In the later innings he’ll dish it.

[big'ol_freeper]

I think when Francis pitches in Colorado we may see Big Papi sit out that game.

[pending]

David

[warsaw44]

true story:
took a date to a sox game. Veritek walks to the mound to talk to the pitcher. Pitcher and Veritek both cover their mouth ( and nose ) with glove.
Girl asks why - informed her it was because Veritek had a little talked about problem with clinical halitosis.
Next day I get a call from her: Folks were talking about the game in her office and guess who brings up Tek’s halitosis to howls of laughter from her co-workers?

[happinesswithoutpeace]

lol

[big'ol_freeper]

Manny ~ Lethal!!!

[happinesswithoutpeace]

nice

[pending]

Manny being Manny

[big'ol_freeper]

McCarver is an idiot. First of all Ortiz is not a terrible fielder. He lacks range. Second, Youk at third is almost as good as Youk at first.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Make them pay, Tek.

[warsaw44]

Wasn’t McCarver the announcer who didn’t know David’s nickname one game? he was calling him something other than Big Papi.

[big'ol_freeper]

Intentional walk to Lowell....

Tek makes 'em pay!!

[GraniteStateConservative]

6-1!

[pending]

Teknikality

[andy58-in-nh]

Make them pay, Tek.

He did!!!

[happinesswithoutpeace]

ya!

[Red Steel]

We see why Tek was moved up in the line up.

[happinesswithoutpeace]

100 pitches.

[AmericanMade1776]

I hate to Jinx the game, but I think we are going to beat the Colorado Rockies in the World Series! A Red Sox fan should never get cocky...sorry.