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50 Basis Point Cut Coming? US Economy Adds Only 22k Jobs In August, Unemployment Rate Rises To 4.3% (Guns Of August Misfires)
Confounded Interest ^ | 09/05/2025 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 09/05/2025 9:37:42 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a

Not exactly the Guns Of August. More like a wet cap gun firing.

The jobs report for August showed only 22k jobs added.

U-3 unemployment rate rose to 4.3%.

Total private jobs added was 38k while manufacturing jobs added was down -12k.

Government jobs dropped -16k.

Let’s see if The Fed drops the hammer on rates by 50 basis points.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: economy; fed; jobs; labor; nlz
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1 posted on 09/05/2025 9:37:42 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a
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To: Kaiser8408a

“ Government jobs dropped -16k.”

That’s it?! I expected 10x that.


2 posted on 09/05/2025 9:42:14 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Kaiser8408a

We’ll be lucky to get .25%.


3 posted on 09/05/2025 9:48:16 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Annnd....TRUMP IS RIGHT AGAIN.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Uncertainty. Get these tariffs done then move on. 100% of our customers are in a holding pattern with these tariffs.


4 posted on 09/05/2025 9:50:12 AM PDT by mikelets456
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To: All

Guess we need to increase deportations


5 posted on 09/05/2025 9:51:58 AM PDT by escapefromboston (Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Gold to 5k


6 posted on 09/05/2025 10:04:29 AM PDT by montag813
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To: Kaiser8408a

I wonder if deportations contribute to these numbers. In other words, the loss of illegal workers make the numbers go down, while if you count only legal workers the numbers are actually up. Just wondering.


7 posted on 09/05/2025 10:06:45 AM PDT by marron
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To: Kaiser8408a

Because FINALLY we are not counting illegal aliens..that is why the left is all gung ho for bringing illegals here, of course its for the votes and getting congressional seats, but its also for padding the jobs report to make it look really good when in reality its foreigners who are taking the jobs.


8 posted on 09/05/2025 10:20:36 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: marron

Guaranteed that is a BIG part of it


9 posted on 09/05/2025 10:20:54 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Kaiser8408a

Yup -for a hit off the crack pipe. But they say the hangover is a real B.....


10 posted on 09/05/2025 10:25:44 AM PDT by Revel
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To: marron

Absolutely!


11 posted on 09/05/2025 10:33:19 AM PDT by albie
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To: SaxxonWoods

a cut of at least 25 bps at the next Fed meeting is near guaranteed at this point.


12 posted on 09/05/2025 10:35:42 AM PDT by millenial4freedom (Government was supposed to preserve freedom, not serve as a jobs program for delinquents and misfits)
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To: marron

I think some (many?) illegal workers are hired “under the table”, paid in cash, no W2s, etc. They don’t show up in the employment stats. They probably sign up for other benefits though.


13 posted on 09/05/2025 10:36:14 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Annnd....TRUMP IS RIGHT AGAIN.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

“””I think some (many?) illegal workers are hired “under the table”, paid in cash, no W2s, etc. They don’t show up in the employment stats. They probably sign up for other benefits though.”””

Under the table is one way. But the biggest way is with stolen social security numbers. This is far bigger than most people think it is.


14 posted on 09/05/2025 10:40:14 AM PDT by shelterguy
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To: Kaiser8408a

Good maybe Powell and the Fed wills top playing poltics and cut rates finally

Fed was way too late to raise them under Biden. Now way too late to cut them


15 posted on 09/05/2025 10:51:31 AM PDT by MNJohnnie
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To: shelterguy

Thanks.


16 posted on 09/05/2025 10:51:43 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Annnd....TRUMP IS RIGHT AGAIN.)
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To: marron

There are no statistics for legal workers only.


17 posted on 09/05/2025 10:52:26 AM PDT by Xounc
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To: Sarah Barracuda

When did BLS stop counting illegal aliens?


18 posted on 09/05/2025 10:52:26 AM PDT by Xounc
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To: Kaiser8408a

Wait until AI starts taking all these white collar jobs.


19 posted on 09/05/2025 10:55:52 AM PDT by roving
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To: Kaiser8408a

And next week, they’ll quietly revise these numbers upward by 100K


20 posted on 09/05/2025 11:02:11 AM PDT by Fai Mao (I used to care, but things have changed ~ Bob Dylan)
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