Posted on 09/22/2005 4:34:38 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society
We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail!
Good morning!!
Do not let the victims of the attacks on New York and Washington, nor the brave members of our Nation's military who have given their lives to protect our freedom, die in vain!!
CAT V HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY PACKAGE #19
Discussion:
[NOTE: This analysis is based primarily on data from the Tropical Prediction Center. As my home office is still not set up, independent track and guidance analysis is not possible.]
RITA has likely peaked in intensity. That is the good news.
The bad news is the peak is at 175 MPH, and the storm has now taken a decided turn to the right. NHC advises the track above is to the left (West) of the guidance ensemble, and that Sabine Pass is the more likely target, as opposed to Galveston.
The model runs are on the following graphic:
New Orleans is likely to receive between 3 and 5 inches of rain.
The eastward shift in track guidance is resulting in RITA staying over the Loop Current longer than previously expected. This will keep the storm at its current intensity for the balance of the day.
Further strengthening is unlikely as an eyewall replacement cycle is underway--this phenomenon generally locks a hurricane at a specific intensity, if it doesn't actually weaken, until the process is complete.
RITA is expected to move off the Loop Current prior to landfall.
CURRENT FORECAST ESTIMATES PLACE THE WIND SPEED OF RITA AT LANDFALL AT 150 MPH--THIS IS JUST SHY OF CATEGORY V, BUT STILL STRONGER THAN KATRINA.
The cyclone's central pressure is 897 MB or 26.49" Hg. This makes RITA the third most intense hurricane in history. The diameter of hurricane force winds is 140 miles, while tropical storm winds have a diameter of 370 miles.
RITA is currently about 515 miles SE of Galveston and 615 miles ESE of Corpus Christi.
A HP center over western TX will likely continue steering RITA to the right even after landfall, keeping the system locked in eastern Texas and western Louisiana.
The current strike probabilities are summarized on the graphic that follows:
And a quick snap of Rita from space, in the IR spectrum, with false color enhancement--
Now for this thought...
FULLY 20 PERCENT OF THE UNITED STATES GASOLINE REFINING CAPACITY LIES IN THE PATH OF RITA
For AMERICA - The Right Way, I remain yours in the Cause, the Chairman.
OMG, it's worse than I thought. President Bush's mismanagement of the environment has caused so much global warming even the sun is getting warmer!
Only the surgeon had an emergency...he didn't get to me til 3 p.m.
By then I was starving, freezing, and my head about bursting from anxiety.
HAHA! You got it! The power that man has!!
OMG, it's worse than I thought. President Bush's mismanagement of the environment has caused so much global warming even the sun is getting warmer!
More sinister than that. It's due to all those Texas BBQs...the consumption of meat, the smirk while enjoying the BBQ...which releases CO2 and the swagger that might churn the CO2 into the atmosphere. We are doomed... LOL
Chair!!! Coffee no longer in my mouth....!
Thanks for remind us, Molly. I'd forgotten!
If you're going to be in a cast, consider it cyber signed!
Molly, I know about delays due to emergencies. I will deal with it. And look forward to an Arby's Roast Beef sandwich on the way home.
Peach, thanks for the cyber signature, I'll be back to collect a bunch of them tonite.
I am sorry, I've missed the news about your surgery. Prayers for a speedy recovery.
Cyber-signed,Kassie
I continue to be LIVID about the gas gouging going on and pray that some one in government grows a back bone and puts a halt to it! It costs the Saudi's $4.00 from ground to barrel. They are charging us $58.00 a barrel! What is wrong with this picture?
...IMF ORDERS UNITED STATES TO ERASE BUDGET DEFICITS BY RAISING TAXES
Prayers for your surgery day IG! I love Arby's :-)
I would cheat a bit and have something w/caffeine just so I don't get that dratted headache.
Prayers, of course, for your surgery. The last surgery I had was for my back in '97. The back had been causing me so much pain that I was very eager to have the work done. They put me into a wonderful sleep, I felt so good. I did not want them to wake me up when they did. Whatever it was they gave me; I could get addicted.
Good luck today. I'm sure everything will be fine.
Best of luck to you, with prayers up for your surgery.
I read that yesterday, but decided it was a joke. It's not a joke? They're serious?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.