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Is anyone else hearing this?
Posted on 10/15/2004 10:50:42 PM PDT by Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
The dolts over at DU keep talking about how late-deciders inevitably break heavily for the challenger. This is the one thing that has me worried. Otherwise, the nubmers appear to be shaping up pretty good.
Can anyone shed any light on this phenomenon? It is true that undecideds are almost certain to break heavily for Kerry? If so, we could be in some trouble in very close states.
??
TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: anothernewbievanity; election; latedeciders; polls; toomanyvanities; troll; zot
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To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
That is the conventional wisdom, however in the last Presidential election, the undecided broke more for Gore.
2
posted on
10/15/2004 10:51:45 PM PDT
by
Paradox
(Occam was probably right.)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
3
posted on
10/15/2004 10:52:23 PM PDT
by
flashbunny
(John Kerry divided this country for political gain as a young man and he's dividing it again today.)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
The dolts over at DU keep talking about how late-deciders inevitably break heavily for the challenger. This is the one thing that has me worried. I would simply consider the source, and let not your heart be troubled. Its in the bag.
And, welcome to FreeRepublic.
4
posted on
10/15/2004 10:52:31 PM PDT
by
asgardshill
(Got a lump of coal? Tell Mary Mapes to 'shove it' - in 2 weeks you'll have a diamond.)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
The undecideds will essentially break in accordance with the President's job approval rating -- the single best predictor of a President's vote on election day.
5
posted on
10/15/2004 10:52:38 PM PDT
by
kesg
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
Pat Cadell has said exactly the opposite is true in Presidential elections, as the undecideds go for the safe choice - the incumbent.
6
posted on
10/15/2004 10:52:56 PM PDT
by
Keith in Iowa
(At CBS - "We don't just report news - we make it - up.")
To: Paradox
Gore wasn't President in 2000.
7
posted on
10/15/2004 10:52:56 PM PDT
by
kesg
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
I thought I heard Pat Cadell mention several times that undecideds usually break for the challenger, except in Presidential elections where they break for the incumbent.
8
posted on
10/15/2004 10:53:12 PM PDT
by
jbarkley
(America's light doesn't flicker, Senator Edwards, some people just close their eyes.)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
it's going to be a bush landslide. that's why ther have been no major kerry people on tv since the last debate.
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
Libertarian Nationalist GOPr wrote:
The dolts over at DU keep talking about how late-deciders inevitably break heavily for the challenger.That's true for congressional races but not presidential races.
10
posted on
10/15/2004 10:53:34 PM PDT
by
quidnunc
(Omnis Gaul delenda est)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
Can't say about the undecided. Sounds like they are grasping for straws. Don't think there are too many undecideds at this point anyway. either way...
I'm calling it for Bush
11
posted on
10/15/2004 10:53:42 PM PDT
by
Jeff Head
(www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
It's a good cover for voter fraud
12
posted on
10/15/2004 10:54:11 PM PDT
by
Nova
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
"Is anyone else hearing this?"
What's the frequency, Kenneth?;)
13
posted on
10/15/2004 10:54:29 PM PDT
by
exit82
(Righteousness exalts a nation...... Proverbs 14:34)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
This is unconventional wisdom. It is congressional races that tend to break for challengers when the undecided vote exceeds the gap between the two candidates. In presidential races undecideds tend to vote for the incumbent (I remember this from poly sci classes in college). I would venture to guess that the actual CW of undecideds breaking for the incumbent would hold even truer in a time of war.
14
posted on
10/15/2004 10:55:00 PM PDT
by
Thickman
(Regis to Kerry: "Is that your final answer?")
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
LOL, hello obvious.
Troll.
Don't worry, November 2 is coming up fast, then you can all have a good cry when Kerry loses. Don't forget to stock up on the anti-depressants, you're gonna need 'em.
15
posted on
10/15/2004 10:55:15 PM PDT
by
eyespysomething
(Idealism is fine, but as it approaches reality the cost becomes prohibitive.)
To: flashbunny
There just aren't enough bridges to justify this many trolls... I mean, we've got a lot of bridges here in Seattle, but puhleeze... Let's keep the chimps from breeding with the weasels from now on!
17
posted on
10/15/2004 10:56:10 PM PDT
by
Acrobat
(Gregoire, Murray, Cantwell, Ross: sounds like the Trotsky bunch put on trial in the USSR in the '20s)
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
This is a pre-9-11 phenomenon. The undecideds will break for the firm and strong on security and against the flip-flopper globalist. Bet on it.
18
posted on
10/15/2004 10:56:27 PM PDT
by
Zebra
To: Libertarian Nationalist GOPr
What, no replies to anyone?
19
posted on
10/15/2004 10:56:47 PM PDT
by
eyespysomething
(Idealism is fine, but as it approaches reality the cost becomes prohibitive.)
To: Thickman
If the undecideds haven't gone to kerry by now, with the months of 527's slamming bush, then they're never going to go to him.
He had his chance to make the sale. He had a slick approach and a chorus of people badmouthing the competition. But people just aren't buying.
20
posted on
10/15/2004 10:57:06 PM PDT
by
flashbunny
(John Kerry divided this country for political gain as a young man and he's dividing it again today.)
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