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Gas Prices Set To Soar As Crack Spread Jumps On Tightening Fuel Supplies (Gasoline Prices UP 45% Under Biden, Diesel Prices UP 77%, Strategic Petroleum Reserve DOWN -47%)
Confounded Interest ^ | 01/25/2023 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 01/25/2023 7:23:55 AM PST by Kaiser8408a

U.S. oil refining margins, also known as the 3-2-1 crack spread, jumped to a three-month high on Tuesday — and that’s an indication the country faces an ongoing product shortage that might lead to higher gasoline and diesel prices at the pump.

The 3-2-1 crack spread is a great indicator to gauge fuel product tightness. High spreads indicate gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products are in short supply, while low spreads mean an abundance of supply. Spread direction is also important — if rising, it would mean fuel inventories are declining.

The simple calculation of refining margins is for every three barrels of crude oil the refinery processes — it makes two barrels of gasoline and one barrel of distillates like diesel and jet fuel.

On Tuesday, the crack spread hit a three-month high of $42 a barrel. For some context, the five-year January average is $15.56.

Reuters pointed out that refinery outages exacerbate fuel supply tightness.

A diesel producing unit at PBF Energy’s (PBF.N) Chalmette, Louisiana, refinery was shut following a fire on Saturday. It could be out for at least a month. Exxon Mobil (XOM.N) said Monday it will perform planned maintenance on several units at its Baytown, Texas, petrochemical complex.

Perhaps the victory lap was a little premature?

Mission Accomplished 2.0?

Not really. US gasoline prices are UP 45% under Biden, diesel prices (the lifeblood of the shipping industry) are UP 77 under Clueless Joe and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is DOWN -47% under China Joe.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: biden; blogpimp; crackspread; diesel; food; gas; retread
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Biden's draining on the SPR is intentional. I doubt he will refill it (he lies constantly, even when he doesn't have to).
1 posted on 01/25/2023 7:23:55 AM PST by Kaiser8408a
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To: Kaiser8408a

And the 2nd half of winter is setting in meaning energy $ will increase....just saying.


2 posted on 01/25/2023 7:27:10 AM PST by wardamneagle
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To: Kaiser8408a

Gasoline price per gallon was up 40 cents virtually overnight, here western slope Colorado. Not talking about the rich folks convenience places, but regular discount sources.


3 posted on 01/25/2023 7:27:58 AM PST by drSteve78 (Je suis Deplorable STILL )
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To: Kaiser8408a

His intentional actions have done one thing cripple the country aka Soros Agenda.


4 posted on 01/25/2023 7:28:06 AM PST by Vaduz (LAWYERS )
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To: Kaiser8408a

You got to admit, it was pretty slick the way the cranky, demented old white guy manipulated gas prices to make him and his RAT comrades “wildly popular” during the mid-term elections. The ignorant, free stuff loving voters fell for it.


5 posted on 01/25/2023 7:29:37 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Spay and neuter your "migrants" and liberals.)
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To: Kaiser8408a
"Crack Spread"


6 posted on 01/25/2023 7:32:13 AM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

As we prepare to send tanks to Ukraine.

Apparently these people are going for the Great GREAT Reset.


7 posted on 01/25/2023 7:36:03 AM PST by skeeter
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To: Kaiser8408a

Same fearmongers said we’d be out of diesel by Thanksgiving.


8 posted on 01/25/2023 7:36:38 AM PST by bigbob
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To: wardamneagle
Got my power bill this morning. Cost per kWh (after removing fixed monthly fees) is up 19.5% compared to the January bill a year ago. NINETEEN POINT FIVE PERCENT!

Under my plan electricity prices will necessarily skyrocket. -- Obama

You think that was sumthin'? Hold my Boost! -- Brandon

9 posted on 01/25/2023 7:37:13 AM PST by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

What’s this mean for gas prices? Oil is back at $80 plus add in a gasoline shortage....does that mean $1 per gallon more at the pump? $5 more? 10 cents?

If we’re going from a $15 to a $46 dollar average, that seems significant.


10 posted on 01/25/2023 7:38:17 AM PST by mikelets456
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To: Kaiser8408a

Gas prices up 70 cents/gal here in the last week. Time to get the “I Did That!” Biden stickers out again and put them on the gas pumps.


11 posted on 01/25/2023 7:39:04 AM PST by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: drSteve78

They could give a rats ass about the rural folk.

It is all about themselves in and around the large cities and KooKOOfornia. CA is a state of insanity.


12 posted on 01/25/2023 7:39:05 AM PST by crz
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To: Vaduz
His intentional actions have done one thing cripple the country aka Soros Agenda.

US Crude production is up 1.1M barrels/day since Biden took office.

13 posted on 01/25/2023 7:42:15 AM PST by semimojo
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To: Tell It Right

Same here - 19.5%. Alabama Power Company.


14 posted on 01/25/2023 7:53:42 AM PST by Lakewood
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To: Lakewood

Used 80 kWh less and bill up $155 for Dec/Jan bill.


15 posted on 01/25/2023 7:56:51 AM PST by Lakewood
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To: All

When you see oil articles written with right wing political agenda, they are going to be filled with errors. When they are written with left wing agenda, you don’t see as many errors because the articles don’t get written. Left wing reporters hate oil so much they talk their managing editor into covering something else.

The most prominent in this one is saying a barrel of oil refines 2/3 gasoline and 1/3 distillates (which are diesel and kerosene (jet fuel). This is not how it works.

The constituent yield of a barrel of oil differs by oil field. And differs by the definition of “oil”, which has changed considerably since shale flow began. Shale “oil” tends to be light (as in Light Tight Oil). It is not diesel rich. Russian oil and Libyan oil are diesel rich. US shale oil is not.

This has not a huge problem because most US consumption is gasoline, but it is reality and it does affect what is available.

It’s not particularly dependent on refinery choice of what to output from the process. It is dependent on geology. And Permian Era geology does not care about politics.


16 posted on 01/25/2023 8:00:14 AM PST by Owen
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To: semimojo

US Crude production is up 1.1M barrels/day since Biden took office.

And down by 7000 thousand barrels an day since Biden took office.

One pipe line shut down work ended on the other ZERO gain 100% plus loss.


17 posted on 01/25/2023 8:19:34 AM PST by Vaduz (LAWYERS )
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To: Vaduz
And down by 7000 thousand barrels an day since Biden took office.

One pipe line shut down work ended on the other ZERO gain 100% plus loss.

Say what?

18 posted on 01/25/2023 8:22:21 AM PST by semimojo
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To: Tell It Right

Got my power bill this morning. Cost per kWh (after removing fixed monthly fees) is up 19.5% compared to the January bill a year ago. NINETEEN POINT FIVE PERCENT!

WOW....that’s absurd


19 posted on 01/25/2023 8:52:26 AM PST by wardamneagle
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To: Lakewood
Same here - 19.5%. Alabama Power Company.

I have Alabama Power too. If you don't mind my asking, how do you calculate your true kWh rate?

I calculate mine like: kWh rate = [Total Bill in Dollars - Total Flat Rate (with taxes)] ÷ kWh pulled that month

So for me this month that's:
kWh rate = [$189.67 - $15.60] ÷ 1140kWh
kWh rate = $174.07 ÷ 1140kWh
kWh rate = 15.2692¢/kWh

In the January bill a year ago I calculated it as 12.7775¢/kWh (keep in mind back then the flat monthly fees was $15.86, not $15.60, because beginning with the July 2022 bill the reduced the natural disaster rider from 75¢ to 50¢ and I believe that part is also taxed at 4%).

20 posted on 01/25/2023 8:59:21 AM PST by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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