Posted on 01/18/2024 7:42:53 AM PST by TBP
This will probably fall on deaf ears, but I just can't help myself. When I see something is true, and combine that with I how important I think it is to win this election, I feel compelled to speak up.
Elections are won in the suburbs. Repeat, elections are won in the suburbs.
There's more to it than this we could write a book about, but for now this is good enough. Republicans can't win urban areas, Democrats can't win rural areas.
Only 1 of the top 10 states in urban population % -- UT -- is a red state. The rest are either all blue (CA, NJ, NY, MA, etc) or swing (NV, AZ, FL).
Meanwhile, only 2 of the bottom 10 in urban population % are blue states (VT & ME). The rest are all red with one swing (NH).
Thus, the suburbs are the battle ground. Since exit polling began in 1972, the party that won the suburbs has won every single election.
In 2016, Trump won suburbans by 4 points. That, paired with his surge in rural support, was enough to win -- barely. Republicans have lost the suburbs in every cycle since, and thus lost.
In Iowa on Monday night, Trump could overcome under-performing his overall statewide turnout in suburban areas by as much as 10 points because we still have enough critical mass of rural voters who love him to overcome that deficiency. And in a Republican caucus, he can even still dominate (and did).
However, no such critical mass of rural voters exists in any of the states that will decide who wins the White House in 292 days -- AZ, FL, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, VA, and WI (120 total electoral votes).
To win any of those states, and a GOP POTUS nominee has to win a whopping 68% of the electoral college votes contained within those states to win the White House, you will have to win the suburbs.
The success of Florida’s governor might have had something to do with that red wave.
The governor Trump trashed three days before the election.
Not just on elections.
Republicans from teh presidential level to the city council level need to make an issue out of Democrat’s efforts to force “affordable housing” on suburban communities.
The projected it before most of the voters had voted. People actually left because they got the alert on their phones.
DeSantis supporters didn’t understand that it’s better to get 15 delegates than 8 delegates, even if their candidate doesn’t ‘win’?
I’m starting to believe it.
All the state that committed massive vote fraud in 2020.
You are looking at the wrong problem. The problem with 2020 was *VOTE FRAUD*!!!
Clearly, members of the Pro Life majority knew that had a majority in each state and due to that confidence, did not vote.
...and cheating is done in the urbanized government.
Agree, but that’s obscure so far. The Section 8 slum next door hasn’t bit many people in the a$$ yet.
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