I didn’t get the quote closed above, this is all from Larry Johnson.
Wiki
“Johnson worked at the CIA for four years as an analyst, then moved to the United States State Department’s Office of Counterterrorism. In 1993, Johnson left government work to join the private sector, “going on to build a dual career as a business consultant and a pundit on intelligence issues”.[1] He appeared on television programs such as The News Hour and Larry King Live, giving his commentary.[1]”
Just surrender already.
Frontline report: Tank production in crisis as Russia’s war economy hits the wall
Mass layoffs at Russia’s primary tank factory reveal a defense industry buckling under sanctions, with production down 33% and the facility that repairs most of Russia’s main battle tanks now unable to sustain its workforce.
https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/18/frontline-report-2025-11-17/
Not Just TANKS… Russia Will Run Out of EVERYTHING by 2026
https://youtu.be/9ZpyQmYL4Rc?si=eWSmmMsB4VjlaAcK
There’s no good reason to be building big tanks anymore.
If you know where the target is, an artillery shell or rocket can be launched from many miles away that will come down on top of the target.
Little z, keep fighting to provide the world with many hundreds of thousands of available women.
The EU has your back, in this noble endeavor!
“how could the possibility of tomahawks being introduced by the US change things”
The US Tomahawks have more accurate guidance, but the Ukrainian-made cruise missiles are otherwise better.
Ukraine was in 2025 probably the fourth largest arms producer in the world.
I suspect Russian attacks on Ukrainian electric powerplants have cut Ukrainian arms production. Unfortunately, the EU doesn’t have a large civilian market for ammo. The EU simply can’t make up for a drop in Ukrainian ammo production.
Zelenskyy should have made peace years ago…now his position is much weaker…all he can do is say yes sir to Putin…
Russia is burning through their inventory of old tanks, and loses more tanks in a month than they can make in a year.
That's why you can watch Russian soldiers attacking fortified positions using cars, motorcycles, 4x4s, glorified golf carts, and even donkeys and horses and getting blown apart by Ukrainian artillery, mines, and drones.
Russia is forced to import artillery shells from North Korea. Have you thought about why that is?
In March 2025, Putin stated Ukrainian troops were isolated in Kursk, offering a potential truce if they surrendered.
Rzeczpospolita, a leading Polish daily, notes that today’s announcement means Poland will have over 950 modern tanks by 2030 – including 360 K2s, 366 American Abrams and 235 German Leopards. When combined with its 150 PT-91 Twardy tanks made in Poland in the 1990s, that brings the total to over 1,100.
https://notesfrompoland.com/2025/08/01/poland-to-have-more-tanks-than-uk-germany-france-and-italy-combined-after-signing-new-k2-deal/
This is highly misleading. Russia's tank "production" includes significant refurbishments and upgrades, not just new builds, and the Russian federation rates of tank production are higher than INDIVIDUAL NATO countries but not the alliance AS A WHOLE when including exports and joint programs. NATO is not "building none"—production exists but at lower peacetime rates, with surges in deals like Poland's.
The Poland-South Korea figure touted by the video is incorrect (it is 180 tanks in the latest deal, building on prior ones). Not 56 tanks—latest 2025 contract is for 180 K2 Black Panthers (~$6.5B), with 117 built in South Korea and 63 in Poland (building on 2022's 180-unit deal). Total potential: Up to 1,000 K2s. South Korea's production supports NATO indirectly via exports.
Russia does lead in refurbishing older tanks due to vast Soviet stockpiles, but these are depleting rapidly
| Category | Russia (2024–2025 Annual Est.), | NATO Collective (2024–2025 Annual Est.) |
| New Builds, | 110–300 (mostly T-90M upgrades) | ,"100–200 (Abrams, Leopard, Challenger, K2 exports)" |
| Refurbs/Upgrades, | 400–600 (T-72/T-80 from storage) | ,200–400 (various models across allies) |
| Total Output, | 500–900, | 300–600 (plus stockpiles) |
NATO now produces more than Russia overall (NATO SecGen Rutte, Nov 2025). Output sixfold increase since 2023; aiming for 100K/month (155mm) by end-2025. Ukraine receives ~2–3M shells/year from allies.
Ukraine produces 2–4M drones/year, outpacing Russia/US in output and innovation (e.g., cheap FPV killers). NATO aids via programs like UNITE/BRAVE for counter-drone tech. Scaling expected to continue in 2026.
US Dark Eagle (LRHW), CPS (naval), ARRW (tested successfully); $3.9B FY2026 budget. Entering service 2026–2027 on ships/subs. Startups booming ($2B+ VC in 2025).
Overall Johnson’s analysis is heavily biased, selective, and contains a mix of outdated, exaggerated, or misleading claims. While some elements align with Russian narratives or partial facts from earlier in the war, many are overstated or contradicted by late-2025 assessments
Johnson claims widespread encirclements and imminent collapse, with Russia calling for surrenders and Ukraine unable to hold lines.
This is OUTDATED as of late December 2025. Russian forces have made gradual advances toward Pokrovsk (a key logistics hub) over months, complicating Ukrainian logistics and capturing some surrounding areas, but no full encirclement of Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad occurred.
Ukrainian forces maintained positions in/around the towns, conducted limited counterattacks, and regained some ground (e.g., ~16 sq km near Pokrovsk in mid-December). No evidence of mass surrenders or “disaster”-level collapse; the front remains contested with high attrition on both sides.