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Does anyone care to predict the popular vote for Tuesday?

Posted on 10/29/2004 10:24:01 AM PDT by gopie

Hi all, frequent lurker, first time poster.

Does anyone care to make a prediction for how the popular vote will swing on Tuesday? Swing states are too hard to call.

My prediction: Bush takes the popular vote by 4 points, 52 to 48. My fruitcake office mate claims Kerry will take it by 10, but he drinks heavily at lunch and his opinions don't carry much weight :-) Anyone else?


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To: gopie

Clinton only got 49% against a weak opponent, Dole. Bush is a running a strong campaign. Kerry gets 45-46% tops. Remember that Clinton only got 43% against Bush I.


21 posted on 10/29/2004 10:42:05 AM PDT by mc5cents (Always trust your fellow man, and always cut the cards)
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To: Conspiracy Guy; international american; gopie

The longer it takes to post responses the more likely.


22 posted on 10/29/2004 10:42:54 AM PDT by Laura Earl (No man is an island, but some are peninsulas.)
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To: gopie

Ditka 100%, Kerry -2%.


23 posted on 10/29/2004 10:43:25 AM PDT by Poohbah (SKYBIRD SKYBIRD DO NOT ANSWER...SKYBIRD SKYBIRD DO NOT ANSWER)
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To: gopie

What is a Go Pie?


24 posted on 10/29/2004 10:44:45 AM PDT by Conspiracy Guy (Ignorance, bigotry, envy, and gluttony are a few floor joists in the democratic platform.)
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To: gopie
Bush 53, Kerry 45, Others 2

For EV, I'm sticking with my first uselectionatlas.org prediction. Bush 322, Kerry 216.


True blue for Bush, Bolshevik Red for Kerry
25 posted on 10/29/2004 10:57:06 AM PDT by WinOne4TheGipper (Click my profile page to see my US Election Atlas Presidential Prediction Map!)
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To: cripplecreek
Bush will take the popular vote by at least 5% and will win 40 states.

From your keyboard to God's eyes!

26 posted on 10/29/2004 12:33:59 PM PDT by grellis ("If ketchup tasted like chocolate sprinkles, would you put it on ice cream?"--Shryke)
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To: Laura Earl

Good rule of thumb, Laura.


27 posted on 10/29/2004 1:15:21 PM PDT by international american (Support our troops!! Send Kerry( back to Bedlam,Massachusetts,and close the U.N.)
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

I love the map, but don't you think Hawaii will go for Bush?


28 posted on 10/29/2004 1:19:54 PM PDT by Ciexyz (Feeling so much calmer now I've cancelled my cable TV. Don't miss the Demopuke spin on cable news.)
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To: gopie

52.4 - Bush, 44.7 - Kerry, 2.2 - Nader, 0.7 - Other


29 posted on 10/29/2004 1:23:53 PM PDT by thingumbob (Kerry/Edwards are sKerry/Leftwards)
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To: Ciexyz

It'll be close, but I made this map months ago, before I think even one poll was done for Hawaii. My current prediction map (which you can see on my profile page) has Hawaii going for Kerry, but it's a tossup state.


30 posted on 10/29/2004 1:24:51 PM PDT by WinOne4TheGipper (Click my profile page to see my US Election Atlas Presidential Prediction Map!)
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To: international american

Not a good thing when the cat gets your tongue all of a sudden after posting something questionable.


31 posted on 10/29/2004 1:43:37 PM PDT by Laura Earl (No man is an island, but some are peninsulas.)
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To: gopie

36-24-36


32 posted on 10/29/2004 1:46:51 PM PDT by Tijeras_Slim (I want to have fanatical henchmen when I grow up.)
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To: gopie

53/46 minus 3% fraud. Make it 51/49.


33 posted on 10/29/2004 1:47:23 PM PDT by js1138 (D*mn, I Missed!)
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To: Laura Earl

Yeah, we have enough hit and runs around here:)


34 posted on 10/29/2004 1:53:26 PM PDT by international american (Support our troops!! Send Kerry( back to Bedlam,Massachusetts,and close the U.N.)
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